Long-Term Energy Demand Forecasting in Romania : An End-Use Demand Modeling Approach
This study develops an end-use energy demand analysis model for Romania to project energy demand by sector and end-use for 2015-50. The study finds that Romania's energy demand in 2050 would be 34 percent higher than the level in 2013. The ind...
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| Format: | Working Paper |
| Language: | English en_US |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2016
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/06/26442453/long-term-energy-demand-forecasting-romania-end-use-demand http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24535 |
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okr-10986-245352021-04-23T14:04:22Z Long-Term Energy Demand Forecasting in Romania : An End-Use Demand Modeling Approach Malla, Sunil Timilsina, Govinda R. ELECTRIC SERVICES LOW CARBON ECONOMY TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM TRANSPORT SECTOR REDUCING ENERGY CONSUMPTION FLOOR SPACE PASSENGERS DISTRICT HEATING DISTRICT HEATING SYSTEMS HEATING SYSTEMS PUBLIC ROAD VEHICLES ACTIVITIES GENERATION RAIL PASSENGER QUANTITY OF ELECTRICITY GROWTH IN DEMAND FOR ELECTRICITY FREIGHT TRANSPORT TRANSPORT MODE WOOD PRODUCTS TREND EMISSIONS ELASTICITY FREIGHT TRAVEL PETROLEUM COKE SPACE COOLING RAIL TRANSPORTATION PRIVATE VEHICLE OWNERSHIP INLAND WATERWAYS PASSENGER VEHICLE VEHICLE OWNERSHIP GAS TRAFFIC EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENT PRICE CLEANER WEALTH AIR GREENHOUSE GAS ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION DRIVERS TRANSPORT MODES BIOMASS VEHICLE FREIGHT MOVEMENT REFINERY GAS ENERGY POLICIES PETROLEUM ROAD HEATING ENERGY RAIL TRANSPORT AIR POLLUTION OIL TRANSPORT POPULATION GROWTH ENERGY REQUIREMENTS TRANSPORT ACTIVITIES RESIDENTIAL ENERGY MOBILITY AIR CONDITIONING OIL PRODUCTS WATER ELECTRIC VEHICLES TRAVEL DEMAND WATER HEATING CARBON ECONOMY FLOOR AREA POLLUTION STEAM GENERATION PRICE ELASTICITY TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT THERMAL ENERGY GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT FUELS ELASTICITY VALUES TRAVEL PATTERNS HEATING SYSTEM INFRASTRUCTURE AIR FREIGHT BUSES PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIES PASSENGER VEHICLES ENERGY CONSUMPTION ELECTRIC ENERGY DRIVING TRAVEL TRANSPORTATION TRANSIT HEAT CLIMATE CHANGE FUEL TYPES POLICIES DEMAND FOR ELECTRICITY ELECTRIC POWER BALANCE DISTRICT HEAT PRICE ELASTICITIES ELECTRICITY DEMAND MODE OF TRANSPORTATION CARS ENERGY NEEDS DEMAND FOR ENERGY LAND TRANSPORT POWER ELECTRICITY POLLUTION IMPACT ELASTICITIES MASS TRANSIT MOTOR VEHICLES SOLID BIOMASS PASSENGER TRAVEL MASS TRANSIT SYSTEM ENERGY USE RAILWAY BIOMASS FUELS TRANSPORTATION INDUSTRY ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENERGY OUTLOOK ENERGY DEMAND MARITIME TRANSPORT RAILWAYS NATURAL GAS AIR TRANSPORT VEHICLE FUEL RAIL INLAND WATERWAYS ENERGY BALANCE COAL RAIL FUEL DEMAND FORECAST AVAILABILITY FACILITIES TRANSPORT DEMAND PRIVATE VEHICLE TRANSIT SYSTEMS RENEWABLE ENERGY SPACE HEATING AIR PASSENGER ROAD TRANSPORT PASSENGER TRANSPORT PIPELINE FREIGHT PRICES APPROACH TRANSIT SYSTEM ROAD TRAFFIC ENERGY PASSENGER VOLUMES This study develops an end-use energy demand analysis model for Romania to project energy demand by sector and end-use for 2015-50. The study finds that Romania's energy demand in 2050 would be 34 percent higher than the level in 2013. The industry sector would be the largest final energy-consuming sector, surpassing the residential sector from 2025 onward. The services sector would exhibit the fastest growth of energy consumption in line with the expected structural change from manufacturing to services. Although population in the country is projected to drop by 7 percent in 2050 from the 2013 level, electricity demand would increase by 46 percent over the same period, because of increased household income and the expanded service sector, which is relatively electricity intensive. Still, per capita electricity consumption in Romania will be about half the European Union 28 average. At the end-use level, thermal processes in the industry sector, space heating in the residential and services sectors, and road transportation in the transport sector would be dominant throughout the study period. The study also shows that improvement of energy efficiency in the heating system would be the main channel to cut energy demand in the country. 2016-06-14T21:35:46Z 2016-06-14T21:35:46Z 2016-06 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/06/26442453/long-term-energy-demand-forecasting-romania-end-use-demand http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24535 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7697 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Europe and Central Asia Romania |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English en_US |
| topic |
ELECTRIC SERVICES LOW CARBON ECONOMY TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM TRANSPORT SECTOR REDUCING ENERGY CONSUMPTION FLOOR SPACE PASSENGERS DISTRICT HEATING DISTRICT HEATING SYSTEMS HEATING SYSTEMS PUBLIC ROAD VEHICLES ACTIVITIES GENERATION RAIL PASSENGER QUANTITY OF ELECTRICITY GROWTH IN DEMAND FOR ELECTRICITY FREIGHT TRANSPORT TRANSPORT MODE WOOD PRODUCTS TREND EMISSIONS ELASTICITY FREIGHT TRAVEL PETROLEUM COKE SPACE COOLING RAIL TRANSPORTATION PRIVATE VEHICLE OWNERSHIP INLAND WATERWAYS PASSENGER VEHICLE VEHICLE OWNERSHIP GAS TRAFFIC EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENT PRICE CLEANER WEALTH AIR GREENHOUSE GAS ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION DRIVERS TRANSPORT MODES BIOMASS VEHICLE FREIGHT MOVEMENT REFINERY GAS ENERGY POLICIES PETROLEUM ROAD HEATING ENERGY RAIL TRANSPORT AIR POLLUTION OIL TRANSPORT POPULATION GROWTH ENERGY REQUIREMENTS TRANSPORT ACTIVITIES RESIDENTIAL ENERGY MOBILITY AIR CONDITIONING OIL PRODUCTS WATER ELECTRIC VEHICLES TRAVEL DEMAND WATER HEATING CARBON ECONOMY FLOOR AREA POLLUTION STEAM GENERATION PRICE ELASTICITY TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT THERMAL ENERGY GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT FUELS ELASTICITY VALUES TRAVEL PATTERNS HEATING SYSTEM INFRASTRUCTURE AIR FREIGHT BUSES PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIES PASSENGER VEHICLES ENERGY CONSUMPTION ELECTRIC ENERGY DRIVING TRAVEL TRANSPORTATION TRANSIT HEAT CLIMATE CHANGE FUEL TYPES POLICIES DEMAND FOR ELECTRICITY ELECTRIC POWER BALANCE DISTRICT HEAT PRICE ELASTICITIES ELECTRICITY DEMAND MODE OF TRANSPORTATION CARS ENERGY NEEDS DEMAND FOR ENERGY LAND TRANSPORT POWER ELECTRICITY POLLUTION IMPACT ELASTICITIES MASS TRANSIT MOTOR VEHICLES SOLID BIOMASS PASSENGER TRAVEL MASS TRANSIT SYSTEM ENERGY USE RAILWAY BIOMASS FUELS TRANSPORTATION INDUSTRY ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENERGY OUTLOOK ENERGY DEMAND MARITIME TRANSPORT RAILWAYS NATURAL GAS AIR TRANSPORT VEHICLE FUEL RAIL INLAND WATERWAYS ENERGY BALANCE COAL RAIL FUEL DEMAND FORECAST AVAILABILITY FACILITIES TRANSPORT DEMAND PRIVATE VEHICLE TRANSIT SYSTEMS RENEWABLE ENERGY SPACE HEATING AIR PASSENGER ROAD TRANSPORT PASSENGER TRANSPORT PIPELINE FREIGHT PRICES APPROACH TRANSIT SYSTEM ROAD TRAFFIC ENERGY PASSENGER VOLUMES |
| spellingShingle |
ELECTRIC SERVICES LOW CARBON ECONOMY TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM TRANSPORT SECTOR REDUCING ENERGY CONSUMPTION FLOOR SPACE PASSENGERS DISTRICT HEATING DISTRICT HEATING SYSTEMS HEATING SYSTEMS PUBLIC ROAD VEHICLES ACTIVITIES GENERATION RAIL PASSENGER QUANTITY OF ELECTRICITY GROWTH IN DEMAND FOR ELECTRICITY FREIGHT TRANSPORT TRANSPORT MODE WOOD PRODUCTS TREND EMISSIONS ELASTICITY FREIGHT TRAVEL PETROLEUM COKE SPACE COOLING RAIL TRANSPORTATION PRIVATE VEHICLE OWNERSHIP INLAND WATERWAYS PASSENGER VEHICLE VEHICLE OWNERSHIP GAS TRAFFIC EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENT PRICE CLEANER WEALTH AIR GREENHOUSE GAS ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION DRIVERS TRANSPORT MODES BIOMASS VEHICLE FREIGHT MOVEMENT REFINERY GAS ENERGY POLICIES PETROLEUM ROAD HEATING ENERGY RAIL TRANSPORT AIR POLLUTION OIL TRANSPORT POPULATION GROWTH ENERGY REQUIREMENTS TRANSPORT ACTIVITIES RESIDENTIAL ENERGY MOBILITY AIR CONDITIONING OIL PRODUCTS WATER ELECTRIC VEHICLES TRAVEL DEMAND WATER HEATING CARBON ECONOMY FLOOR AREA POLLUTION STEAM GENERATION PRICE ELASTICITY TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT THERMAL ENERGY GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT FUELS ELASTICITY VALUES TRAVEL PATTERNS HEATING SYSTEM INFRASTRUCTURE AIR FREIGHT BUSES PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIES PASSENGER VEHICLES ENERGY CONSUMPTION ELECTRIC ENERGY DRIVING TRAVEL TRANSPORTATION TRANSIT HEAT CLIMATE CHANGE FUEL TYPES POLICIES DEMAND FOR ELECTRICITY ELECTRIC POWER BALANCE DISTRICT HEAT PRICE ELASTICITIES ELECTRICITY DEMAND MODE OF TRANSPORTATION CARS ENERGY NEEDS DEMAND FOR ENERGY LAND TRANSPORT POWER ELECTRICITY POLLUTION IMPACT ELASTICITIES MASS TRANSIT MOTOR VEHICLES SOLID BIOMASS PASSENGER TRAVEL MASS TRANSIT SYSTEM ENERGY USE RAILWAY BIOMASS FUELS TRANSPORTATION INDUSTRY ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENERGY OUTLOOK ENERGY DEMAND MARITIME TRANSPORT RAILWAYS NATURAL GAS AIR TRANSPORT VEHICLE FUEL RAIL INLAND WATERWAYS ENERGY BALANCE COAL RAIL FUEL DEMAND FORECAST AVAILABILITY FACILITIES TRANSPORT DEMAND PRIVATE VEHICLE TRANSIT SYSTEMS RENEWABLE ENERGY SPACE HEATING AIR PASSENGER ROAD TRANSPORT PASSENGER TRANSPORT PIPELINE FREIGHT PRICES APPROACH TRANSIT SYSTEM ROAD TRAFFIC ENERGY PASSENGER VOLUMES Malla, Sunil Timilsina, Govinda R. Long-Term Energy Demand Forecasting in Romania : An End-Use Demand Modeling Approach |
| geographic_facet |
Europe and Central Asia Romania |
| relation |
Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7697 |
| description |
This study develops an end-use energy
demand analysis model for Romania to project energy demand
by sector and end-use for 2015-50. The study finds that
Romania's energy demand in 2050 would be 34 percent
higher than the level in 2013. The industry sector would be
the largest final energy-consuming sector, surpassing the
residential sector from 2025 onward. The services sector
would exhibit the fastest growth of energy consumption in
line with the expected structural change from manufacturing
to services. Although population in the country is projected
to drop by 7 percent in 2050 from the 2013 level,
electricity demand would increase by 46 percent over the
same period, because of increased household income and the
expanded service sector, which is relatively electricity
intensive. Still, per capita electricity consumption in
Romania will be about half the European Union 28 average. At
the end-use level, thermal processes in the industry sector,
space heating in the residential and services sectors, and
road transportation in the transport sector would be
dominant throughout the study period. The study also shows
that improvement of energy efficiency in the heating system
would be the main channel to cut energy demand in the country. |
| format |
Working Paper |
| author |
Malla, Sunil Timilsina, Govinda R. |
| author_facet |
Malla, Sunil Timilsina, Govinda R. |
| author_sort |
Malla, Sunil |
| title |
Long-Term Energy Demand Forecasting in Romania : An End-Use Demand Modeling Approach |
| title_short |
Long-Term Energy Demand Forecasting in Romania : An End-Use Demand Modeling Approach |
| title_full |
Long-Term Energy Demand Forecasting in Romania : An End-Use Demand Modeling Approach |
| title_fullStr |
Long-Term Energy Demand Forecasting in Romania : An End-Use Demand Modeling Approach |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Long-Term Energy Demand Forecasting in Romania : An End-Use Demand Modeling Approach |
| title_sort |
long-term energy demand forecasting in romania : an end-use demand modeling approach |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2016 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/06/26442453/long-term-energy-demand-forecasting-romania-end-use-demand http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24535 |
| _version_ |
1764456975807021056 |