Recent Credit Surge in Historical Context

Benign financing conditions since the global financial crisis and, more recently, rising financing needs have fueled a rapid increase in credit to the nonfinancial private sector, especially to the corporate sector, in emerging markets and developi...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ohnsorge, Franziska, Yu, Shu
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2016
Subjects:
NPL
CDS
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/06/26497916/recent-credit-surge-historical-context
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24620
id okr-10986-24620
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic DOMESTIC BOND
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES
MONETARY POLICY
HOLDING
BORROWER
CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
REAL INTEREST RATES
INTEREST
EMERGING MARKET BOND
PRIVATE CREDIT
OPTION
BOND SPREADS
INTERNATIONAL SALES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
EXPORTERS
PORTFOLIO
MARKET SIZE
FISCAL POLICY
LIQUIDITY RISK
CURRENCY MISMATCH
LOAN
BOND FINANCING
DEBT OVERHANG
MARKET ACCESS
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUSES
DEBT BURDENS
CASH FLOWS
INSTRUMENTS
BANK REGULATION
OIL PRICES
CURRENCY
MARKET DEVELOPMENT
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
BANK LINKAGES
MULTINATIONAL BANK
RESERVE BANK
INCOME GROWTH
MULTINATIONAL BANKS
FOREIGN CURRENCIES
BOND ISSUANCE
EXCHANGE RATES
FOREIGN CURRENCY RISKS
CORPORATE BOND MARKET
MONETARY FUND
EMERGING MARKET
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
PRIVATE SECTOR DEBT
DEBT
MARKETS
FINANCIAL CRISES
INFLATION RATE
SETTLEMENT
INTERNATIONAL DEBT
BORROWING COSTS
DEBT SERVICE
BANK CREDIT
BANK FINANCING
DOMESTIC BANK
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
MARKET ECONOMIES
BANKING SECTOR
FISCAL DEFICIT
EMERGING MARKETS
CURRENCY RISKS
FEDERAL RESERVE
BOND MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL STATISTICS
COUNTRY DEBT
LIQUIDITY RATIOS
ACCESS TO BOND MARKETS
BANK BALANCE SHEETS
DEBT SECURITIES
ISSUANCE
LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT
DEBTOR COUNTRIES
LOCAL MARKETS
SHARES
LOCAL CURRENCY
NON-PERFORMING LOAN
SECURITIES
PUBLIC DEBT
BOND MATURITY
TREASURY
SOLVENCY
PRIVATE DEBT
CREDIT SPREADS
BOND MARKET ACTIVITY
CREDIT RISK
FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM
CURRENCIES
GOVERNMENT DEBT
MACROECONOMIC VOLATILITY
DOMESTIC CREDIT
FINANCIAL INSTABILITY
CORPORATE BOND
INTERNATIONAL BANK LENDING
INTERNATIONAL DEBT MARKETS
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
LENDING
CAPITAL FLOW
MATURITIES
MICRO DATA
COMMODITY PRICES
LIABILITIES
BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL BANKS
CAPITAL ACCOUNT
ASSET PRICE
FOREIGN BANK
CURRENCY MISMATCHES
GLOBAL FINANCIAL STABILITY
DEFICIT
CAPITAL MARKETS
BASIS POINTS
OIL PRICE
NPL
MICRODATA
STOCK
BOND MATURITIES
INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENT
CURRENCY CRISES
DUMMY VARIABLES
ASSET PRICES
SHARE OF CREDIT
EMERGING ECONOMIES
INTEREST RATE
EXCHANGE
BANKING SYSTEM
ISSUANCES
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS
LIQUIDITY
EQUITY MARKET
DEBTOR
GOVERNMENT BORROWING
REAL INTEREST
CDS
BONDS
FINANCIAL STRESS
DEBT OVERHANGS
MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS
NON-PERFORMING LOANS
BOND YIELDS
RESERVE
CENTRAL BANKS
CREDITORS
INFLATION
INTERNATIONAL BANK
CREDITOR
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
ENABLING ENVIRONMENT
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
CREDIT DEFAULT
FINANCIAL FRAGILITY
BANK LENDING
MATURITY
LONG-TERM DEBT
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
MORTGAGES
GLOBAL ECONOMY
SOURCE OF CREDIT
POLICY RESPONSES
FINANCIAL STUDIES
PORTFOLIOS
OPTIONS
INTEREST RATES
DOMESTIC BANKS
DEFICITS
BUSINESS CYCLE
LENDERS
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
LOANS
RESERVES
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
BORROWING COST
FINANCE
FOREIGN CURRENCY
MARKET PRICE
EQUITY
INVESTORS
DEBT RATIO
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK
INTERNATIONAL BANKING
FINANCIAL STABILITY
PRIVATE SECTOR CREDIT
BANKING CRISIS
ACCESS TO CAPITAL
FINANCIAL CRISIS
CAPITAL RAISING
DOMESTIC BANKING
CORPORATE BOND ISSUANCE
BOND MARKET
WORKING CAPITAL
CAPITAL FLOWS
FOREIGN BANKS
BALANCE SHEET
DEFAULT
LOAN QUALITY
MARKET
DEBT MARKETS
CORPORATE DEBT
BANK LOANS
FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT
EQUITY MARKETS
FINANCIAL MARKET
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKET
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
INVESTMENT
BOND
SHARE
BALANCE SHEETS
FINANCIAL MARKETS
INDIVIDUAL BOND
CAPITAL INFLOWS
EXTERNAL DEBT
CREDIT GROWTH
SWAPS
EXCHANGE RATE
INSTRUMENT
ASSETS RATIO
BANKING CRISES
INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS
NONPERFORMING LOANS
DOMESTIC BOND MARKETS
spellingShingle DOMESTIC BOND
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES
MONETARY POLICY
HOLDING
BORROWER
CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
REAL INTEREST RATES
INTEREST
EMERGING MARKET BOND
PRIVATE CREDIT
OPTION
BOND SPREADS
INTERNATIONAL SALES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
EXPORTERS
PORTFOLIO
MARKET SIZE
FISCAL POLICY
LIQUIDITY RISK
CURRENCY MISMATCH
LOAN
BOND FINANCING
DEBT OVERHANG
MARKET ACCESS
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUSES
DEBT BURDENS
CASH FLOWS
INSTRUMENTS
BANK REGULATION
OIL PRICES
CURRENCY
MARKET DEVELOPMENT
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
BANK LINKAGES
MULTINATIONAL BANK
RESERVE BANK
INCOME GROWTH
MULTINATIONAL BANKS
FOREIGN CURRENCIES
BOND ISSUANCE
EXCHANGE RATES
FOREIGN CURRENCY RISKS
CORPORATE BOND MARKET
MONETARY FUND
EMERGING MARKET
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
PRIVATE SECTOR DEBT
DEBT
MARKETS
FINANCIAL CRISES
INFLATION RATE
SETTLEMENT
INTERNATIONAL DEBT
BORROWING COSTS
DEBT SERVICE
BANK CREDIT
BANK FINANCING
DOMESTIC BANK
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
MARKET ECONOMIES
BANKING SECTOR
FISCAL DEFICIT
EMERGING MARKETS
CURRENCY RISKS
FEDERAL RESERVE
BOND MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL STATISTICS
COUNTRY DEBT
LIQUIDITY RATIOS
ACCESS TO BOND MARKETS
BANK BALANCE SHEETS
DEBT SECURITIES
ISSUANCE
LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT
DEBTOR COUNTRIES
LOCAL MARKETS
SHARES
LOCAL CURRENCY
NON-PERFORMING LOAN
SECURITIES
PUBLIC DEBT
BOND MATURITY
TREASURY
SOLVENCY
PRIVATE DEBT
CREDIT SPREADS
BOND MARKET ACTIVITY
CREDIT RISK
FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM
CURRENCIES
GOVERNMENT DEBT
MACROECONOMIC VOLATILITY
DOMESTIC CREDIT
FINANCIAL INSTABILITY
CORPORATE BOND
INTERNATIONAL BANK LENDING
INTERNATIONAL DEBT MARKETS
FINANCIAL SUPPORT
LENDING
CAPITAL FLOW
MATURITIES
MICRO DATA
COMMODITY PRICES
LIABILITIES
BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL BANKS
CAPITAL ACCOUNT
ASSET PRICE
FOREIGN BANK
CURRENCY MISMATCHES
GLOBAL FINANCIAL STABILITY
DEFICIT
CAPITAL MARKETS
BASIS POINTS
OIL PRICE
NPL
MICRODATA
STOCK
BOND MATURITIES
INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENT
CURRENCY CRISES
DUMMY VARIABLES
ASSET PRICES
SHARE OF CREDIT
EMERGING ECONOMIES
INTEREST RATE
EXCHANGE
BANKING SYSTEM
ISSUANCES
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS
LIQUIDITY
EQUITY MARKET
DEBTOR
GOVERNMENT BORROWING
REAL INTEREST
CDS
BONDS
FINANCIAL STRESS
DEBT OVERHANGS
MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS
NON-PERFORMING LOANS
BOND YIELDS
RESERVE
CENTRAL BANKS
CREDITORS
INFLATION
INTERNATIONAL BANK
CREDITOR
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
ENABLING ENVIRONMENT
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
CREDIT DEFAULT
FINANCIAL FRAGILITY
BANK LENDING
MATURITY
LONG-TERM DEBT
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
MORTGAGES
GLOBAL ECONOMY
SOURCE OF CREDIT
POLICY RESPONSES
FINANCIAL STUDIES
PORTFOLIOS
OPTIONS
INTEREST RATES
DOMESTIC BANKS
DEFICITS
BUSINESS CYCLE
LENDERS
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
LOANS
RESERVES
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
BORROWING COST
FINANCE
FOREIGN CURRENCY
MARKET PRICE
EQUITY
INVESTORS
DEBT RATIO
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK
INTERNATIONAL BANKING
FINANCIAL STABILITY
PRIVATE SECTOR CREDIT
BANKING CRISIS
ACCESS TO CAPITAL
FINANCIAL CRISIS
CAPITAL RAISING
DOMESTIC BANKING
CORPORATE BOND ISSUANCE
BOND MARKET
WORKING CAPITAL
CAPITAL FLOWS
FOREIGN BANKS
BALANCE SHEET
DEFAULT
LOAN QUALITY
MARKET
DEBT MARKETS
CORPORATE DEBT
BANK LOANS
FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT
EQUITY MARKETS
FINANCIAL MARKET
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKET
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
INVESTMENT
BOND
SHARE
BALANCE SHEETS
FINANCIAL MARKETS
INDIVIDUAL BOND
CAPITAL INFLOWS
EXTERNAL DEBT
CREDIT GROWTH
SWAPS
EXCHANGE RATE
INSTRUMENT
ASSETS RATIO
BANKING CRISES
INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS
NONPERFORMING LOANS
DOMESTIC BOND MARKETS
Ohnsorge, Franziska
Yu, Shu
Recent Credit Surge in Historical Context
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7704
description Benign financing conditions since the global financial crisis and, more recently, rising financing needs have fueled a rapid increase in credit to the nonfinancial private sector, especially to the corporate sector, in emerging markets and developing economies. Credit growth has been most pronounced, and nearing the pace associated with past credit booms, in commodity exporting countries. In contrast, in commodity importers, credit-to-gross domestic product ratios are elevated but have been stable or shrinking over the past few years. That said, in a few, mostly energy exporting, emerging and developing countries, credit to the private sector is now near levels that have been associated with past episodes of financial stress.
format Working Paper
author Ohnsorge, Franziska
Yu, Shu
author_facet Ohnsorge, Franziska
Yu, Shu
author_sort Ohnsorge, Franziska
title Recent Credit Surge in Historical Context
title_short Recent Credit Surge in Historical Context
title_full Recent Credit Surge in Historical Context
title_fullStr Recent Credit Surge in Historical Context
title_full_unstemmed Recent Credit Surge in Historical Context
title_sort recent credit surge in historical context
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2016
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/06/26497916/recent-credit-surge-historical-context
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24620
_version_ 1764457203311312896
spelling okr-10986-246202021-04-23T14:04:23Z Recent Credit Surge in Historical Context Ohnsorge, Franziska Yu, Shu DOMESTIC BOND CONTINGENT LIABILITIES MONETARY POLICY HOLDING BORROWER CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL REAL INTEREST RATES INTEREST EMERGING MARKET BOND PRIVATE CREDIT OPTION BOND SPREADS INTERNATIONAL SALES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES EXPORTERS PORTFOLIO MARKET SIZE FISCAL POLICY LIQUIDITY RISK CURRENCY MISMATCH LOAN BOND FINANCING DEBT OVERHANG MARKET ACCESS CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUSES DEBT BURDENS CASH FLOWS INSTRUMENTS BANK REGULATION OIL PRICES CURRENCY MARKET DEVELOPMENT DOMESTIC CURRENCY BANK LINKAGES MULTINATIONAL BANK RESERVE BANK INCOME GROWTH MULTINATIONAL BANKS FOREIGN CURRENCIES BOND ISSUANCE EXCHANGE RATES FOREIGN CURRENCY RISKS CORPORATE BOND MARKET MONETARY FUND EMERGING MARKET FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS PRIVATE SECTOR DEBT DEBT MARKETS FINANCIAL CRISES INFLATION RATE SETTLEMENT INTERNATIONAL DEBT BORROWING COSTS DEBT SERVICE BANK CREDIT BANK FINANCING DOMESTIC BANK CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS MARKET ECONOMIES BANKING SECTOR FISCAL DEFICIT EMERGING MARKETS CURRENCY RISKS FEDERAL RESERVE BOND MARKETS INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL STATISTICS COUNTRY DEBT LIQUIDITY RATIOS ACCESS TO BOND MARKETS BANK BALANCE SHEETS DEBT SECURITIES ISSUANCE LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT DEBTOR COUNTRIES LOCAL MARKETS SHARES LOCAL CURRENCY NON-PERFORMING LOAN SECURITIES PUBLIC DEBT BOND MATURITY TREASURY SOLVENCY PRIVATE DEBT CREDIT SPREADS BOND MARKET ACTIVITY CREDIT RISK FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM CURRENCIES GOVERNMENT DEBT MACROECONOMIC VOLATILITY DOMESTIC CREDIT FINANCIAL INSTABILITY CORPORATE BOND INTERNATIONAL BANK LENDING INTERNATIONAL DEBT MARKETS FINANCIAL SUPPORT LENDING CAPITAL FLOW MATURITIES MICRO DATA COMMODITY PRICES LIABILITIES BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT INTERNATIONAL BANKS CAPITAL ACCOUNT ASSET PRICE FOREIGN BANK CURRENCY MISMATCHES GLOBAL FINANCIAL STABILITY DEFICIT CAPITAL MARKETS BASIS POINTS OIL PRICE NPL MICRODATA STOCK BOND MATURITIES INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENT CURRENCY CRISES DUMMY VARIABLES ASSET PRICES SHARE OF CREDIT EMERGING ECONOMIES INTEREST RATE EXCHANGE BANKING SYSTEM ISSUANCES INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS LIQUIDITY EQUITY MARKET DEBTOR GOVERNMENT BORROWING REAL INTEREST CDS BONDS FINANCIAL STRESS DEBT OVERHANGS MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS NON-PERFORMING LOANS BOND YIELDS RESERVE CENTRAL BANKS CREDITORS INFLATION INTERNATIONAL BANK CREDITOR DEVELOPING COUNTRY ENABLING ENVIRONMENT EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES CREDIT DEFAULT FINANCIAL FRAGILITY BANK LENDING MATURITY LONG-TERM DEBT INTERNATIONAL FINANCE MORTGAGES GLOBAL ECONOMY SOURCE OF CREDIT POLICY RESPONSES FINANCIAL STUDIES PORTFOLIOS OPTIONS INTEREST RATES DOMESTIC BANKS DEFICITS BUSINESS CYCLE LENDERS INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS LOANS RESERVES FINANCIAL SYSTEM BORROWING COST FINANCE FOREIGN CURRENCY MARKET PRICE EQUITY INVESTORS DEBT RATIO FEDERAL RESERVE BANK INTERNATIONAL BANKING FINANCIAL STABILITY PRIVATE SECTOR CREDIT BANKING CRISIS ACCESS TO CAPITAL FINANCIAL CRISIS CAPITAL RAISING DOMESTIC BANKING CORPORATE BOND ISSUANCE BOND MARKET WORKING CAPITAL CAPITAL FLOWS FOREIGN BANKS BALANCE SHEET DEFAULT LOAN QUALITY MARKET DEBT MARKETS CORPORATE DEBT BANK LOANS FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT EQUITY MARKETS FINANCIAL MARKET INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKET INTERNATIONAL MARKET INVESTMENT BOND SHARE BALANCE SHEETS FINANCIAL MARKETS INDIVIDUAL BOND CAPITAL INFLOWS EXTERNAL DEBT CREDIT GROWTH SWAPS EXCHANGE RATE INSTRUMENT ASSETS RATIO BANKING CRISES INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS NONPERFORMING LOANS DOMESTIC BOND MARKETS Benign financing conditions since the global financial crisis and, more recently, rising financing needs have fueled a rapid increase in credit to the nonfinancial private sector, especially to the corporate sector, in emerging markets and developing economies. Credit growth has been most pronounced, and nearing the pace associated with past credit booms, in commodity exporting countries. In contrast, in commodity importers, credit-to-gross domestic product ratios are elevated but have been stable or shrinking over the past few years. That said, in a few, mostly energy exporting, emerging and developing countries, credit to the private sector is now near levels that have been associated with past episodes of financial stress. 2016-07-06T22:54:22Z 2016-07-06T22:54:22Z 2016-06 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/06/26497916/recent-credit-surge-historical-context http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24620 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7704 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper