Mozambique Economic Update, December 2016 : Facing Hard Choices

This Mozambique economic update brief for 2016 includes a section on recent economic developments and a discussion of Mozambique’s economic outlook, followed by focus section(s) analyzing issues of particular importance.This has been a testing year...

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Main Author: World Bank
Format: Report
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/334311481183208191/Mozambique-economic-update-facing-hard-choices
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/25744
id okr-10986-25744
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-257442021-05-25T08:56:24Z Mozambique Economic Update, December 2016 : Facing Hard Choices World Bank economic growth exchange rate inflation fiscal trends monetary policy trade debt state-owned enterprises fiscal risks This Mozambique economic update brief for 2016 includes a section on recent economic developments and a discussion of Mozambique’s economic outlook, followed by focus section(s) analyzing issues of particular importance.This has been a testing year for Mozambique. An ongoing downturn, brought about by low commodity prices, drought and conflict, was compounded by the fallout from the discovery of hidden debts in April 2016. The level of debt took an explosive path with the addition of the previously undisclosed loans, making Mozambique one of the countries in Africa with the highest debt to GDP ratios. The rate at which the Mozambican currency depreciated outpaced that of most other African commodity exporters, including Nigeria and Angola, where economic pressures have also been acute. Foreign direct investment (FDI), and exports, are projected to fall by 17 and 8 percent respectively in 2016. Clearly, Mozambique’s macroeconomic stability has been shaken-up. The agenda for restoring economic stability and confidence will stretch into 2017 and possibly beyond. Key items on the agenda include setting a medium term framework for restoring fiscal sustainability, anchored in a target for reducing debt and a credible fiscal adjustment program. Enhanced financial sector surveillance and the strengthening of crisis management instruments is also a priority, particularly if further monetary tightening is in the pipeline in the near term. Moreover, the current economic circumstances highlight the need to manage fiscal risks and contingent liabilities better. In this regard, reforms to develop effective oversight over state-owned enterprises and other public entities are urgent, along with reforms to overhaul the framework for managing guarantees. 2016-12-14T22:53:06Z 2016-12-14T22:53:06Z 2016-12 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/334311481183208191/Mozambique-economic-update-facing-hard-choices http://hdl.handle.net/10986/25744 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling Economic & Sector Work Africa Mozambique
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic economic growth
exchange rate
inflation
fiscal trends
monetary policy
trade
debt
state-owned enterprises
fiscal risks
spellingShingle economic growth
exchange rate
inflation
fiscal trends
monetary policy
trade
debt
state-owned enterprises
fiscal risks
World Bank
Mozambique Economic Update, December 2016 : Facing Hard Choices
geographic_facet Africa
Mozambique
description This Mozambique economic update brief for 2016 includes a section on recent economic developments and a discussion of Mozambique’s economic outlook, followed by focus section(s) analyzing issues of particular importance.This has been a testing year for Mozambique. An ongoing downturn, brought about by low commodity prices, drought and conflict, was compounded by the fallout from the discovery of hidden debts in April 2016. The level of debt took an explosive path with the addition of the previously undisclosed loans, making Mozambique one of the countries in Africa with the highest debt to GDP ratios. The rate at which the Mozambican currency depreciated outpaced that of most other African commodity exporters, including Nigeria and Angola, where economic pressures have also been acute. Foreign direct investment (FDI), and exports, are projected to fall by 17 and 8 percent respectively in 2016. Clearly, Mozambique’s macroeconomic stability has been shaken-up. The agenda for restoring economic stability and confidence will stretch into 2017 and possibly beyond. Key items on the agenda include setting a medium term framework for restoring fiscal sustainability, anchored in a target for reducing debt and a credible fiscal adjustment program. Enhanced financial sector surveillance and the strengthening of crisis management instruments is also a priority, particularly if further monetary tightening is in the pipeline in the near term. Moreover, the current economic circumstances highlight the need to manage fiscal risks and contingent liabilities better. In this regard, reforms to develop effective oversight over state-owned enterprises and other public entities are urgent, along with reforms to overhaul the framework for managing guarantees.
format Report
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Mozambique Economic Update, December 2016 : Facing Hard Choices
title_short Mozambique Economic Update, December 2016 : Facing Hard Choices
title_full Mozambique Economic Update, December 2016 : Facing Hard Choices
title_fullStr Mozambique Economic Update, December 2016 : Facing Hard Choices
title_full_unstemmed Mozambique Economic Update, December 2016 : Facing Hard Choices
title_sort mozambique economic update, december 2016 : facing hard choices
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2016
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/334311481183208191/Mozambique-economic-update-facing-hard-choices
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/25744
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