Recovery from Conflict : Lessons of Success
This paper studies long-term impacts of violent conflict, to provide insights into the costs of conflict and policies to prevent conflict relapse. The findings link evidence on the contemporaneous effects of conflict with its persistent impact, esp...
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| Format: | Working Paper |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2017
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/832901487083457988/Recovery-from-conflict-lessons-of-success http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26137 |
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okr-10986-261372021-06-08T14:42:47Z Recovery from Conflict : Lessons of Success Mueller, Hannes Piemontese, Lavinia Tapsoba, Augustin post-conflict reconstruction conflict refugees investment relapse persistent conflict recovery political constraints This paper studies long-term impacts of violent conflict, to provide insights into the costs of conflict and policies to prevent conflict relapse. The findings link evidence on the contemporaneous effects of conflict with its persistent impact, especially by combining multiple data sources such as night lights, indicators of political exclusion, and nutrition. There is a strong level effect on output arising from the intensity of conflict, which, contrary to perceptions of post-conflict booms, on average is not reversed by subsequent more rapid growth. The paper investigates two possible channels that make conflict persistent: refugee flows and investment. Both channels display wide variation across recovery episodes, and are capable of large surges, which can in some cases generate rapid recoveries. Where recoveries lack buoyancy --which is the case for many post-conflict episodes -- deeper political constraints appear to be at work, which may ultimately relate to the effectiveness of power sharing. Finally, to highlight the need for more effective policies and knowledge in this area, the paper shows that the human development costs of conflict are huge, and can persist through a full generation. Policy recommendations and pointers for future research form the conclusion. 2017-02-22T22:06:54Z 2017-02-22T22:06:54Z 2017-02 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/832901487083457988/Recovery-from-conflict-lessons-of-success http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26137 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7970 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Africa Sub-Saharan Africa Cambodia Kenya Nicaragua Nigeria Sierra Leone Uganda |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English en_US |
| topic |
post-conflict reconstruction conflict refugees investment relapse persistent conflict recovery political constraints |
| spellingShingle |
post-conflict reconstruction conflict refugees investment relapse persistent conflict recovery political constraints Mueller, Hannes Piemontese, Lavinia Tapsoba, Augustin Recovery from Conflict : Lessons of Success |
| geographic_facet |
Africa Sub-Saharan Africa Cambodia Kenya Nicaragua Nigeria Sierra Leone Uganda |
| relation |
Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7970 |
| description |
This paper studies long-term impacts of
violent conflict, to provide insights into the costs of
conflict and policies to prevent conflict relapse. The
findings link evidence on the contemporaneous effects of
conflict with its persistent impact, especially by combining
multiple data sources such as night lights, indicators of
political exclusion, and nutrition. There is a strong level
effect on output arising from the intensity of conflict,
which, contrary to perceptions of post-conflict booms, on
average is not reversed by subsequent more rapid growth. The
paper investigates two possible channels that make conflict
persistent: refugee flows and investment. Both channels
display wide variation across recovery episodes, and are
capable of large surges, which can in some cases generate
rapid recoveries. Where recoveries lack buoyancy --which is
the case for many post-conflict episodes -- deeper political
constraints appear to be at work, which may ultimately
relate to the effectiveness of power sharing. Finally, to
highlight the need for more effective policies and knowledge
in this area, the paper shows that the human development
costs of conflict are huge, and can persist through a full
generation. Policy recommendations and pointers for future
research form the conclusion. |
| format |
Working Paper |
| author |
Mueller, Hannes Piemontese, Lavinia Tapsoba, Augustin |
| author_facet |
Mueller, Hannes Piemontese, Lavinia Tapsoba, Augustin |
| author_sort |
Mueller, Hannes |
| title |
Recovery from Conflict : Lessons of Success |
| title_short |
Recovery from Conflict : Lessons of Success |
| title_full |
Recovery from Conflict : Lessons of Success |
| title_fullStr |
Recovery from Conflict : Lessons of Success |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Recovery from Conflict : Lessons of Success |
| title_sort |
recovery from conflict : lessons of success |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2017 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/832901487083457988/Recovery-from-conflict-lessons-of-success http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26137 |
| _version_ |
1764461038204354560 |