Cigarette Affordability in China, 2001-2016

This study investigates the affordability of cigarettes in China between 2001 and 2016. In the past two decades, China has achieved unprecedented economic growth rates. The country’s per capita gross domestic product (GDP) has increased at an avera...

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Main Authors: Zheng, Rong, Wang, Yang, Hua, Xiao, Marquez, Patricio V.
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/130301492424519317/Cigarette-affordability-in-China-2001-2016
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26423
id okr-10986-26423
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-264232021-06-14T10:16:29Z Cigarette Affordability in China, 2001-2016 Zheng, Rong Wang, Yang Hua, Xiao Marquez, Patricio V. TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO CONSUMPTION CIGARETTE AFFORDABILITY ELASTICITY OF DEMAND PRICE DATA INCOME DATA This study investigates the affordability of cigarettes in China between 2001 and 2016. In the past two decades, China has achieved unprecedented economic growth rates. The country’s per capita gross domestic product (GDP) has increased at an average annual rate of 10 percent. Rapid economic growth increases people’s purchasing power and makes cigarettes more affordable, as income gains overrun cigarette price increases. The results show that average-price cigarettes in China were 1.85 times more affordable in 2016 than in 2001, while the cheapest category of cigarettes, typically consumed by low-income persons, became 2.09 times more affordable over this period. Thus, cheap cigarettes aimed at low income Chinese consumers exhibit higher levels of affordability, and have increased their affordability faster, than other cigarettes aimed at average income consumers. The study estimates the affordability elasticity of cigarette consumption in China at -0.6, suggesting that a 10 percent increase in cigarette affordability will result in 6.01 percent increase in cigarette consumption. Cigarette affordability in China has also increased in comparison with other countries. China’s cigarette affordability was still at a low level compared with other countries in the 1990s, but increased quickly and to a high level within just two decades. Findings from this study have important implications for tax policy, pertaining to tobacco prices and tobacco control. These findings confirm that for tax increases to reduce the number of smokers and deaths in China, policy makers need to review the potential effects of rising income and prices with a focus on reducing cigarette affordability. It is also important to look at affordability not only on average but by income group - in this study proxied by using average and rural incomes. 2017-04-21T17:11:58Z 2017-04-21T17:11:58Z 2016-08-01 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/130301492424519317/Cigarette-affordability-in-China-2001-2016 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26423 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Working Paper East Asia and Pacific China
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic TOBACCO CONTROL
TOBACCO CONSUMPTION
CIGARETTE AFFORDABILITY
ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
PRICE DATA
INCOME DATA
spellingShingle TOBACCO CONTROL
TOBACCO CONSUMPTION
CIGARETTE AFFORDABILITY
ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
PRICE DATA
INCOME DATA
Zheng, Rong
Wang, Yang
Hua, Xiao
Marquez, Patricio V.
Cigarette Affordability in China, 2001-2016
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
China
description This study investigates the affordability of cigarettes in China between 2001 and 2016. In the past two decades, China has achieved unprecedented economic growth rates. The country’s per capita gross domestic product (GDP) has increased at an average annual rate of 10 percent. Rapid economic growth increases people’s purchasing power and makes cigarettes more affordable, as income gains overrun cigarette price increases. The results show that average-price cigarettes in China were 1.85 times more affordable in 2016 than in 2001, while the cheapest category of cigarettes, typically consumed by low-income persons, became 2.09 times more affordable over this period. Thus, cheap cigarettes aimed at low income Chinese consumers exhibit higher levels of affordability, and have increased their affordability faster, than other cigarettes aimed at average income consumers. The study estimates the affordability elasticity of cigarette consumption in China at -0.6, suggesting that a 10 percent increase in cigarette affordability will result in 6.01 percent increase in cigarette consumption. Cigarette affordability in China has also increased in comparison with other countries. China’s cigarette affordability was still at a low level compared with other countries in the 1990s, but increased quickly and to a high level within just two decades. Findings from this study have important implications for tax policy, pertaining to tobacco prices and tobacco control. These findings confirm that for tax increases to reduce the number of smokers and deaths in China, policy makers need to review the potential effects of rising income and prices with a focus on reducing cigarette affordability. It is also important to look at affordability not only on average but by income group - in this study proxied by using average and rural incomes.
format Working Paper
author Zheng, Rong
Wang, Yang
Hua, Xiao
Marquez, Patricio V.
author_facet Zheng, Rong
Wang, Yang
Hua, Xiao
Marquez, Patricio V.
author_sort Zheng, Rong
title Cigarette Affordability in China, 2001-2016
title_short Cigarette Affordability in China, 2001-2016
title_full Cigarette Affordability in China, 2001-2016
title_fullStr Cigarette Affordability in China, 2001-2016
title_full_unstemmed Cigarette Affordability in China, 2001-2016
title_sort cigarette affordability in china, 2001-2016
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2017
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/130301492424519317/Cigarette-affordability-in-China-2001-2016
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26423
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