Consequences of Civil Conflict
This paper reviews the literature on the development consequences of internal armed conflict and state fragility and analyzes the relationship using data from World Development Indicators, Ukraine Corporate Development Project UCDP/Peace Research I...
Main Authors: | , , , |
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Format: | Working Paper |
Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2017
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/312541468181479096/Consequences-of-civil-conflict http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27502 |
Summary: | This paper reviews the literature on the
development consequences of internal armed conflict and
state fragility and analyzes the relationship using data
from World Development Indicators, Ukraine Corporate
Development Project UCDP/Peace Research Institute of Oslo
(PRIO) Armed Conflict Data (ACD), and World Bank state
fragility assessments. Our main focus is on a set of
development indicators that capture seven of the Millennium
Development Goals, but the author also look briefly into the
effect of conflict and fragility on growth, human rights
abuses, and democratization. The author analyze these
relationships using a variety of methods, averages by
conflict and fragility status; cross-sectional regression
analyses of change in each indicator over the time frame for
which we have data; fixed-effects regression analyses of the
impact on each indicator for each five-year period
1965-2009; as well as occasional panel time series models
and matching techniques. In section two, the author
summarizes the methodological choices and presents our
conflict data. Section three summarizes the results of our
analysis. Finally, section four analyzes the effects of
internal armed conflict on the attainment of the individual
Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). |
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