Financial Inclusion, Productivity Shocks, and Consumption Volatility in Emerging Economies

How does access to finance impact consumption volatility? Theory and evidence from advanced economies suggests that greater household access to finance smooths consumption. Evidence from emerging markets, where consumption is usually more volatile than income, indicates that financial reform furthe...

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Main Authors: Bhattacharya, Rudrani, Patnaik, Ila
Format: Journal Article
Language:en_US
Published: Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27696
id okr-10986-27696
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-276962021-05-25T10:54:42Z Financial Inclusion, Productivity Shocks, and Consumption Volatility in Emerging Economies Bhattacharya, Rudrani Patnaik, Ila ACCESS TO FINANCE CONSUMPTION FINANCIAL REFORM ECONOMIC VOLATILITY FINANCIAL INCLUSION EMERGING ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKETS How does access to finance impact consumption volatility? Theory and evidence from advanced economies suggests that greater household access to finance smooths consumption. Evidence from emerging markets, where consumption is usually more volatile than income, indicates that financial reform further increases the volatility of consumption relative to output. This puzzle is addressed in the framework of an emerging economy model in which households face shocks to trend growth rate, and a fraction of them are financially constrained, with no access to financial services. Unconstrained households can respond to shocks to trend growth by raising current consumption more than the rise in current income. Financial reform increases the share of such households, leading to greater relative consumption volatility. Calibration of the model for pre- and post–financial reform in India provides support for the model’s key predictions. 2017-08-09T21:16:34Z 2017-08-09T21:16:34Z 2016-01 Journal Article World Bank Economic Review 1564-698X http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27696 en_US CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank Publications & Research :: Journal Article Publications & Research Europe and Central Asia South Asia India Turkey
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language en_US
topic ACCESS TO FINANCE
CONSUMPTION
FINANCIAL REFORM
ECONOMIC VOLATILITY
FINANCIAL INCLUSION
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
spellingShingle ACCESS TO FINANCE
CONSUMPTION
FINANCIAL REFORM
ECONOMIC VOLATILITY
FINANCIAL INCLUSION
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
Bhattacharya, Rudrani
Patnaik, Ila
Financial Inclusion, Productivity Shocks, and Consumption Volatility in Emerging Economies
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
South Asia
India
Turkey
description How does access to finance impact consumption volatility? Theory and evidence from advanced economies suggests that greater household access to finance smooths consumption. Evidence from emerging markets, where consumption is usually more volatile than income, indicates that financial reform further increases the volatility of consumption relative to output. This puzzle is addressed in the framework of an emerging economy model in which households face shocks to trend growth rate, and a fraction of them are financially constrained, with no access to financial services. Unconstrained households can respond to shocks to trend growth by raising current consumption more than the rise in current income. Financial reform increases the share of such households, leading to greater relative consumption volatility. Calibration of the model for pre- and post–financial reform in India provides support for the model’s key predictions.
format Journal Article
author Bhattacharya, Rudrani
Patnaik, Ila
author_facet Bhattacharya, Rudrani
Patnaik, Ila
author_sort Bhattacharya, Rudrani
title Financial Inclusion, Productivity Shocks, and Consumption Volatility in Emerging Economies
title_short Financial Inclusion, Productivity Shocks, and Consumption Volatility in Emerging Economies
title_full Financial Inclusion, Productivity Shocks, and Consumption Volatility in Emerging Economies
title_fullStr Financial Inclusion, Productivity Shocks, and Consumption Volatility in Emerging Economies
title_full_unstemmed Financial Inclusion, Productivity Shocks, and Consumption Volatility in Emerging Economies
title_sort financial inclusion, productivity shocks, and consumption volatility in emerging economies
publisher Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank
publishDate 2017
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27696
_version_ 1764465918616797184