Growth after the Crisis

How hospitable will the global environment be for economic growth in the developing world as we come out of the present financial crisis? The answer depends on how well the author manage the following tension. On the one hand, global macro stabilit...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Rodrik, Dani
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2017
Subjects:
GDP
TAX
WTO
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/527211468341071399/Growth-after-the-crisis
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27937
id okr-10986-27937
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic ABSOLUTE VALUE
ADVANCED COUNTRIES
ADVANCED ECONOMIES
ADVERSE EFFECTS
AGENCY PROBLEMS
AGRICULTURE
ALLOCATIVE EFFICIENCY
ANNUAL GROWTH
ANNUAL GROWTH RATE
ASSETS
BILATERAL TRADE
BILL
BINDING CONSTRAINT
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL INFLOW
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MOBILITY
CAPITAL OUTFLOWS
CHLORINE
CLIMATE CHANGE
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICES
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES
CONDITIONALITY
CONSUMERS
CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT
COST OF CAPITAL
COUNTRY CASE
COUNTRY DUMMIES
COUNTRY FIXED EFFECTS
CROSS COUNTRY
CURRENCY
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCES
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
CURRENT ACCOUNT IMBALANCES
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUSES
DEFICITS
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEPRECIATION
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPED WORLD
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
DEVELOPING WORLD
DEVELOPMENT PRACTITIONERS
DIVERSIFICATION
DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
DOMESTIC DEMAND
DOMESTIC SAVING
DUAL ECONOMY
DUTCH DISEASE
ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC HISTORY
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC RELATIONS
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMICS
EMISSIONS
ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES
ENVIRONMENTAL
ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS
EQUILIBRIUM
ESTIMATED COEFFICIENT
ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS
EXCESS SUPPLY
EXPENDITURE FUNCTION
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT PERFORMANCE
EXPORT PROCESSING ZONES
EXPORT VOLUMES
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL BALANCE
EXTERNAL DEFICITS
EXTERNAL FINANCE
EXTERNAL IMBALANCES
EXTERNAL TRADE
EXTERNALITIES
FACTOR ENDOWMENTS
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED EFFECTS
FOREIGN CAPITAL
FOREIGN COMPANIES
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM
GLOBAL MACRO
GLOBAL RISK
GLOBALIZATION
GOLD
GOLD STANDARD
GREENHOUSE GASES
GROWTH PERFORMANCE
GROWTH POTENTIAL
GROWTH PROCESS
GROWTH PROSPECTS
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
GROWTH THEORY
HIGH GROWTH
IMBALANCES
IMPORT
IMPORT BARRIERS
IMPORT DEMAND
IMPORTS
INCENTIVE EFFECTS
INCOME
INCOME LEVELS
INCOME SHARE
INCOMES
INCREASE GROWTH
INDUSTRIAL POLICY
INDUSTRIAL SECTOR
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INDUSTRIALIZATION STRATEGY
INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES
INSTITUTIONAL ENVIRONMENT
INTERMEDIATE INPUTS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVESTMENT DEMAND
INVESTMENT LEVELS
JOB CREATION
LABOR MARKETS
LOCAL CONTENT
LOCAL CURRENCY
MACRO STABILITY
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET EQUILIBRIUM
MARKET FAILURES
MARKET FORCES
MONETARY POLICY
NATURAL RESOURCES
NEOCLASSICAL GROWTH MODEL
NET CAPITAL
NEW PRODUCTS
OPEN CAPITAL ACCOUNTS
OUTPUT
PANEL REGRESSIONS
PER CAPITA GROWTH
POLICY CHANGES
POLICY ENVIRONMENT
POLICY MAKERS
POLICY OPTIONS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POOR COUNTRIES
POSTWAR PERIOD
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRICE INCREASES
PRIMARY COMMODITIES
PRIMARY PRODUCTS
PRIVATE SAVING
PRODUCERS
PRODUCTIVITY
PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES
PROFITABILITY
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PUBLIC FINANCE
PUBLIC POLICY
RAPID ECONOMIC GROWTH
RAPID LIBERALIZATION
RATE OF GROWTH
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE APPRECIATION
REAL EXCHANGE RATES
REAL INCOME
RED TAPE
RELATIVE PRICE
RELATIVE PRICES
RICH COUNTRIES
RISK SHARING
SCATTER PLOTS
SIGNIFICANT EFFECT
SLOW GROWTH
SLOWDOWN
STANDARD DEVIATION
STRUCTURAL CHANGE
SUPPLY RESPONSE
SUPPLY SIDE
TAX
TAX REVENUE
TECHNOLOGICAL ADVANCE
TERMS OF TRADE
TRADABLE GOOD
TRADABLE GOODS
TRADABLE SECTORS
TRADE BALANCE
TRADE DEFICIT
TRADE DEFICITS
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE POLICIES
TRADE PROTECTION
TRADE SURPLUS
TRADE SURPLUSES
UNCERTAINTIES
UNDERVALUATION
VALUE ADDED
WAGES
WEALTH
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD ECONOMY
WORLD MARKET
WORLD MARKETS
WORLD TRADE
WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
WTO
spellingShingle ABSOLUTE VALUE
ADVANCED COUNTRIES
ADVANCED ECONOMIES
ADVERSE EFFECTS
AGENCY PROBLEMS
AGRICULTURE
ALLOCATIVE EFFICIENCY
ANNUAL GROWTH
ANNUAL GROWTH RATE
ASSETS
BILATERAL TRADE
BILL
BINDING CONSTRAINT
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL INFLOW
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MOBILITY
CAPITAL OUTFLOWS
CHLORINE
CLIMATE CHANGE
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICES
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES
CONDITIONALITY
CONSUMERS
CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT
COST OF CAPITAL
COUNTRY CASE
COUNTRY DUMMIES
COUNTRY FIXED EFFECTS
CROSS COUNTRY
CURRENCY
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCES
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
CURRENT ACCOUNT IMBALANCES
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUSES
DEFICITS
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEPRECIATION
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DEVELOPED WORLD
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
DEVELOPING WORLD
DEVELOPMENT PRACTITIONERS
DIVERSIFICATION
DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
DOMESTIC DEMAND
DOMESTIC SAVING
DUAL ECONOMY
DUTCH DISEASE
ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC HISTORY
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
ECONOMIC RELATIONS
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMICS
EMISSIONS
ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES
ENVIRONMENTAL
ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS
EQUILIBRIUM
ESTIMATED COEFFICIENT
ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS
EXCESS SUPPLY
EXPENDITURE FUNCTION
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT PERFORMANCE
EXPORT PROCESSING ZONES
EXPORT VOLUMES
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
EXTERNAL BALANCE
EXTERNAL DEFICITS
EXTERNAL FINANCE
EXTERNAL IMBALANCES
EXTERNAL TRADE
EXTERNALITIES
FACTOR ENDOWMENTS
FINANCIAL CRISES
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION
FINANCIAL MARKETS
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FIXED EFFECTS
FOREIGN CAPITAL
FOREIGN COMPANIES
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM
GLOBAL MACRO
GLOBAL RISK
GLOBALIZATION
GOLD
GOLD STANDARD
GREENHOUSE GASES
GROWTH PERFORMANCE
GROWTH POTENTIAL
GROWTH PROCESS
GROWTH PROSPECTS
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
GROWTH THEORY
HIGH GROWTH
IMBALANCES
IMPORT
IMPORT BARRIERS
IMPORT DEMAND
IMPORTS
INCENTIVE EFFECTS
INCOME
INCOME LEVELS
INCOME SHARE
INCOMES
INCREASE GROWTH
INDUSTRIAL POLICY
INDUSTRIAL SECTOR
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INDUSTRIALIZATION STRATEGY
INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES
INSTITUTIONAL ENVIRONMENT
INTERMEDIATE INPUTS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVESTMENT DEMAND
INVESTMENT LEVELS
JOB CREATION
LABOR MARKETS
LOCAL CONTENT
LOCAL CURRENCY
MACRO STABILITY
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARKET EQUILIBRIUM
MARKET FAILURES
MARKET FORCES
MONETARY POLICY
NATURAL RESOURCES
NEOCLASSICAL GROWTH MODEL
NET CAPITAL
NEW PRODUCTS
OPEN CAPITAL ACCOUNTS
OUTPUT
PANEL REGRESSIONS
PER CAPITA GROWTH
POLICY CHANGES
POLICY ENVIRONMENT
POLICY MAKERS
POLICY OPTIONS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POOR COUNTRIES
POSTWAR PERIOD
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRICE INCREASES
PRIMARY COMMODITIES
PRIMARY PRODUCTS
PRIVATE SAVING
PRODUCERS
PRODUCTIVITY
PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES
PROFITABILITY
PROPERTY RIGHTS
PUBLIC FINANCE
PUBLIC POLICY
RAPID ECONOMIC GROWTH
RAPID LIBERALIZATION
RATE OF GROWTH
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE APPRECIATION
REAL EXCHANGE RATES
REAL INCOME
RED TAPE
RELATIVE PRICE
RELATIVE PRICES
RICH COUNTRIES
RISK SHARING
SCATTER PLOTS
SIGNIFICANT EFFECT
SLOW GROWTH
SLOWDOWN
STANDARD DEVIATION
STRUCTURAL CHANGE
SUPPLY RESPONSE
SUPPLY SIDE
TAX
TAX REVENUE
TECHNOLOGICAL ADVANCE
TERMS OF TRADE
TRADABLE GOOD
TRADABLE GOODS
TRADABLE SECTORS
TRADE BALANCE
TRADE DEFICIT
TRADE DEFICITS
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE POLICIES
TRADE PROTECTION
TRADE SURPLUS
TRADE SURPLUSES
UNCERTAINTIES
UNDERVALUATION
VALUE ADDED
WAGES
WEALTH
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD ECONOMY
WORLD MARKET
WORLD MARKETS
WORLD TRADE
WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
WTO
Rodrik, Dani
Growth after the Crisis
relation Commission on Growth and Development Working Paper;No.65
description How hospitable will the global environment be for economic growth in the developing world as we come out of the present financial crisis? The answer depends on how well the author manage the following tension. On the one hand, global macro stability requires that we prevent external imbalances from getting too large. On the other hand, growth in poor nations requires that the world economy be able to absorb a rapid increase in the supply of tradable produced in the developing world. It is possible to render these two requirements compatible, but doing so requires greater use of explicit industrial policies in developing countries, which have the potential of encouraging of modern tradable activities without spilling over into trade surpluses. The 'price' to be paid for greater discipline on real exchange rates and external imbalances is greater use (and permissiveness) towards industrial polices.
format Working Paper
author Rodrik, Dani
author_facet Rodrik, Dani
author_sort Rodrik, Dani
title Growth after the Crisis
title_short Growth after the Crisis
title_full Growth after the Crisis
title_fullStr Growth after the Crisis
title_full_unstemmed Growth after the Crisis
title_sort growth after the crisis
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2017
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/527211468341071399/Growth-after-the-crisis
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27937
_version_ 1764465533357391872
spelling okr-10986-279372021-04-23T14:04:45Z Growth after the Crisis Rodrik, Dani ABSOLUTE VALUE ADVANCED COUNTRIES ADVANCED ECONOMIES ADVERSE EFFECTS AGENCY PROBLEMS AGRICULTURE ALLOCATIVE EFFICIENCY ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE ASSETS BILATERAL TRADE BILL BINDING CONSTRAINT CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL INFLOW CAPITAL INFLOWS CAPITAL MOBILITY CAPITAL OUTFLOWS CHLORINE CLIMATE CHANGE COMMODITY COMMODITY PRICES COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES CONDITIONALITY CONSUMERS CONTRACT ENFORCEMENT COST OF CAPITAL COUNTRY CASE COUNTRY DUMMIES COUNTRY FIXED EFFECTS CROSS COUNTRY CURRENCY CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCES CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS CURRENT ACCOUNT IMBALANCES CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUSES DEFICITS DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEPRECIATION DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPED WORLD DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING COUNTRY DEVELOPING ECONOMIES DEVELOPING WORLD DEVELOPMENT PRACTITIONERS DIVERSIFICATION DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION DOMESTIC DEMAND DOMESTIC SAVING DUAL ECONOMY DUTCH DISEASE ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC HISTORY ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ECONOMIC RELATIONS ECONOMIC RESEARCH ECONOMICS EMISSIONS ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES ENVIRONMENTAL ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS EQUILIBRIUM ESTIMATED COEFFICIENT ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS EXCESS SUPPLY EXPENDITURE FUNCTION EXPENDITURES EXPORT PERFORMANCE EXPORT PROCESSING ZONES EXPORT VOLUMES EXPORTERS EXPORTS EXTERNAL BALANCE EXTERNAL DEFICITS EXTERNAL FINANCE EXTERNAL IMBALANCES EXTERNAL TRADE EXTERNALITIES FACTOR ENDOWMENTS FINANCIAL CRISES FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION FINANCIAL MARKETS FINANCIAL STABILITY FISCAL DEFICITS FISCAL POLICIES FISCAL POLICY FIXED EFFECTS FOREIGN CAPITAL FOREIGN COMPANIES GDP GDP PER CAPITA GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM GLOBAL MACRO GLOBAL RISK GLOBALIZATION GOLD GOLD STANDARD GREENHOUSE GASES GROWTH PERFORMANCE GROWTH POTENTIAL GROWTH PROCESS GROWTH PROSPECTS GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES GROWTH THEORY HIGH GROWTH IMBALANCES IMPORT IMPORT BARRIERS IMPORT DEMAND IMPORTS INCENTIVE EFFECTS INCOME INCOME LEVELS INCOME SHARE INCOMES INCREASE GROWTH INDUSTRIAL POLICY INDUSTRIAL SECTOR INDUSTRIALIZATION INDUSTRIALIZATION STRATEGY INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES INSTITUTIONAL ENVIRONMENT INTERMEDIATE INPUTS INTERNATIONAL TRADE INVESTMENT DEMAND INVESTMENT LEVELS JOB CREATION LABOR MARKETS LOCAL CONTENT LOCAL CURRENCY MACRO STABILITY MACROECONOMIC POLICIES MACROECONOMIC POLICY MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARKET EQUILIBRIUM MARKET FAILURES MARKET FORCES MONETARY POLICY NATURAL RESOURCES NEOCLASSICAL GROWTH MODEL NET CAPITAL NEW PRODUCTS OPEN CAPITAL ACCOUNTS OUTPUT PANEL REGRESSIONS PER CAPITA GROWTH POLICY CHANGES POLICY ENVIRONMENT POLICY MAKERS POLICY OPTIONS POLITICAL ECONOMY POOR COUNTRIES POSTWAR PERIOD POVERTY REDUCTION PRICE INCREASES PRIMARY COMMODITIES PRIMARY PRODUCTS PRIVATE SAVING PRODUCERS PRODUCTIVITY PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES PROFITABILITY PROPERTY RIGHTS PUBLIC FINANCE PUBLIC POLICY RAPID ECONOMIC GROWTH RAPID LIBERALIZATION RATE OF GROWTH REAL EXCHANGE RATE REAL EXCHANGE RATE APPRECIATION REAL EXCHANGE RATES REAL INCOME RED TAPE RELATIVE PRICE RELATIVE PRICES RICH COUNTRIES RISK SHARING SCATTER PLOTS SIGNIFICANT EFFECT SLOW GROWTH SLOWDOWN STANDARD DEVIATION STRUCTURAL CHANGE SUPPLY RESPONSE SUPPLY SIDE TAX TAX REVENUE TECHNOLOGICAL ADVANCE TERMS OF TRADE TRADABLE GOOD TRADABLE GOODS TRADABLE SECTORS TRADE BALANCE TRADE DEFICIT TRADE DEFICITS TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE POLICIES TRADE PROTECTION TRADE SURPLUS TRADE SURPLUSES UNCERTAINTIES UNDERVALUATION VALUE ADDED WAGES WEALTH WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS WORLD ECONOMY WORLD MARKET WORLD MARKETS WORLD TRADE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION WTO How hospitable will the global environment be for economic growth in the developing world as we come out of the present financial crisis? The answer depends on how well the author manage the following tension. On the one hand, global macro stability requires that we prevent external imbalances from getting too large. On the other hand, growth in poor nations requires that the world economy be able to absorb a rapid increase in the supply of tradable produced in the developing world. It is possible to render these two requirements compatible, but doing so requires greater use of explicit industrial policies in developing countries, which have the potential of encouraging of modern tradable activities without spilling over into trade surpluses. The 'price' to be paid for greater discipline on real exchange rates and external imbalances is greater use (and permissiveness) towards industrial polices. 2017-08-17T21:49:57Z 2017-08-17T21:49:57Z 2009 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/527211468341071399/Growth-after-the-crisis http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27937 English en_US Commission on Growth and Development Working Paper;No.65 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Working Paper Publications & Research