Liberalizing Trade, and Its Impact on Poverty and Inequality in Nicaragua

The Doha round of multilateral trade negotiations stalled in 2008 owing in no small degree to a lack of agreement on the terms of substantially reducing trade-distorting support for agricultural products and to what extent this will be beneficial t...

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Main Authors: Sánchez, Marco V., Vos, Rob
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2017
Subjects:
CD
EPZ
GDP
TAX
WTO
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/282841468110038167/Liberalizing-trade-and-its-impact-on-poverty-and-inequality-in-Nicaragua
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28145
id okr-10986-28145
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic AGGREGATE IMPORTS
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
AGRICULTURAL INCENTIVES
AGRICULTURAL INCOMES
AGRICULTURAL MARKETS
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
AGRICULTURAL SUPPORT
AGRICULTURAL TRADE
AGRICULTURAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION
AGRICULTURE
APPAREL
AVERAGE TARIFF
BASE YEAR
BILATERAL AGREEMENTS
BILATERAL TRADE
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL GOOD
CAPITAL GOODS
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MARKET
CAPITAL STOCK
CAPITAL STOCKS
CD
CENTRAL BANK
CIVIL WAR
COMMODITIES
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICE
COMMODITY PRICES
COMMON MARKET
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMER PRICES
CONSUMERS
COUNTERFACTUAL SIMULATIONS
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
CUSTOMS PROCEDURES
DEFLATORS
DEMAND FOR CAPITAL
DEMOGRAPHIC
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DOMESTIC MARKET
DOMESTIC MARKETS
DOMESTIC PRICE
DOMESTIC PRICES
DOMESTIC PRODUCERS
DOMESTIC PRODUCTION
ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
ECONOMIC SECTORS
ECONOMIC WELFARE
ELASTICITY
ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES
EPZ
EQUILIBRIUM
EXCHANGE RATE
EXOGENOUS VARIABLES
EXPORT COMMODITY
EXPORT EARNINGS
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORT PRICE
EXPORT PRICES
EXPORT PROCESSING
EXPORT PROCESSING ZONE
EXPORT SUBSIDIES
EXPORT SUPPLY
EXPORT TAXES
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
EXPOSURE
EXTERNAL TERMS OF TRADE
EXTREME POVERTY
FACTORS OF PRODUCTION
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FISCAL DEFICIT
FIXED INVESTMENT
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FREE ACCESS
FREE TRADE
FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
GDP
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS
GINI COEFFICIENT
GLOBAL COMPETITION
GLOBAL TRADE
GLOBAL TRADE ANALYSIS
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HUMAN CAPITAL
IMPACT OF TRADE
IMPACT OF TRADE LIBERALIZATION
IMPORT
IMPORT COMPETITION
IMPORT CONTENT
IMPORT DUTIES
IMPORT PRICES
IMPORT PROTECTION
IMPORT TARIFF
IMPORT TARIFFS
INCOME
INCOME LEVELS
INCOMES
INDEXATION
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS
INVENTORY
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKET ADJUSTMENT
LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES
LABOR MARKET STRUCTURE
LABOR MARKETS
LIBERALIZATION OF TRADE
LIBERALIZATIONS
LIVING STANDARDS
LOCAL CURRENCY
MACROECONOMIC INSTABILITY
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MARGINAL PROPENSITY TO SAVE
MARKET ACCESS
MARKET CONDITIONS
MARKET PRICES
MARKET STRUCTURE
MARKET STRUCTURES
MONOPOLIES
MULTILATERAL TRADE
MULTILATERAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION
NET CAPITAL
OUTPUT
PER CAPITA INCOME
POPULATION AGEING
POVERTY REDUCTION
PREFERENTIAL ACCESS
PREFERENTIAL MARKET ACCESS
PRICE DISTORTIONS
PRICE LIBERALIZATION
PRICE SUPPORT
PRIMARY GOODS
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRIVATE SAVINGS
PRODUCTION COSTS
PRODUCTIVITY
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
PROFIT MAXIMIZATION
PROTECTION DATA
PROTECTION STRUCTURE
PUBLIC UTILITY
QUANTITATIVE RESTRICTIONS
QUOTAS
RATE OF GROWTH
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL GDP
REAL WAGE GROWTH
REGIONAL TRADE
RULES OF ORIGIN
RURAL INFRASTRUCTURE
SAFEGUARD MEASURES
SAVINGS
SKILLED WORKERS
TARIFF RATE
TARIFF RATES
TARIFF REDUCTION
TARIFF REDUCTIONS
TARIFF REVENUES
TARIFFS ON IMPORTS
TAX
TAX RATE
TAX RATES
TAXATION
TERMS OF TRADE
TOTAL EXPORTS
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
TRADE BALANCE
TRADE BARRIERS
TRADE DEFICIT
TRADE EFFECTS
TRADE FLOWS
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE MODELS
TRADE NEGOTIATIONS
TRADE OPENING
TRADE OPENNESS
TRADE POLICIES
TRADE POLICY
TRADE PREFERENCES
TRADE PROTECTION
TRADE REFORM
TRADE SHOCK
TRADE SHOCKS
TRADE STRUCTURE
TRADE TAX
TRADE TAXES
TRADING PARTNER
TRADING PARTNERS
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
UNILATERAL LIBERALIZATION
UNILATERAL TRADE
UNILATERAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION
UNSKILLED WORKERS
VALUE ADDED
VALUE OF EXPORTS
VALUE OF IMPORTS
VOLATILITY
WAGE GROWTH
WAGES
WELFARE GAINS
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD MARKET
WORLD MARKETS
WORLD PRICES
WORLD TRADE
WTO
spellingShingle AGGREGATE IMPORTS
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
AGRICULTURAL INCENTIVES
AGRICULTURAL INCOMES
AGRICULTURAL MARKETS
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
AGRICULTURAL SUPPORT
AGRICULTURAL TRADE
AGRICULTURAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION
AGRICULTURE
APPAREL
AVERAGE TARIFF
BASE YEAR
BILATERAL AGREEMENTS
BILATERAL TRADE
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL GOOD
CAPITAL GOODS
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MARKET
CAPITAL STOCK
CAPITAL STOCKS
CD
CENTRAL BANK
CIVIL WAR
COMMODITIES
COMMODITY
COMMODITY PRICE
COMMODITY PRICES
COMMON MARKET
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMER PRICES
CONSUMERS
COUNTERFACTUAL SIMULATIONS
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
CUSTOMS PROCEDURES
DEFLATORS
DEMAND FOR CAPITAL
DEMOGRAPHIC
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
DOMESTIC MARKET
DOMESTIC MARKETS
DOMESTIC PRICE
DOMESTIC PRICES
DOMESTIC PRODUCERS
DOMESTIC PRODUCTION
ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
ECONOMIC SECTORS
ECONOMIC WELFARE
ELASTICITY
ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES
EPZ
EQUILIBRIUM
EXCHANGE RATE
EXOGENOUS VARIABLES
EXPORT COMMODITY
EXPORT EARNINGS
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORT PRICE
EXPORT PRICES
EXPORT PROCESSING
EXPORT PROCESSING ZONE
EXPORT SUBSIDIES
EXPORT SUPPLY
EXPORT TAXES
EXPORTERS
EXPORTS
EXPOSURE
EXTERNAL TERMS OF TRADE
EXTREME POVERTY
FACTORS OF PRODUCTION
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FISCAL DEFICIT
FIXED INVESTMENT
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FREE ACCESS
FREE TRADE
FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
GDP
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS
GINI COEFFICIENT
GLOBAL COMPETITION
GLOBAL TRADE
GLOBAL TRADE ANALYSIS
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HUMAN CAPITAL
IMPACT OF TRADE
IMPACT OF TRADE LIBERALIZATION
IMPORT
IMPORT COMPETITION
IMPORT CONTENT
IMPORT DUTIES
IMPORT PRICES
IMPORT PROTECTION
IMPORT TARIFF
IMPORT TARIFFS
INCOME
INCOME LEVELS
INCOMES
INDEXATION
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS
INVENTORY
LABOR MARKET
LABOR MARKET ADJUSTMENT
LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES
LABOR MARKET STRUCTURE
LABOR MARKETS
LIBERALIZATION OF TRADE
LIBERALIZATIONS
LIVING STANDARDS
LOCAL CURRENCY
MACROECONOMIC INSTABILITY
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MARGINAL PROPENSITY TO SAVE
MARKET ACCESS
MARKET CONDITIONS
MARKET PRICES
MARKET STRUCTURE
MARKET STRUCTURES
MONOPOLIES
MULTILATERAL TRADE
MULTILATERAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION
NET CAPITAL
OUTPUT
PER CAPITA INCOME
POPULATION AGEING
POVERTY REDUCTION
PREFERENTIAL ACCESS
PREFERENTIAL MARKET ACCESS
PRICE DISTORTIONS
PRICE LIBERALIZATION
PRICE SUPPORT
PRIMARY GOODS
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
PRIVATE SAVINGS
PRODUCTION COSTS
PRODUCTIVITY
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
PROFIT MAXIMIZATION
PROTECTION DATA
PROTECTION STRUCTURE
PUBLIC UTILITY
QUANTITATIVE RESTRICTIONS
QUOTAS
RATE OF GROWTH
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL GDP
REAL WAGE GROWTH
REGIONAL TRADE
RULES OF ORIGIN
RURAL INFRASTRUCTURE
SAFEGUARD MEASURES
SAVINGS
SKILLED WORKERS
TARIFF RATE
TARIFF RATES
TARIFF REDUCTION
TARIFF REDUCTIONS
TARIFF REVENUES
TARIFFS ON IMPORTS
TAX
TAX RATE
TAX RATES
TAXATION
TERMS OF TRADE
TOTAL EXPORTS
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
TRADE BALANCE
TRADE BARRIERS
TRADE DEFICIT
TRADE EFFECTS
TRADE FLOWS
TRADE LIBERALIZATION
TRADE MODELS
TRADE NEGOTIATIONS
TRADE OPENING
TRADE OPENNESS
TRADE POLICIES
TRADE POLICY
TRADE PREFERENCES
TRADE PROTECTION
TRADE REFORM
TRADE SHOCK
TRADE SHOCKS
TRADE STRUCTURE
TRADE TAX
TRADE TAXES
TRADING PARTNER
TRADING PARTNERS
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
UNILATERAL LIBERALIZATION
UNILATERAL TRADE
UNILATERAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION
UNSKILLED WORKERS
VALUE ADDED
VALUE OF EXPORTS
VALUE OF IMPORTS
VOLATILITY
WAGE GROWTH
WAGES
WELFARE GAINS
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD MARKET
WORLD MARKETS
WORLD PRICES
WORLD TRADE
WTO
Sánchez, Marco V.
Vos, Rob
Liberalizing Trade, and Its Impact on Poverty and Inequality in Nicaragua
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Nicaragua
relation Agricultural Distortions Working Paper;107
description The Doha round of multilateral trade negotiations stalled in 2008 owing in no small degree to a lack of agreement on the terms of substantially reducing trade-distorting support for agricultural products and to what extent this will be beneficial to developing countries. Nicaragua presents an interesting case in point, being one of the poorest economies in Latin America with still a relatively large agricultural sector and high degrees of rural poverty. In 2005, the country signed a free trade agreement with the United States. This chapter provides a quantitative analysis addressing that question. It does so using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model for Nicaragua coupled with a micro-simulation methodology. The first section provides background information on trade reform policies and macroeconomic trends in Nicaragua, with special reference to the agricultural sector and rural poverty. The section that follows describes the main features of the CGE model and the micro-simulation methodology used to assess the impact on poverty and inequality. The author then lay out the model scenarios considered, which include liberalizations of agricultural and all merchandise goods trade by the rest of the world and by Nicaragua itself. That is followed by a summary analysis of results. This analysis includes tests for the sensitivity of the results with respect to assumptions regarding the responsiveness of trade to price liberalization, as identified through the relevant trade elasticities. The final section provides conclusions and possible policy implications.
format Working Paper
author Sánchez, Marco V.
Vos, Rob
author_facet Sánchez, Marco V.
Vos, Rob
author_sort Sánchez, Marco V.
title Liberalizing Trade, and Its Impact on Poverty and Inequality in Nicaragua
title_short Liberalizing Trade, and Its Impact on Poverty and Inequality in Nicaragua
title_full Liberalizing Trade, and Its Impact on Poverty and Inequality in Nicaragua
title_fullStr Liberalizing Trade, and Its Impact on Poverty and Inequality in Nicaragua
title_full_unstemmed Liberalizing Trade, and Its Impact on Poverty and Inequality in Nicaragua
title_sort liberalizing trade, and its impact on poverty and inequality in nicaragua
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2017
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/282841468110038167/Liberalizing-trade-and-its-impact-on-poverty-and-inequality-in-Nicaragua
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28145
_version_ 1764465386598694912
spelling okr-10986-281452021-04-23T14:04:45Z Liberalizing Trade, and Its Impact on Poverty and Inequality in Nicaragua Sánchez, Marco V. Vos, Rob AGGREGATE IMPORTS AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AGRICULTURAL INCENTIVES AGRICULTURAL INCOMES AGRICULTURAL MARKETS AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS AGRICULTURAL SUPPORT AGRICULTURAL TRADE AGRICULTURAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION AGRICULTURE APPAREL AVERAGE TARIFF BASE YEAR BILATERAL AGREEMENTS BILATERAL TRADE CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL GOOD CAPITAL GOODS CAPITAL INFLOWS CAPITAL MARKET CAPITAL STOCK CAPITAL STOCKS CD CENTRAL BANK CIVIL WAR COMMODITIES COMMODITY COMMODITY PRICE COMMODITY PRICES COMMON MARKET CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMER PRICES CONSUMERS COUNTERFACTUAL SIMULATIONS CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE CUSTOMS PROCEDURES DEFLATORS DEMAND FOR CAPITAL DEMOGRAPHIC DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT POLICY DOMESTIC MARKET DOMESTIC MARKETS DOMESTIC PRICE DOMESTIC PRICES DOMESTIC PRODUCERS DOMESTIC PRODUCTION ECONOMIC INTEGRATION ECONOMIC SECTORS ECONOMIC WELFARE ELASTICITY ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES EPZ EQUILIBRIUM EXCHANGE RATE EXOGENOUS VARIABLES EXPORT COMMODITY EXPORT EARNINGS EXPORT GROWTH EXPORT PRICE EXPORT PRICES EXPORT PROCESSING EXPORT PROCESSING ZONE EXPORT SUBSIDIES EXPORT SUPPLY EXPORT TAXES EXPORTERS EXPORTS EXPOSURE EXTERNAL TERMS OF TRADE EXTREME POVERTY FACTORS OF PRODUCTION FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS FISCAL DEFICIT FIXED INVESTMENT FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FREE ACCESS FREE TRADE FREE TRADE AGREEMENT GDP GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS GINI COEFFICIENT GLOBAL COMPETITION GLOBAL TRADE GLOBAL TRADE ANALYSIS GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HUMAN CAPITAL IMPACT OF TRADE IMPACT OF TRADE LIBERALIZATION IMPORT IMPORT COMPETITION IMPORT CONTENT IMPORT DUTIES IMPORT PRICES IMPORT PROTECTION IMPORT TARIFF IMPORT TARIFFS INCOME INCOME LEVELS INCOMES INDEXATION INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS INVENTORY LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKET ADJUSTMENT LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES LABOR MARKET STRUCTURE LABOR MARKETS LIBERALIZATION OF TRADE LIBERALIZATIONS LIVING STANDARDS LOCAL CURRENCY MACROECONOMIC INSTABILITY MACROECONOMIC POLICIES MARGINAL PROPENSITY TO SAVE MARKET ACCESS MARKET CONDITIONS MARKET PRICES MARKET STRUCTURE MARKET STRUCTURES MONOPOLIES MULTILATERAL TRADE MULTILATERAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION NET CAPITAL OUTPUT PER CAPITA INCOME POPULATION AGEING POVERTY REDUCTION PREFERENTIAL ACCESS PREFERENTIAL MARKET ACCESS PRICE DISTORTIONS PRICE LIBERALIZATION PRICE SUPPORT PRIMARY GOODS PRIVATE INVESTMENT PRIVATE SAVINGS PRODUCTION COSTS PRODUCTIVITY PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PROFIT MAXIMIZATION PROTECTION DATA PROTECTION STRUCTURE PUBLIC UTILITY QUANTITATIVE RESTRICTIONS QUOTAS RATE OF GROWTH REAL EXCHANGE RATE REAL GDP REAL WAGE GROWTH REGIONAL TRADE RULES OF ORIGIN RURAL INFRASTRUCTURE SAFEGUARD MEASURES SAVINGS SKILLED WORKERS TARIFF RATE TARIFF RATES TARIFF REDUCTION TARIFF REDUCTIONS TARIFF REVENUES TARIFFS ON IMPORTS TAX TAX RATE TAX RATES TAXATION TERMS OF TRADE TOTAL EXPORTS TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY TRADE BALANCE TRADE BARRIERS TRADE DEFICIT TRADE EFFECTS TRADE FLOWS TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE MODELS TRADE NEGOTIATIONS TRADE OPENING TRADE OPENNESS TRADE POLICIES TRADE POLICY TRADE PREFERENCES TRADE PROTECTION TRADE REFORM TRADE SHOCK TRADE SHOCKS TRADE STRUCTURE TRADE TAX TRADE TAXES TRADING PARTNER TRADING PARTNERS UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE UNEMPLOYMENT RATES UNILATERAL LIBERALIZATION UNILATERAL TRADE UNILATERAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION UNSKILLED WORKERS VALUE ADDED VALUE OF EXPORTS VALUE OF IMPORTS VOLATILITY WAGE GROWTH WAGES WELFARE GAINS WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS WORLD MARKET WORLD MARKETS WORLD PRICES WORLD TRADE WTO The Doha round of multilateral trade negotiations stalled in 2008 owing in no small degree to a lack of agreement on the terms of substantially reducing trade-distorting support for agricultural products and to what extent this will be beneficial to developing countries. Nicaragua presents an interesting case in point, being one of the poorest economies in Latin America with still a relatively large agricultural sector and high degrees of rural poverty. In 2005, the country signed a free trade agreement with the United States. This chapter provides a quantitative analysis addressing that question. It does so using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model for Nicaragua coupled with a micro-simulation methodology. The first section provides background information on trade reform policies and macroeconomic trends in Nicaragua, with special reference to the agricultural sector and rural poverty. The section that follows describes the main features of the CGE model and the micro-simulation methodology used to assess the impact on poverty and inequality. The author then lay out the model scenarios considered, which include liberalizations of agricultural and all merchandise goods trade by the rest of the world and by Nicaragua itself. That is followed by a summary analysis of results. This analysis includes tests for the sensitivity of the results with respect to assumptions regarding the responsiveness of trade to price liberalization, as identified through the relevant trade elasticities. The final section provides conclusions and possible policy implications. 2017-09-07T15:48:27Z 2017-09-07T15:48:27Z 2009-06 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/282841468110038167/Liberalizing-trade-and-its-impact-on-poverty-and-inequality-in-Nicaragua http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28145 English en_US Agricultural Distortions Working Paper;107 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Working Paper Publications & Research Latin America & Caribbean Nicaragua