Inequality and Poverty Impacts of Trade Distortions in Mozambique
Although Mozambique has considerable agricultural potential, rural poverty remains extremely high. This paper examines the extent to which global and domestic price distortions affect agricultural production and national poverty. The author develop...
Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | Working Paper |
Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2017
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/239561468060918537/Inequality-and-poverty-impacts-of-trade-distortions-in-Mozambique http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28176 |
Summary: | Although Mozambique has considerable
agricultural potential, rural poverty remains extremely
high. This paper examines the extent to which global and
domestic price distortions affect agricultural production
and national poverty. The author develops a computable
general equilibrium (CGE) and micro-simulation model of
Mozambique that is linked to the results of a global model.
This framework is used to examine the effects of eliminating
global and national price distortions. Model results
indicate that agriculture is adversely affected by current
trade distortions due to policies in the rest of the world.
While a removal of all merchandise trade distortions will
reduce import prices, it will also raise agricultural
production and reduce poverty. By contrast, removing only
agricultural price distortions abroad will have little
effect on Mozambique's agricultural sector. Model
results indicate that Mozambique's own distortions are
also biased against agriculture, with producers of processed
agricultural products enjoying high protection levels.
Removing these distortions causes a significant expansion of
agricultural Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and a reduction in
both poverty and inequality. The findings therefore suggest
that removing own-country and rest-of-world distortions will
have positive implications for agriculture and for the
overall economy in Mozambique, and in particular it will
reduce its poverty and inequality. |
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