When is the Government Transfer Multiplier Large?

Transfers to individuals were a larger part of the 2009 U.S. stimulus package than government purchases. Using a two-agent New Keynesian model, this paper shows analytically that the multiplier on targeted transfers to financially constrained house...

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Main Authors: Giambattista, Eric, Pennings, Steven
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/786831504723306335/When-is-the-government-transfer-multiplier-large
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28361
id okr-10986-28361
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-283612021-06-08T14:42:48Z When is the Government Transfer Multiplier Large? Giambattista, Eric Pennings, Steven TRANSFERS MONETARY MULTIPLIER AGGREGATE DEMAND INFLATION Transfers to individuals were a larger part of the 2009 U.S. stimulus package than government purchases. Using a two-agent New Keynesian model, this paper shows analytically that the multiplier on targeted transfers to financially constrained households is (i) larger than the purchase multiplier if the zero lower bound (ZLB) binds, and (ii) is more sensitive to the degree of monetary accommodation of inflation. Targeted transfers provide the same boost to demand as purchases, but lower aggregate supply relative to purchases, as those receiving transfers want to work less. When the aggregate demand curve inverts, such as when the zero lower bound binds, the extra inflation from lower supply boosts the multiplier. This result also holds quantitatively in a medium-scale version of the model. 2017-09-21T18:31:30Z 2017-09-21T18:31:30Z 2017-09 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/786831504723306335/When-is-the-government-transfer-multiplier-large http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28361 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8184 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper United States
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic TRANSFERS
MONETARY MULTIPLIER
AGGREGATE DEMAND
INFLATION
spellingShingle TRANSFERS
MONETARY MULTIPLIER
AGGREGATE DEMAND
INFLATION
Giambattista, Eric
Pennings, Steven
When is the Government Transfer Multiplier Large?
geographic_facet United States
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8184
description Transfers to individuals were a larger part of the 2009 U.S. stimulus package than government purchases. Using a two-agent New Keynesian model, this paper shows analytically that the multiplier on targeted transfers to financially constrained households is (i) larger than the purchase multiplier if the zero lower bound (ZLB) binds, and (ii) is more sensitive to the degree of monetary accommodation of inflation. Targeted transfers provide the same boost to demand as purchases, but lower aggregate supply relative to purchases, as those receiving transfers want to work less. When the aggregate demand curve inverts, such as when the zero lower bound binds, the extra inflation from lower supply boosts the multiplier. This result also holds quantitatively in a medium-scale version of the model.
format Working Paper
author Giambattista, Eric
Pennings, Steven
author_facet Giambattista, Eric
Pennings, Steven
author_sort Giambattista, Eric
title When is the Government Transfer Multiplier Large?
title_short When is the Government Transfer Multiplier Large?
title_full When is the Government Transfer Multiplier Large?
title_fullStr When is the Government Transfer Multiplier Large?
title_full_unstemmed When is the Government Transfer Multiplier Large?
title_sort when is the government transfer multiplier large?
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2017
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/786831504723306335/When-is-the-government-transfer-multiplier-large
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28361
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