Which Emerging Markets and Developing Economies Face Corporate Balance Sheet Vulnerabilities? : A Novel Monitoring Framework
This paper introduces a novel corporate financial vulnerability index that tracks financial conditions of the non-financial corporate sector. Using the balance sheet information of 14,207 listed non-financial firms in 69 emerging markets and develo...
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/414901505845252068/Which-emerging-markets-and-developing-economies-face-corporate-balance-sheet-vulnerabilities-a-novel-monitoring-framework http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28376 |
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okr-10986-283762021-06-08T14:42:48Z Which Emerging Markets and Developing Economies Face Corporate Balance Sheet Vulnerabilities? : A Novel Monitoring Framework Feyen, Erik Fiess, Norbert Zuccardi Huertas, Igor Lambert, Lara CORPORATE VULNERABILITY NON-FINANCIAL SECTOR DEBT STRUCTURE DEVELOPING ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES This paper introduces a novel corporate financial vulnerability index that tracks financial conditions of the non-financial corporate sector. Using the balance sheet information of 14,207 listed non-financial firms in 69 emerging markets and developing economies, the index shows that, at the global level, corporate vulnerability sharply increased since 2013 and stabilized in 2016. Regional trends are more heterogeneous, pointing to significant corporate vulnerabilities in Eastern Europe and Central Asia, as well as a deterioration of firms' financial conditions in Latin America, the Middle East and North Africa, and Sub-Saharan Africa in recent years. The energy sector has exhibited the fastest deterioration, especially since 2014, in part driven by the decline in oil prices. However, if currently relatively benign global funding conditions and higher commodity prices endure, companies may have an opportunity to strengthen their balance sheets. The paper also finds that the index has leading indicator properties for socioeconomic outcomes, such as a rise in unemployment and an economic recession, and outperforms a commonly used "debt at risk" approach. 2017-09-21T21:09:50Z 2017-09-21T21:09:50Z 2017-09 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/414901505845252068/Which-emerging-markets-and-developing-economies-face-corporate-balance-sheet-vulnerabilities-a-novel-monitoring-framework http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28376 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8198 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Europe and Central Asia Latin America & Caribbean Middle East and North Africa |
repository_type |
Digital Repository |
institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
institution |
Digital Repositories |
building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
collection |
World Bank |
language |
English en_US |
topic |
CORPORATE VULNERABILITY NON-FINANCIAL SECTOR DEBT STRUCTURE DEVELOPING ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES |
spellingShingle |
CORPORATE VULNERABILITY NON-FINANCIAL SECTOR DEBT STRUCTURE DEVELOPING ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES Feyen, Erik Fiess, Norbert Zuccardi Huertas, Igor Lambert, Lara Which Emerging Markets and Developing Economies Face Corporate Balance Sheet Vulnerabilities? : A Novel Monitoring Framework |
geographic_facet |
Europe and Central Asia Latin America & Caribbean Middle East and North Africa |
relation |
Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8198 |
description |
This paper introduces a novel corporate
financial vulnerability index that tracks financial
conditions of the non-financial corporate sector. Using the
balance sheet information of 14,207 listed non-financial
firms in 69 emerging markets and developing economies, the
index shows that, at the global level, corporate
vulnerability sharply increased since 2013 and stabilized in
2016. Regional trends are more heterogeneous, pointing to
significant corporate vulnerabilities in Eastern Europe and
Central Asia, as well as a deterioration of firms'
financial conditions in Latin America, the Middle East and
North Africa, and Sub-Saharan Africa in recent years. The
energy sector has exhibited the fastest deterioration,
especially since 2014, in part driven by the decline in oil
prices. However, if currently relatively benign global
funding conditions and higher commodity prices endure,
companies may have an opportunity to strengthen their
balance sheets. The paper also finds that the index has
leading indicator properties for socioeconomic outcomes,
such as a rise in unemployment and an economic recession,
and outperforms a commonly used "debt at risk" approach. |
format |
Working Paper |
author |
Feyen, Erik Fiess, Norbert Zuccardi Huertas, Igor Lambert, Lara |
author_facet |
Feyen, Erik Fiess, Norbert Zuccardi Huertas, Igor Lambert, Lara |
author_sort |
Feyen, Erik |
title |
Which Emerging Markets and Developing Economies Face Corporate Balance Sheet Vulnerabilities? : A Novel Monitoring Framework |
title_short |
Which Emerging Markets and Developing Economies Face Corporate Balance Sheet Vulnerabilities? : A Novel Monitoring Framework |
title_full |
Which Emerging Markets and Developing Economies Face Corporate Balance Sheet Vulnerabilities? : A Novel Monitoring Framework |
title_fullStr |
Which Emerging Markets and Developing Economies Face Corporate Balance Sheet Vulnerabilities? : A Novel Monitoring Framework |
title_full_unstemmed |
Which Emerging Markets and Developing Economies Face Corporate Balance Sheet Vulnerabilities? : A Novel Monitoring Framework |
title_sort |
which emerging markets and developing economies face corporate balance sheet vulnerabilities? : a novel monitoring framework |
publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/414901505845252068/Which-emerging-markets-and-developing-economies-face-corporate-balance-sheet-vulnerabilities-a-novel-monitoring-framework http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28376 |
_version_ |
1764466745339281408 |