Financial Development, Growth, and Crisis : Is There a Trade-Off?

This paper reviews the evolving literature that links financial development, financial crises, and economic growth in the past 20 years. The initial disconnect -- with one literature focusing on the effect of financial deepening on long -- run grow...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Loayza, Norman, Ouazad, Amine, Ranciere, Romain
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/512501510080248213/Financial-development-growth-and-crisis-is-there-a-trade-off
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28856
id okr-10986-28856
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-288562021-06-08T14:42:47Z Financial Development, Growth, and Crisis : Is There a Trade-Off? Loayza, Norman Ouazad, Amine Ranciere, Romain FINANCE DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH PRODUCTIVITY ECONOMIC SHOCKS VOLATILITY RISK MACROPRUDENTIAL POLICY This paper reviews the evolving literature that links financial development, financial crises, and economic growth in the past 20 years. The initial disconnect -- with one literature focusing on the effect of financial deepening on long -- run growth and another studying its impact on volatility and crisis—has given way to a more nuanced approach that analyzes the two phenomena in an integrated framework. The main finding of this literature is that financial deepening leads to a trade-off between higher economic growth and higher crisis risk; and its main conclusion is that, for at least middle-income countries, the positive growth effects outweigh the negative crisis risk impact. This balanced view has been revisited recently for advanced economies, where an emerging and controversial literature supports the notion of "too much finance," suggesting that there might be a threshold beyond which financial depth becomes detrimental for economic growth by crowding out other productive activities and misallocating resources. Nevertheless, the growth/crisis trade-off is alive and strong for a large share of the world economy. Recognizing the intrinsic trade-offs of financial development can provide a useful framework to design policies targeting financial deepening, diversity, and inclusion. In particular, acknowledging the trade-offs can highlight the need for complementary policies to mitigate the risks, from financial macroprudential policies to monetary policy frameworks that monitor the growth of credit and asset prices. 2017-11-14T21:59:41Z 2017-11-14T21:59:41Z 2017-11 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/512501510080248213/Financial-development-growth-and-crisis-is-there-a-trade-off http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28856 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8237 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic FINANCE
DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
PRODUCTIVITY
ECONOMIC SHOCKS
VOLATILITY
RISK
MACROPRUDENTIAL POLICY
spellingShingle FINANCE
DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
PRODUCTIVITY
ECONOMIC SHOCKS
VOLATILITY
RISK
MACROPRUDENTIAL POLICY
Loayza, Norman
Ouazad, Amine
Ranciere, Romain
Financial Development, Growth, and Crisis : Is There a Trade-Off?
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8237
description This paper reviews the evolving literature that links financial development, financial crises, and economic growth in the past 20 years. The initial disconnect -- with one literature focusing on the effect of financial deepening on long -- run growth and another studying its impact on volatility and crisis—has given way to a more nuanced approach that analyzes the two phenomena in an integrated framework. The main finding of this literature is that financial deepening leads to a trade-off between higher economic growth and higher crisis risk; and its main conclusion is that, for at least middle-income countries, the positive growth effects outweigh the negative crisis risk impact. This balanced view has been revisited recently for advanced economies, where an emerging and controversial literature supports the notion of "too much finance," suggesting that there might be a threshold beyond which financial depth becomes detrimental for economic growth by crowding out other productive activities and misallocating resources. Nevertheless, the growth/crisis trade-off is alive and strong for a large share of the world economy. Recognizing the intrinsic trade-offs of financial development can provide a useful framework to design policies targeting financial deepening, diversity, and inclusion. In particular, acknowledging the trade-offs can highlight the need for complementary policies to mitigate the risks, from financial macroprudential policies to monetary policy frameworks that monitor the growth of credit and asset prices.
format Working Paper
author Loayza, Norman
Ouazad, Amine
Ranciere, Romain
author_facet Loayza, Norman
Ouazad, Amine
Ranciere, Romain
author_sort Loayza, Norman
title Financial Development, Growth, and Crisis : Is There a Trade-Off?
title_short Financial Development, Growth, and Crisis : Is There a Trade-Off?
title_full Financial Development, Growth, and Crisis : Is There a Trade-Off?
title_fullStr Financial Development, Growth, and Crisis : Is There a Trade-Off?
title_full_unstemmed Financial Development, Growth, and Crisis : Is There a Trade-Off?
title_sort financial development, growth, and crisis : is there a trade-off?
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2017
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/512501510080248213/Financial-development-growth-and-crisis-is-there-a-trade-off
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28856
_version_ 1764467880921923584