Kenya Economic Update, December 2017 : Poised to Bounce Back?

This is a critical time for Kenya, as the incoming administrations at national and devolved levels face the high expectations of ordinary Kenyans to deliver on ambitious economic development agendas and hasten the attainment of Vision 2030. This si...

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Main Author: World Bank Group
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Nairobi 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/140071512474376644/Kenya-economic-update-Poised-to-bounce-back-reviving-private-sector-credit-growth-and-boosting-revenue-mobilization-to-support-fiscal-consolidation
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29033
id okr-10986-29033
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-290332021-05-25T09:52:10Z Kenya Economic Update, December 2017 : Poised to Bounce Back? World Bank Group FISCAL FINANCE GROWTH POLICY FUNDS ECONOMIC GROWTH FISCAL TRENDS ECONOMIC OUTLOOK RISKS PUBLIC INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT ACCESS TO FINANCE INTEREST RATE CAP REVENUE CORPORATE INCOME TAX VAT This is a critical time for Kenya, as the incoming administrations at national and devolved levels face the high expectations of ordinary Kenyans to deliver on ambitious economic development agendas and hasten the attainment of Vision 2030. This sixteenth edition of the Kenya economic update seeks to contribute to the policy discourse on pertinent economic issues. The Kenyan economy faced multiple headwinds in 2017. A drought in the earlier half of the year, the ongoing slowdown in private sector credit growth, and a prolonged election cycle weakened private sector demand, notwithstanding an expansionary fiscal stance. Nonetheless, reflecting the relatively diverse economic structure, these headwinds were partially mitigated by the recovery in tourism, better rains in the second half of the year, still low global oil prices, and a relatively stable macroeconomic environment. With headwinds subsiding, economic growth is projected to rebound over the medium term, reaching about 5.8 percent in 2019. However, this rebound is predicated on policy reforms needed to address downside risks that have the potential to derail medium term prospects. This report presents a rich menu of policy options tabled in this edition of the Kenya Economic Update, identifying opportunities for the consolidation of the fiscal stance, both from an expenditure and revenue mobilization perspective. This is complimented with specific suggestions of macroeconomic and microeconomic reform measures that could help address the slowdown in credit growth and the broader issue of access to credit. Finally, policy options to climate proof the agriculture sector, to mitigate the worse effects of adverse weather conditions are discussed. 2017-12-18T22:33:48Z 2017-12-18T22:33:48Z 2017-12 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/140071512474376644/Kenya-economic-update-Poised-to-bounce-back-reviving-private-sector-credit-growth-and-boosting-revenue-mobilization-to-support-fiscal-consolidation http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29033 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Nairobi Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling Economic & Sector Work Africa Kenya
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic FISCAL
FINANCE
GROWTH
POLICY
FUNDS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
FISCAL TRENDS
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
RISKS
PUBLIC INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
ACCESS TO FINANCE
INTEREST RATE CAP
REVENUE
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
VAT
spellingShingle FISCAL
FINANCE
GROWTH
POLICY
FUNDS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
FISCAL TRENDS
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
RISKS
PUBLIC INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
ACCESS TO FINANCE
INTEREST RATE CAP
REVENUE
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
VAT
World Bank Group
Kenya Economic Update, December 2017 : Poised to Bounce Back?
geographic_facet Africa
Kenya
description This is a critical time for Kenya, as the incoming administrations at national and devolved levels face the high expectations of ordinary Kenyans to deliver on ambitious economic development agendas and hasten the attainment of Vision 2030. This sixteenth edition of the Kenya economic update seeks to contribute to the policy discourse on pertinent economic issues. The Kenyan economy faced multiple headwinds in 2017. A drought in the earlier half of the year, the ongoing slowdown in private sector credit growth, and a prolonged election cycle weakened private sector demand, notwithstanding an expansionary fiscal stance. Nonetheless, reflecting the relatively diverse economic structure, these headwinds were partially mitigated by the recovery in tourism, better rains in the second half of the year, still low global oil prices, and a relatively stable macroeconomic environment. With headwinds subsiding, economic growth is projected to rebound over the medium term, reaching about 5.8 percent in 2019. However, this rebound is predicated on policy reforms needed to address downside risks that have the potential to derail medium term prospects. This report presents a rich menu of policy options tabled in this edition of the Kenya Economic Update, identifying opportunities for the consolidation of the fiscal stance, both from an expenditure and revenue mobilization perspective. This is complimented with specific suggestions of macroeconomic and microeconomic reform measures that could help address the slowdown in credit growth and the broader issue of access to credit. Finally, policy options to climate proof the agriculture sector, to mitigate the worse effects of adverse weather conditions are discussed.
format Report
author World Bank Group
author_facet World Bank Group
author_sort World Bank Group
title Kenya Economic Update, December 2017 : Poised to Bounce Back?
title_short Kenya Economic Update, December 2017 : Poised to Bounce Back?
title_full Kenya Economic Update, December 2017 : Poised to Bounce Back?
title_fullStr Kenya Economic Update, December 2017 : Poised to Bounce Back?
title_full_unstemmed Kenya Economic Update, December 2017 : Poised to Bounce Back?
title_sort kenya economic update, december 2017 : poised to bounce back?
publisher World Bank, Nairobi
publishDate 2017
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/140071512474376644/Kenya-economic-update-Poised-to-bounce-back-reviving-private-sector-credit-growth-and-boosting-revenue-mobilization-to-support-fiscal-consolidation
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29033
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