Managed Labor Migration in Afghanistan : Demographic Profile, Short-Term Projections, and Supply of Migration in Afghanistan
Afghanistan has one of the youngest populations in Asia, creating strong demographic pressure in the labor market. Around 400,000 youth will continue to enter the labor force annually during the next years. Given the significant slowdown the countr...
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| Format: | Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2018
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/531281516915072603/Managed-labor-migration-in-Afghanistan-demographic-profile-short-term-projections-and-supply-of-migration-in-Afghanistan http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29278 |
| Summary: | Afghanistan has one of the youngest
populations in Asia, creating strong demographic pressure in
the labor market. Around 400,000 youth will continue to
enter the labor force annually during the next years. Given
the significant slowdown the country’s economic activity,
the pace at which jobs are generated is and will be
insufficient. Through an analysis of labor supply and
demand, thispaper estimates substantial net emigration
pressures for the years 2016–2030, on the order of around
200,000 people per year. The projected profile of future
migrants is one of young men with some basic level of
education and from middle-income households. In addition to
this economic migration, other factors like increased
insecurity, conflict, and natural disasters might further
accentuate these dynamics. |
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