Long-Run Impacts of Increasing Tobacco Taxes : Evidence from South Africa

Tobacco taxes are considered an effective policy tool to reduce tobacco consumption and produce long-run benefits that outweigh the costs associated with a price increase. Through this policy, some of the most adverse effects and economic costs of smoking can be reduced, including shorter life ex...

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Main Authors: Fuchs, Alan, Del Carmen, Giselle, Mukon, Alfred Kechia
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/705011519972901407/Long-run-impacts-of-increasing-tobacco-taxes-evidence-from-South-Africa
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29439
id okr-10986-29439
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-294392021-06-14T10:09:33Z Long-Run Impacts of Increasing Tobacco Taxes : Evidence from South Africa Fuchs, Alan Del Carmen, Giselle Mukon, Alfred Kechia TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO TAX SIN TAX TOBACCO CONSUMPTION TAXATION COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS HOUSEHOLD WELFARE DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACT REGRESSIVE TAX PROGRESSIVE TAX PRICE ELASTICITY MEDICAL EXPENSES LONGEVITY Tobacco taxes are considered an effective policy tool to reduce tobacco consumption and produce long-run benefits that outweigh the costs associated with a price increase. Through this policy, some of the most adverse effects and economic costs of smoking can be reduced, including shorter life expectancy, higher medical expenses, added years of disability among smokers, and the effects of secondhand smoke. Nonetheless, tobacco taxes are often considered regressive because low-income households tend to allocate a larger share of their budgets to purchasing tobacco products. This paper uses an extended cost-benefit analysis to estimate the distributional effect of tobacco taxes on household welfare in South Africa. The analysis considers the effect on household income through an increase in tobacco prices, changes in medical expenses, and the prolongation of working years. Results indicate that a rise in tobacco prices initially generates negative income variations across all groups in the population. If benefits through lower medical expenses and an expansion in working years are considered, the negative effect is reduced, particularly in medium- and upper-bound elasticities. Consequently, the aggregate net effect is progressive and benefits the bottom deciles more than the richer ones. Overall, tobacco tax increases exert a small, but positive effect in the presence of low conditional tobacco price elasticity. If the population is more responsive to tobacco price changes (or participation elasticity estimates are included) then they would experience even more gains from the health and work benefits. More research is needed to clarify the distributional effects of tobacco taxation in South Africa. 2018-03-08T16:40:44Z 2018-03-08T16:40:44Z 2018-02-26 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/705011519972901407/Long-run-impacts-of-increasing-tobacco-taxes-evidence-from-South-Africa http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29439 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Other Health Study Economic & Sector Work Africa South Africa
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic TOBACCO CONTROL
TOBACCO TAX
SIN TAX
TOBACCO CONSUMPTION
TAXATION
COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACT
REGRESSIVE TAX
PROGRESSIVE TAX
PRICE ELASTICITY
MEDICAL EXPENSES
LONGEVITY
spellingShingle TOBACCO CONTROL
TOBACCO TAX
SIN TAX
TOBACCO CONSUMPTION
TAXATION
COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACT
REGRESSIVE TAX
PROGRESSIVE TAX
PRICE ELASTICITY
MEDICAL EXPENSES
LONGEVITY
Fuchs, Alan
Del Carmen, Giselle
Mukon, Alfred Kechia
Long-Run Impacts of Increasing Tobacco Taxes : Evidence from South Africa
geographic_facet Africa
South Africa
description Tobacco taxes are considered an effective policy tool to reduce tobacco consumption and produce long-run benefits that outweigh the costs associated with a price increase. Through this policy, some of the most adverse effects and economic costs of smoking can be reduced, including shorter life expectancy, higher medical expenses, added years of disability among smokers, and the effects of secondhand smoke. Nonetheless, tobacco taxes are often considered regressive because low-income households tend to allocate a larger share of their budgets to purchasing tobacco products. This paper uses an extended cost-benefit analysis to estimate the distributional effect of tobacco taxes on household welfare in South Africa. The analysis considers the effect on household income through an increase in tobacco prices, changes in medical expenses, and the prolongation of working years. Results indicate that a rise in tobacco prices initially generates negative income variations across all groups in the population. If benefits through lower medical expenses and an expansion in working years are considered, the negative effect is reduced, particularly in medium- and upper-bound elasticities. Consequently, the aggregate net effect is progressive and benefits the bottom deciles more than the richer ones. Overall, tobacco tax increases exert a small, but positive effect in the presence of low conditional tobacco price elasticity. If the population is more responsive to tobacco price changes (or participation elasticity estimates are included) then they would experience even more gains from the health and work benefits. More research is needed to clarify the distributional effects of tobacco taxation in South Africa.
format Report
author Fuchs, Alan
Del Carmen, Giselle
Mukon, Alfred Kechia
author_facet Fuchs, Alan
Del Carmen, Giselle
Mukon, Alfred Kechia
author_sort Fuchs, Alan
title Long-Run Impacts of Increasing Tobacco Taxes : Evidence from South Africa
title_short Long-Run Impacts of Increasing Tobacco Taxes : Evidence from South Africa
title_full Long-Run Impacts of Increasing Tobacco Taxes : Evidence from South Africa
title_fullStr Long-Run Impacts of Increasing Tobacco Taxes : Evidence from South Africa
title_full_unstemmed Long-Run Impacts of Increasing Tobacco Taxes : Evidence from South Africa
title_sort long-run impacts of increasing tobacco taxes : evidence from south africa
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2018
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/705011519972901407/Long-run-impacts-of-increasing-tobacco-taxes-evidence-from-South-Africa
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29439
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