Long-Run Impacts of Increasing Tobacco Taxes : Evidence from South Africa

Tobacco taxes are considered an effective policy tool to reduce tobacco consumption and produce long-run benefits that outweigh the costs associated with a price increase. Through this policy, some of the most adverse effects and economic costs of...

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Main Authors: Fuchs, Alan, Del Carmen, Giselle, Mukong, Alfred Kechia
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: Washington, DC: World Bank 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/122081521480061194/Long-run-impacts-of-increasing-tobacco-taxes-evidence-from-South-Africa
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29497
id okr-10986-29497
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-294972021-06-14T10:08:37Z Long-Run Impacts of Increasing Tobacco Taxes : Evidence from South Africa Fuchs, Alan Del Carmen, Giselle Mukong, Alfred Kechia TOBACCO TAX TOBACCO CONSUMPTION TAXATION EXCISE TAX SIN TAX TOBACCO CONTROL HEALTH EFFECT HOUSEHOLD BUDGET GOVERNMENT REVENUE HEALTH EXPENDITURE TAX POLICY CIGARETTE CONSUMPTION Tobacco taxes are considered an effective policy tool to reduce tobacco consumption and produce long-run benefits that outweigh the costs associated with a price increase. Through this policy, some of the most adverse effects and economic costs of smoking can be reduced, including shorter life expectancy, higher medical expenses, added years of disability among smokers, and the effects of secondhand smoke. Nonetheless, tobacco taxes are often considered regressive because low-income households tend to allocate a larger share of their budgets to purchasing tobacco products. This paper uses an extended cost-benefit analysis to estimate the distributional effect of tobacco taxes on household welfare in South Africa. The analysis considers the effect on household income through an increase in tobacco prices, changes in medical expenses, and the prolongation of working years. The results indicate that a rise in tobacco prices initially generates negative income variations across all groups in the population. If benefits through lower medical expenses and an expansion in working years are considered, the negative effect is reduced, particularly in medium- and upper-bound elasticities. Consequently, the aggregate net effect is progressive and benefits the bottom deciles more than the richer ones. Overall, tobacco tax increases exert a small, but positive effect in the presence of low conditional tobacco price elasticity. If the population is more responsive to tobacco price changes (or participation elasticity estimates are included), then they would experience even more gains from the health and work benefits. More research is needed to clarify the distributional effects of tobacco taxation in South Africa. 2018-03-20T16:18:56Z 2018-03-20T16:18:56Z 2018-03 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/122081521480061194/Long-run-impacts-of-increasing-tobacco-taxes-evidence-from-South-Africa http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29497 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8369 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Washington, DC: World Bank Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Africa South Africa
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic TOBACCO TAX
TOBACCO CONSUMPTION
TAXATION
EXCISE TAX
SIN TAX
TOBACCO CONTROL
HEALTH EFFECT
HOUSEHOLD BUDGET
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
HEALTH EXPENDITURE
TAX POLICY
CIGARETTE CONSUMPTION
spellingShingle TOBACCO TAX
TOBACCO CONSUMPTION
TAXATION
EXCISE TAX
SIN TAX
TOBACCO CONTROL
HEALTH EFFECT
HOUSEHOLD BUDGET
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
HEALTH EXPENDITURE
TAX POLICY
CIGARETTE CONSUMPTION
Fuchs, Alan
Del Carmen, Giselle
Mukong, Alfred Kechia
Long-Run Impacts of Increasing Tobacco Taxes : Evidence from South Africa
geographic_facet Africa
South Africa
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8369
description Tobacco taxes are considered an effective policy tool to reduce tobacco consumption and produce long-run benefits that outweigh the costs associated with a price increase. Through this policy, some of the most adverse effects and economic costs of smoking can be reduced, including shorter life expectancy, higher medical expenses, added years of disability among smokers, and the effects of secondhand smoke. Nonetheless, tobacco taxes are often considered regressive because low-income households tend to allocate a larger share of their budgets to purchasing tobacco products. This paper uses an extended cost-benefit analysis to estimate the distributional effect of tobacco taxes on household welfare in South Africa. The analysis considers the effect on household income through an increase in tobacco prices, changes in medical expenses, and the prolongation of working years. The results indicate that a rise in tobacco prices initially generates negative income variations across all groups in the population. If benefits through lower medical expenses and an expansion in working years are considered, the negative effect is reduced, particularly in medium- and upper-bound elasticities. Consequently, the aggregate net effect is progressive and benefits the bottom deciles more than the richer ones. Overall, tobacco tax increases exert a small, but positive effect in the presence of low conditional tobacco price elasticity. If the population is more responsive to tobacco price changes (or participation elasticity estimates are included), then they would experience even more gains from the health and work benefits. More research is needed to clarify the distributional effects of tobacco taxation in South Africa.
format Working Paper
author Fuchs, Alan
Del Carmen, Giselle
Mukong, Alfred Kechia
author_facet Fuchs, Alan
Del Carmen, Giselle
Mukong, Alfred Kechia
author_sort Fuchs, Alan
title Long-Run Impacts of Increasing Tobacco Taxes : Evidence from South Africa
title_short Long-Run Impacts of Increasing Tobacco Taxes : Evidence from South Africa
title_full Long-Run Impacts of Increasing Tobacco Taxes : Evidence from South Africa
title_fullStr Long-Run Impacts of Increasing Tobacco Taxes : Evidence from South Africa
title_full_unstemmed Long-Run Impacts of Increasing Tobacco Taxes : Evidence from South Africa
title_sort long-run impacts of increasing tobacco taxes : evidence from south africa
publisher Washington, DC: World Bank
publishDate 2018
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/122081521480061194/Long-run-impacts-of-increasing-tobacco-taxes-evidence-from-South-Africa
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29497
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