Predicting Individual Wellbeing Through Test Scores : Evidence from a National Assessment in Mexico

This paper constructs two longitudinal datasets that record students' test scores in a national standardized exam in Mexico and track students from the end of primary (Grade 6) to the end of lower (Grade 9) and upper (Grade 12) secondary schoo...

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Main Authors: de Hoyos, Rafael, Estrada, Ricardo, Vargas, Maria Jose
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/430991527704569745/Predicting-individual-wellbeing-through-test-scores-evidence-from-a-national-assessment-in-Mexico
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29888
id okr-10986-29888
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-298882021-06-08T14:42:46Z Predicting Individual Wellbeing Through Test Scores : Evidence from a National Assessment in Mexico de Hoyos, Rafael Estrada, Ricardo Vargas, Maria Jose TEST SCORE WELLBEING LABOR MARKET JOBS SCHOOL DROPOUT RATE LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION PRIMARY EDUCATION SECONDARY EDUCATION STANDARDIZED EXAMS SKILLS DEVELOPMENT This paper constructs two longitudinal datasets that record students' test scores in a national standardized exam in Mexico and track students from the end of primary (Grade 6) to the end of lower (Grade 9) and upper (Grade 12) secondary school, then to university and labor market participation up to two years after graduation from upper secondary. The results show that test scores are a strong predictor of future education and labor market outcomes. Using a large sample of twins in the data, the paper shows that the relationship between Grade 6 test scores and future education outcomes goes beyond family background. Finally, the paper exploits the within-individual correlation between subject test scores and finds evidence that this standardized assessment captures in a meaningful way the specific skills that it is designed to measure. These results show that, despite their limitations, large-scale standardized tests can capture skills that are important for future individual wellbeing. 2018-06-18T20:27:03Z 2018-06-18T20:27:03Z 2018-05 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/430991527704569745/Predicting-individual-wellbeing-through-test-scores-evidence-from-a-national-assessment-in-Mexico http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29888 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8459 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Latin America & Caribbean Mexico
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic TEST SCORE
WELLBEING
LABOR MARKET
JOBS
SCHOOL DROPOUT RATE
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
PRIMARY EDUCATION
SECONDARY EDUCATION
STANDARDIZED EXAMS
SKILLS DEVELOPMENT
spellingShingle TEST SCORE
WELLBEING
LABOR MARKET
JOBS
SCHOOL DROPOUT RATE
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
PRIMARY EDUCATION
SECONDARY EDUCATION
STANDARDIZED EXAMS
SKILLS DEVELOPMENT
de Hoyos, Rafael
Estrada, Ricardo
Vargas, Maria Jose
Predicting Individual Wellbeing Through Test Scores : Evidence from a National Assessment in Mexico
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Mexico
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8459
description This paper constructs two longitudinal datasets that record students' test scores in a national standardized exam in Mexico and track students from the end of primary (Grade 6) to the end of lower (Grade 9) and upper (Grade 12) secondary school, then to university and labor market participation up to two years after graduation from upper secondary. The results show that test scores are a strong predictor of future education and labor market outcomes. Using a large sample of twins in the data, the paper shows that the relationship between Grade 6 test scores and future education outcomes goes beyond family background. Finally, the paper exploits the within-individual correlation between subject test scores and finds evidence that this standardized assessment captures in a meaningful way the specific skills that it is designed to measure. These results show that, despite their limitations, large-scale standardized tests can capture skills that are important for future individual wellbeing.
format Working Paper
author de Hoyos, Rafael
Estrada, Ricardo
Vargas, Maria Jose
author_facet de Hoyos, Rafael
Estrada, Ricardo
Vargas, Maria Jose
author_sort de Hoyos, Rafael
title Predicting Individual Wellbeing Through Test Scores : Evidence from a National Assessment in Mexico
title_short Predicting Individual Wellbeing Through Test Scores : Evidence from a National Assessment in Mexico
title_full Predicting Individual Wellbeing Through Test Scores : Evidence from a National Assessment in Mexico
title_fullStr Predicting Individual Wellbeing Through Test Scores : Evidence from a National Assessment in Mexico
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Individual Wellbeing Through Test Scores : Evidence from a National Assessment in Mexico
title_sort predicting individual wellbeing through test scores : evidence from a national assessment in mexico
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2018
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/430991527704569745/Predicting-individual-wellbeing-through-test-scores-evidence-from-a-national-assessment-in-Mexico
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29888
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