Growth, Inequality, and Poverty : A Robust Relationship?

An extensive literature on poverty traps suggests that high levels of poverty deter growth. However, a seemingly basic implication of the underlying theoretical models, namely that countries suffering from higher levels of poverty should grow less...

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Main Authors: Marrero, Gustavo A., Serven, Luis
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/248621536264773958/Growth-Inequality-and-Poverty-A-Robust-Relationship
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30422
id okr-10986-30422
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-304222021-06-08T14:42:47Z Growth, Inequality, and Poverty : A Robust Relationship? Marrero, Gustavo A. Serven, Luis GROWTH INEQUALITY POVERTY POVERTY TRAP An extensive literature on poverty traps suggests that high levels of poverty deter growth. However, a seemingly basic implication of the underlying theoretical models, namely that countries suffering from higher levels of poverty should grow less rapidly, has remained untested. A parallel literature has suggested a variety of mechanisms through which inequality may affect growth in opposing directions. Because inequality and poverty are different aspects of the income distribution, inequality can also affect growth through poverty, an indirect channel that has not been explicitly analyzed. This paper contributes to fill both gaps. Using a large cross-country panel data set, it estimates a reduced-form growth equation adding both inequality and poverty to an otherwise standard set of growth determinants. Given inequality, the correlation of growth with poverty is consistently negative. In contrast, given poverty, the correlation of growth with inequality can be positive or negative, depending on the empirical specification and econometric approach used. Yet, the indirect effect of inequality on growth through its correlation with poverty is robustly negative. Closer inspection shows that these results are driven by the sample observations featuring high (but not extremely high) poverty rates. These empirical findings are consistent with the predictions from an analytical framework with learning-by-doing and knowledge spillovers, in which consumers cannot save and invest if their initial endowment is below a minimum consumption level. 2018-09-13T21:16:01Z 2018-09-13T21:16:01Z 2018-09 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/248621536264773958/Growth-Inequality-and-Poverty-A-Robust-Relationship http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30422 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8578 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic GROWTH
INEQUALITY
POVERTY
POVERTY TRAP
spellingShingle GROWTH
INEQUALITY
POVERTY
POVERTY TRAP
Marrero, Gustavo A.
Serven, Luis
Growth, Inequality, and Poverty : A Robust Relationship?
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8578
description An extensive literature on poverty traps suggests that high levels of poverty deter growth. However, a seemingly basic implication of the underlying theoretical models, namely that countries suffering from higher levels of poverty should grow less rapidly, has remained untested. A parallel literature has suggested a variety of mechanisms through which inequality may affect growth in opposing directions. Because inequality and poverty are different aspects of the income distribution, inequality can also affect growth through poverty, an indirect channel that has not been explicitly analyzed. This paper contributes to fill both gaps. Using a large cross-country panel data set, it estimates a reduced-form growth equation adding both inequality and poverty to an otherwise standard set of growth determinants. Given inequality, the correlation of growth with poverty is consistently negative. In contrast, given poverty, the correlation of growth with inequality can be positive or negative, depending on the empirical specification and econometric approach used. Yet, the indirect effect of inequality on growth through its correlation with poverty is robustly negative. Closer inspection shows that these results are driven by the sample observations featuring high (but not extremely high) poverty rates. These empirical findings are consistent with the predictions from an analytical framework with learning-by-doing and knowledge spillovers, in which consumers cannot save and invest if their initial endowment is below a minimum consumption level.
format Working Paper
author Marrero, Gustavo A.
Serven, Luis
author_facet Marrero, Gustavo A.
Serven, Luis
author_sort Marrero, Gustavo A.
title Growth, Inequality, and Poverty : A Robust Relationship?
title_short Growth, Inequality, and Poverty : A Robust Relationship?
title_full Growth, Inequality, and Poverty : A Robust Relationship?
title_fullStr Growth, Inequality, and Poverty : A Robust Relationship?
title_full_unstemmed Growth, Inequality, and Poverty : A Robust Relationship?
title_sort growth, inequality, and poverty : a robust relationship?
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2018
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/248621536264773958/Growth-Inequality-and-Poverty-A-Robust-Relationship
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30422
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