South Asia Economic Focus, Fall 2018 : Budget Crunch

South Asia remains the fastest-growing region in the world and its performance has strengthened further. The external environment, while remaining conducive, has become more turbulent. Monetary policy is being adjusted accordingly, but fiscal policy is not equally responsive and fiscal deficits rema...

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Main Author: World Bank
Format: Serial
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30454
id okr-10986-30454
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-304542021-04-23T14:04:58Z South Asia Economic Focus, Fall 2018 : Budget Crunch World Bank ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC POLICY ECONOMIC RISKS EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY FISCAL POLICY INFLATION AND PRICES INVESTMENT MACROECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND OUTLOOK TRADE FISCAL TRENDS FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY SHARED PROSPERITY South Asia remains the fastest-growing region in the world and its performance has strengthened further. The external environment, while remaining conducive, has become more turbulent. Monetary policy is being adjusted accordingly, but fiscal policy is not equally responsive and fiscal deficits remain large. Despite strong demand from advanced economies and considerable depreciation of domestic currencies, imports are still growing stronger than exports in most countries. Rising oil prices add further pressure on South Asia’s high current account deficits. South Asia is expected to remain the fastest-growing region in the world and its performance could strengthen even further. Widening current account deficits and increased turbulence in international markets call for prudent economic policy, and fiscal discipline is at the core of prudent management. However, most South Asian countries generate low tax revenue. They also run large fiscal deficits, often amplified by economic shocks and political cycles, which limits their room to maneuver. Tax revenue increases with economic growth, but so does government expenditure. Since spending multipliers are positive, the procyclicality of spending amplifies boom-and-bust cycles instead of smoothening them. In several countries debt levels are high and hidden liabilities are a concern. Not all these patterns are present in all countries, but they combine into a specific set of challenges in each, putting fiscal matters at the core of development policy. 2018-09-27T18:54:16Z 2018-09-27T18:54:16Z 2018-10-06 Serial 978-1-4648-1369-6 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30454 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Publication South Asia South Asia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC RISKS
EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY
FISCAL POLICY
INFLATION AND PRICES
INVESTMENT
MACROECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND OUTLOOK
TRADE
FISCAL TRENDS
FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
SHARED PROSPERITY
spellingShingle ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC POLICY
ECONOMIC RISKS
EXTERNAL VULNERABILITY
FISCAL POLICY
INFLATION AND PRICES
INVESTMENT
MACROECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND OUTLOOK
TRADE
FISCAL TRENDS
FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
SHARED PROSPERITY
World Bank
South Asia Economic Focus, Fall 2018 : Budget Crunch
geographic_facet South Asia
South Asia
description South Asia remains the fastest-growing region in the world and its performance has strengthened further. The external environment, while remaining conducive, has become more turbulent. Monetary policy is being adjusted accordingly, but fiscal policy is not equally responsive and fiscal deficits remain large. Despite strong demand from advanced economies and considerable depreciation of domestic currencies, imports are still growing stronger than exports in most countries. Rising oil prices add further pressure on South Asia’s high current account deficits. South Asia is expected to remain the fastest-growing region in the world and its performance could strengthen even further. Widening current account deficits and increased turbulence in international markets call for prudent economic policy, and fiscal discipline is at the core of prudent management. However, most South Asian countries generate low tax revenue. They also run large fiscal deficits, often amplified by economic shocks and political cycles, which limits their room to maneuver. Tax revenue increases with economic growth, but so does government expenditure. Since spending multipliers are positive, the procyclicality of spending amplifies boom-and-bust cycles instead of smoothening them. In several countries debt levels are high and hidden liabilities are a concern. Not all these patterns are present in all countries, but they combine into a specific set of challenges in each, putting fiscal matters at the core of development policy.
format Serial
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title South Asia Economic Focus, Fall 2018 : Budget Crunch
title_short South Asia Economic Focus, Fall 2018 : Budget Crunch
title_full South Asia Economic Focus, Fall 2018 : Budget Crunch
title_fullStr South Asia Economic Focus, Fall 2018 : Budget Crunch
title_full_unstemmed South Asia Economic Focus, Fall 2018 : Budget Crunch
title_sort south asia economic focus, fall 2018 : budget crunch
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2018
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30454
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