Kyrgyz Republic Sytematic Country Diagnostic : From Vulnerability to Prosperity

The purpose of this Systematic Country Diagnostic is to identify the main constraints and opportunities the Kyrgyz Republic faces in continuing to progress towards the World Bank Group’s twin goals. It analyzes trends and drivers of growth, poverty...

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Main Author: World Bank Group
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/516141537548690118/Kyrgyz-Republic-From-Vulnerability-to-Prosperity-Systematic-Country-Diagnostic
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30462
id okr-10986-30462
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-304622021-05-25T09:18:41Z Kyrgyz Republic Sytematic Country Diagnostic : From Vulnerability to Prosperity World Bank Group DEVELOPMENT AGENDA COMMODITIES TWIN GOALS ECONOMIC GROWTH SHARED PROSPERITY POVERTY REDUCTION INCLUSIVE GROWTH SUSTAINABILITY PRIVATE INVESTMENT BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT INVESTMENT CLIMATE INFRASTRUCTURE FISCAL POLICY ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY RESILIENCE AGRICULTURE ENERGY MINING PRIORITIES The purpose of this Systematic Country Diagnostic is to identify the main constraints and opportunities the Kyrgyz Republic faces in continuing to progress towards the World Bank Group’s twin goals. It analyzes trends and drivers of growth, poverty reduction, and income distribution, as well as the policies that underpin them, while assessing the elements constraining more rapid progress and sustainability. The main conclusions of this analysis are as follows: Growth has been driven by an ad hoc, opportunistic adaptation to constraints; These adaptations, which included (1) exporting migrant labor, with remittances fueling growth in domestic consumption and services; (2) exploiting the gold extracted from one major mine;1 and (3) leveraging import-re-export bazaar trade, helped sustain growth, while being far from first-best, deliberate, and policy-guided long-term solutions. This ‘growth model’ led to significant welfare gains, as it rode on the back of the commodity super-cycle. But its lack of coherence in addressing key constraints has implied that vulnerabilities remain widespread. In short, the country now needs a new development model to (i) tackle the sources of low overall productivity—a critical source of sustainable dynamism—and (ii) unleash private investment and job creation, given the limited options for public spending and redistribution. This will require a three-pronged approach to (1) address cross-cutting constraints to private sector development, (2) promote conducive policies in areas where the country has significant unexploited endowments (especially minerals and hydropower), and (3) foster greater sustainability, including by maximizing the efficiency of public policies. This will also require a fundamental departure from haphazard policy making, whereby macro-fiscal policies have failed to support greater poverty reduction and resilience, and weak governance has undermined the effectiveness of reforms. 2018-09-27T21:32:31Z 2018-09-27T21:32:31Z 2018-09-18 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/516141537548690118/Kyrgyz-Republic-From-Vulnerability-to-Prosperity-Systematic-Country-Diagnostic http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30462 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Systematic Country Diagnostic Europe and Central Asia Kyrgyz Republic
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic DEVELOPMENT AGENDA
COMMODITIES
TWIN GOALS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
SHARED PROSPERITY
POVERTY REDUCTION
INCLUSIVE GROWTH
SUSTAINABILITY
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
INFRASTRUCTURE
FISCAL POLICY
ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
RESILIENCE
AGRICULTURE
ENERGY
MINING
PRIORITIES
spellingShingle DEVELOPMENT AGENDA
COMMODITIES
TWIN GOALS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
SHARED PROSPERITY
POVERTY REDUCTION
INCLUSIVE GROWTH
SUSTAINABILITY
PRIVATE INVESTMENT
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
INFRASTRUCTURE
FISCAL POLICY
ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
RESILIENCE
AGRICULTURE
ENERGY
MINING
PRIORITIES
World Bank Group
Kyrgyz Republic Sytematic Country Diagnostic : From Vulnerability to Prosperity
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Kyrgyz Republic
description The purpose of this Systematic Country Diagnostic is to identify the main constraints and opportunities the Kyrgyz Republic faces in continuing to progress towards the World Bank Group’s twin goals. It analyzes trends and drivers of growth, poverty reduction, and income distribution, as well as the policies that underpin them, while assessing the elements constraining more rapid progress and sustainability. The main conclusions of this analysis are as follows: Growth has been driven by an ad hoc, opportunistic adaptation to constraints; These adaptations, which included (1) exporting migrant labor, with remittances fueling growth in domestic consumption and services; (2) exploiting the gold extracted from one major mine;1 and (3) leveraging import-re-export bazaar trade, helped sustain growth, while being far from first-best, deliberate, and policy-guided long-term solutions. This ‘growth model’ led to significant welfare gains, as it rode on the back of the commodity super-cycle. But its lack of coherence in addressing key constraints has implied that vulnerabilities remain widespread. In short, the country now needs a new development model to (i) tackle the sources of low overall productivity—a critical source of sustainable dynamism—and (ii) unleash private investment and job creation, given the limited options for public spending and redistribution. This will require a three-pronged approach to (1) address cross-cutting constraints to private sector development, (2) promote conducive policies in areas where the country has significant unexploited endowments (especially minerals and hydropower), and (3) foster greater sustainability, including by maximizing the efficiency of public policies. This will also require a fundamental departure from haphazard policy making, whereby macro-fiscal policies have failed to support greater poverty reduction and resilience, and weak governance has undermined the effectiveness of reforms.
format Report
author World Bank Group
author_facet World Bank Group
author_sort World Bank Group
title Kyrgyz Republic Sytematic Country Diagnostic : From Vulnerability to Prosperity
title_short Kyrgyz Republic Sytematic Country Diagnostic : From Vulnerability to Prosperity
title_full Kyrgyz Republic Sytematic Country Diagnostic : From Vulnerability to Prosperity
title_fullStr Kyrgyz Republic Sytematic Country Diagnostic : From Vulnerability to Prosperity
title_full_unstemmed Kyrgyz Republic Sytematic Country Diagnostic : From Vulnerability to Prosperity
title_sort kyrgyz republic sytematic country diagnostic : from vulnerability to prosperity
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2018
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/516141537548690118/Kyrgyz-Republic-From-Vulnerability-to-Prosperity-Systematic-Country-Diagnostic
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30462
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