Philippines Economic Update, October 2018 : Staying in the Course Amid Global Uncertainty

The Philippines’ economic growth outlook remains positive, yet downside risks have increased. An expected slowdown in global trade in the medium term is likely to further dampen Philippine exports. Nevertheless, baseline economic growth is projecte...

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Main Author: World Bank
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/209201538533339474/Philippines-Economic-Update-Staying-in-the-Course-Amid-Global-Uncertainty
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30564
id okr-10986-30564
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-305642021-05-25T09:19:09Z Philippines Economic Update, October 2018 : Staying in the Course Amid Global Uncertainty World Bank ECONOMIC GROWTH TRADE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS MONETARY POLICY FISCAL POLICY EMPLOYMENT POVERTY LABOR MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK SHARED PROSPERITY RISKS PRODUCTIVITY POVERTY REDUCTION The Philippines’ economic growth outlook remains positive, yet downside risks have increased. An expected slowdown in global trade in the medium term is likely to further dampen Philippine exports. Nevertheless, baseline economic growth is projected at 6.5 percent in 2018, 6.7 percent in 2019, and 6.6 percent in 2020. The baseline investment growth outlook is positive and planned senatorial and local elections in May 2019 are expected to lead to higher public spending and higher private consumption. However, persistent high domestic inflation could have a dampening effect on consumption and investment growth. Also, a faster normalization of monetary policy in the United States and an increase in global uncertainty, including trade tensions, could not only worsen external financing conditions for emerging market economies like the Philippines but also elicit additional domestic interest rate hikes that could raise domestic borrowing costs for businesses and households. 2018-10-15T20:05:15Z 2018-10-15T20:05:15Z 2018-10 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/209201538533339474/Philippines-Economic-Update-Staying-in-the-Course-Amid-Global-Uncertainty http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30564 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling Economic & Sector Work East Asia and Pacific Philippines
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ECONOMIC GROWTH
TRADE
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
MONETARY POLICY
FISCAL POLICY
EMPLOYMENT
POVERTY
LABOR MARKET
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
SHARED PROSPERITY
RISKS
PRODUCTIVITY
POVERTY REDUCTION
spellingShingle ECONOMIC GROWTH
TRADE
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
MONETARY POLICY
FISCAL POLICY
EMPLOYMENT
POVERTY
LABOR MARKET
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
SHARED PROSPERITY
RISKS
PRODUCTIVITY
POVERTY REDUCTION
World Bank
Philippines Economic Update, October 2018 : Staying in the Course Amid Global Uncertainty
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
Philippines
description The Philippines’ economic growth outlook remains positive, yet downside risks have increased. An expected slowdown in global trade in the medium term is likely to further dampen Philippine exports. Nevertheless, baseline economic growth is projected at 6.5 percent in 2018, 6.7 percent in 2019, and 6.6 percent in 2020. The baseline investment growth outlook is positive and planned senatorial and local elections in May 2019 are expected to lead to higher public spending and higher private consumption. However, persistent high domestic inflation could have a dampening effect on consumption and investment growth. Also, a faster normalization of monetary policy in the United States and an increase in global uncertainty, including trade tensions, could not only worsen external financing conditions for emerging market economies like the Philippines but also elicit additional domestic interest rate hikes that could raise domestic borrowing costs for businesses and households.
format Report
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Philippines Economic Update, October 2018 : Staying in the Course Amid Global Uncertainty
title_short Philippines Economic Update, October 2018 : Staying in the Course Amid Global Uncertainty
title_full Philippines Economic Update, October 2018 : Staying in the Course Amid Global Uncertainty
title_fullStr Philippines Economic Update, October 2018 : Staying in the Course Amid Global Uncertainty
title_full_unstemmed Philippines Economic Update, October 2018 : Staying in the Course Amid Global Uncertainty
title_sort philippines economic update, october 2018 : staying in the course amid global uncertainty
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2018
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/209201538533339474/Philippines-Economic-Update-Staying-in-the-Course-Amid-Global-Uncertainty
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30564
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