Liberia : Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Analysis, 2018 Update

Liberia remains at moderate risk of debt distress, though care and precision in implementing its ambitious infrastructure program will be critical. Under the baseline scenario, which reflects staff’s interpretation of the authorities’ stated plans,...

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Main Authors: International Development Association, International Monetary Fund
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/382051539632241719/Liberia-Joint-Bank-Fund-Debt-Sustainability-Analysis-2018-Update
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30903
id okr-10986-30903
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-309032021-05-25T09:19:36Z Liberia : Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Analysis, 2018 Update International Development Association International Monetary Fund PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT DEBT BURDEN TERMS OF TRADE GRACE AND MATURITY PERIOD CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT PUBLIC DEBT MACROECONOMIC POLICY INTEREST RATE EXTERNAL SHOCK GUARANTEES DEBT SUSTAINABILITY Liberia remains at moderate risk of debt distress, though care and precision in implementing its ambitious infrastructure program will be critical. Under the baseline scenario, which reflects staff’s interpretation of the authorities’ stated plans, Liberia will remain at moderate risk of debt distress but move closer to thresholds that mark a high probability of debt distress. Adverse risks to the baseline are also significant. Staff discussed an alternative reform scenario that would ease the risk of debt distress while achieving roughly the same level of spending. The reform scenario assumes that all external financing would be on concessional terms and the amount of additional borrowing would be strictly controlled and supplemented with domestic resource mobilization. Such steps would be beneficial not only to improve the safety margin for the preservation of debt and macroeconomic stability, but also to sustain broad-based growth over the forecast horizon. 2018-11-28T14:49:39Z 2018-11-28T14:49:39Z 2018-10-01 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/382051539632241719/Liberia-Joint-Bank-Fund-Debt-Sustainability-Analysis-2018-Update http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30903 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Debt and Creditworthiness Study Africa Liberia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT
DEBT BURDEN
TERMS OF TRADE
GRACE AND MATURITY PERIOD
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
PUBLIC DEBT
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
INTEREST RATE
EXTERNAL SHOCK
GUARANTEES
DEBT SUSTAINABILITY
spellingShingle PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT
DEBT BURDEN
TERMS OF TRADE
GRACE AND MATURITY PERIOD
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
PUBLIC DEBT
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
INTEREST RATE
EXTERNAL SHOCK
GUARANTEES
DEBT SUSTAINABILITY
International Development Association
International Monetary Fund
Liberia : Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Analysis, 2018 Update
geographic_facet Africa
Liberia
description Liberia remains at moderate risk of debt distress, though care and precision in implementing its ambitious infrastructure program will be critical. Under the baseline scenario, which reflects staff’s interpretation of the authorities’ stated plans, Liberia will remain at moderate risk of debt distress but move closer to thresholds that mark a high probability of debt distress. Adverse risks to the baseline are also significant. Staff discussed an alternative reform scenario that would ease the risk of debt distress while achieving roughly the same level of spending. The reform scenario assumes that all external financing would be on concessional terms and the amount of additional borrowing would be strictly controlled and supplemented with domestic resource mobilization. Such steps would be beneficial not only to improve the safety margin for the preservation of debt and macroeconomic stability, but also to sustain broad-based growth over the forecast horizon.
format Report
author International Development Association
International Monetary Fund
author_facet International Development Association
International Monetary Fund
author_sort International Development Association
title Liberia : Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Analysis, 2018 Update
title_short Liberia : Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Analysis, 2018 Update
title_full Liberia : Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Analysis, 2018 Update
title_fullStr Liberia : Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Analysis, 2018 Update
title_full_unstemmed Liberia : Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Analysis, 2018 Update
title_sort liberia : joint bank-fund debt sustainability analysis, 2018 update
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2018
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/382051539632241719/Liberia-Joint-Bank-Fund-Debt-Sustainability-Analysis-2018-Update
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/30903
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