Turkey Economic Monitor, December 2018 : Steadying the Ship

Mid-2018 was a period of intense market volatility and rising economic stress in Turkey that was precipitated by existing macroeconomic imbalances and elevated political tensions with the United Staes. A confluence of burgeoning domestic economic i...

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Main Author: World Bank Group
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/566931547042740293/Turkey-Economic-Monitor-Steadying-the-Ship
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31129
id okr-10986-31129
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-311292021-05-25T09:21:03Z Turkey Economic Monitor, December 2018 : Steadying the Ship World Bank Group ECONOMIC GROWTH CAPITAL FLOWS FINANCIAL SHOCK BANKING ECONOMIC OUTLOOK INFLATION NEW ECONOMIC PROGRAM ADJUSTMENT REFORM AGENDA Mid-2018 was a period of intense market volatility and rising economic stress in Turkey that was precipitated by existing macroeconomic imbalances and elevated political tensions with the United Staes. A confluence of burgeoning domestic economic imbalances and a more challenging external environmentled to a dent in investor confidence in Turkish assets and a sharp slowdown in capital flows to Turkey in 2018 Q2-Q3. Though this did not technically amount to a sudden stop, Turkey was particularly badly affected by a general move away from emerging markets (EMDE) due to its accumulated macro imbalances (high current account deficit, high inflation, overheating economy) and perceived policy weaknesses. Market volatility in Turkey has subsided since the turbulence in August, but the economic situation remains fragile. Turkey’s large external exposure leaves it vulnerable to further market jitters and external monetary tightening. The external shock in the summer of 2018 also translated into significant real sector impacts, including a sharp acceleration in inflation from already elevated levels. The gap between consumer and producer price inflation widened significantly since July, reflecting suppliers’ inability to pass on priceincreases to consumers due to declining demand. High production costs together with slowing demand have prompted supply side adjustments. 2019-01-09T18:19:33Z 2019-01-09T18:19:33Z 2018-12 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/566931547042740293/Turkey-Economic-Monitor-Steadying-the-Ship http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31129 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Economic Updates and Modeling Economic & Sector Work Europe and Central Asia Turkey
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ECONOMIC GROWTH
CAPITAL FLOWS
FINANCIAL SHOCK
BANKING
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
INFLATION
NEW ECONOMIC PROGRAM
ADJUSTMENT
REFORM AGENDA
spellingShingle ECONOMIC GROWTH
CAPITAL FLOWS
FINANCIAL SHOCK
BANKING
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
INFLATION
NEW ECONOMIC PROGRAM
ADJUSTMENT
REFORM AGENDA
World Bank Group
Turkey Economic Monitor, December 2018 : Steadying the Ship
geographic_facet Europe and Central Asia
Turkey
description Mid-2018 was a period of intense market volatility and rising economic stress in Turkey that was precipitated by existing macroeconomic imbalances and elevated political tensions with the United Staes. A confluence of burgeoning domestic economic imbalances and a more challenging external environmentled to a dent in investor confidence in Turkish assets and a sharp slowdown in capital flows to Turkey in 2018 Q2-Q3. Though this did not technically amount to a sudden stop, Turkey was particularly badly affected by a general move away from emerging markets (EMDE) due to its accumulated macro imbalances (high current account deficit, high inflation, overheating economy) and perceived policy weaknesses. Market volatility in Turkey has subsided since the turbulence in August, but the economic situation remains fragile. Turkey’s large external exposure leaves it vulnerable to further market jitters and external monetary tightening. The external shock in the summer of 2018 also translated into significant real sector impacts, including a sharp acceleration in inflation from already elevated levels. The gap between consumer and producer price inflation widened significantly since July, reflecting suppliers’ inability to pass on priceincreases to consumers due to declining demand. High production costs together with slowing demand have prompted supply side adjustments.
format Report
author World Bank Group
author_facet World Bank Group
author_sort World Bank Group
title Turkey Economic Monitor, December 2018 : Steadying the Ship
title_short Turkey Economic Monitor, December 2018 : Steadying the Ship
title_full Turkey Economic Monitor, December 2018 : Steadying the Ship
title_fullStr Turkey Economic Monitor, December 2018 : Steadying the Ship
title_full_unstemmed Turkey Economic Monitor, December 2018 : Steadying the Ship
title_sort turkey economic monitor, december 2018 : steadying the ship
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2019
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/566931547042740293/Turkey-Economic-Monitor-Steadying-the-Ship
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31129
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