Investment Needs for Irrigation Infrastructure along Different Socioeconomic Pathways

This paper conducts an assessment of the global costs for expanding, upgrading, and improving irrigation infrastructure in developing countries, along different future scenarios toward 2050. It uses the GLobal BIOsphere Management Model, a partial...

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Main Authors: Palazzo, Amanda, Valin, Hugo, Batka, Miroslav, Havlík, Petr
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/385171550239109479/Investment-Needs-for-Irrigation-Infrastructure-along-Different-Socioeconomic-Pathways
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31307
id okr-10986-31307
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-313072022-09-19T12:16:58Z Investment Needs for Irrigation Infrastructure along Different Socioeconomic Pathways Palazzo, Amanda Valin, Hugo Batka, Miroslav Havlík, Petr IRRIGATION INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT AGRICULTURE FOOD SECURITY CONSERVATION PUBLIC INVESTMENT SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS LAND USE BIODIVERSITY WATER USE SUSTAINABILITY This paper conducts an assessment of the global costs for expanding, upgrading, and improving irrigation infrastructure in developing countries, along different future scenarios toward 2050. It uses the GLobal BIOsphere Management Model, a partial equilibrium model of the global agricultural and forestry sectors. It examines the impacts of irrigation expansion on the agriculture and food system, from the perspective of different Sustainable Development Goals, in particular food security (goal 2), land use change and biodiversity (goal 15), greenhouse gas emissions (goal 13), and sustainable water use (goal 6). It finds that irrigation support policies improve food security globally and can reduce the burden on land by limiting expansion of cropland area. However, the effectiveness of irrigation to achieve a larger set of goals depends on the regional context. In South Asia and the Middle East and North Africa, the expansion of irrigation increases unsustainable water extraction practices. A sensitivity analysis is conducted to evaluate the uncertainty of the infrastructure costs and impacts under different socioeconomic developments, levels of radiative forcing and climate change scenarios, dietary patterns, trade openness, and efficiencies of irrigation systems. The findings indicate that irrigation systems could play an important role in adaptation to the most adverse climate change; however, increased water scarcity may also limit adaptation potentials. 2019-02-21T15:19:58Z 2019-02-21T15:19:58Z 2019-02 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/385171550239109479/Investment-Needs-for-Irrigation-Infrastructure-along-Different-Socioeconomic-Pathways http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31307 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8744 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Middle East North Africa South Asia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic IRRIGATION
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
AGRICULTURE
FOOD SECURITY
CONSERVATION
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS
LAND USE
BIODIVERSITY
WATER USE
SUSTAINABILITY
spellingShingle IRRIGATION
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
AGRICULTURE
FOOD SECURITY
CONSERVATION
PUBLIC INVESTMENT
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS
LAND USE
BIODIVERSITY
WATER USE
SUSTAINABILITY
Palazzo, Amanda
Valin, Hugo
Batka, Miroslav
Havlík, Petr
Investment Needs for Irrigation Infrastructure along Different Socioeconomic Pathways
geographic_facet Middle East
North Africa
South Asia
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8744
description This paper conducts an assessment of the global costs for expanding, upgrading, and improving irrigation infrastructure in developing countries, along different future scenarios toward 2050. It uses the GLobal BIOsphere Management Model, a partial equilibrium model of the global agricultural and forestry sectors. It examines the impacts of irrigation expansion on the agriculture and food system, from the perspective of different Sustainable Development Goals, in particular food security (goal 2), land use change and biodiversity (goal 15), greenhouse gas emissions (goal 13), and sustainable water use (goal 6). It finds that irrigation support policies improve food security globally and can reduce the burden on land by limiting expansion of cropland area. However, the effectiveness of irrigation to achieve a larger set of goals depends on the regional context. In South Asia and the Middle East and North Africa, the expansion of irrigation increases unsustainable water extraction practices. A sensitivity analysis is conducted to evaluate the uncertainty of the infrastructure costs and impacts under different socioeconomic developments, levels of radiative forcing and climate change scenarios, dietary patterns, trade openness, and efficiencies of irrigation systems. The findings indicate that irrigation systems could play an important role in adaptation to the most adverse climate change; however, increased water scarcity may also limit adaptation potentials.
format Working Paper
author Palazzo, Amanda
Valin, Hugo
Batka, Miroslav
Havlík, Petr
author_facet Palazzo, Amanda
Valin, Hugo
Batka, Miroslav
Havlík, Petr
author_sort Palazzo, Amanda
title Investment Needs for Irrigation Infrastructure along Different Socioeconomic Pathways
title_short Investment Needs for Irrigation Infrastructure along Different Socioeconomic Pathways
title_full Investment Needs for Irrigation Infrastructure along Different Socioeconomic Pathways
title_fullStr Investment Needs for Irrigation Infrastructure along Different Socioeconomic Pathways
title_full_unstemmed Investment Needs for Irrigation Infrastructure along Different Socioeconomic Pathways
title_sort investment needs for irrigation infrastructure along different socioeconomic pathways
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2019
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/385171550239109479/Investment-Needs-for-Irrigation-Infrastructure-along-Different-Socioeconomic-Pathways
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31307
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