Cote d'Ivoire Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Analysis - 2018 Update

Côte d’Ivoire has a moderate risk of external debt distress, with limited space to absorb shocks. All liquidity and solvency external debt indicators lie below their thresholds under the baseline scenario. However, the ratios of external debt service to revenue and exports are projected to rise, dim...

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Main Authors: World Bank, International Monetary Fund
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/840731550769887881/Cote-dIvoire-Joint-Bank-Fund-Debt-Sustainability-Analysis-2018-Update
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31317
id okr-10986-31317
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-313172021-05-25T09:21:47Z Cote d'Ivoire Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Analysis - 2018 Update World Bank International Monetary Fund PUBLIC DEBT STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISES EXTERNAL DEBT MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK DEBT CAPACITY PUBLIC AND PUBLICLY GUARANTEED DEBT SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS RISK ASSESSMENT DEBT DISTRESS SCENARIOS Côte d’Ivoire has a moderate risk of external debt distress, with limited space to absorb shocks. All liquidity and solvency external debt indicators lie below their thresholds under the baseline scenario. However, the ratios of external debt service to revenue and exports are projected to rise, diminishing room to maneuver, and an export shock would cause breaches of their relevant thresholds under the worst-case stress scenarios. This underscores the substantial downside risks originating from external shocks and the need to boost domestic revenue mobilization. The overall risk of public debt distress is also moderate, with public debt to GDP ratio expected to decrease gradually. A sustained compliance with the WAEMU fiscal deficit convergence criterion and a prudent external borrowing strategy balancing the costs and economic return of new loans will be crucial to preserve debt sustainability. 2019-02-25T16:10:34Z 2019-02-25T16:10:34Z 2019-02-15 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/840731550769887881/Cote-dIvoire-Joint-Bank-Fund-Debt-Sustainability-Analysis-2018-Update http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31317 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Debt and Creditworthiness Study Economic & Sector Work Africa Cote d'Ivoire
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic PUBLIC DEBT
STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISES
EXTERNAL DEBT
MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK
DEBT CAPACITY
PUBLIC AND PUBLICLY GUARANTEED DEBT
SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS
RISK ASSESSMENT
DEBT DISTRESS
SCENARIOS
spellingShingle PUBLIC DEBT
STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISES
EXTERNAL DEBT
MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK
DEBT CAPACITY
PUBLIC AND PUBLICLY GUARANTEED DEBT
SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS
RISK ASSESSMENT
DEBT DISTRESS
SCENARIOS
World Bank
International Monetary Fund
Cote d'Ivoire Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Analysis - 2018 Update
geographic_facet Africa
Cote d'Ivoire
description Côte d’Ivoire has a moderate risk of external debt distress, with limited space to absorb shocks. All liquidity and solvency external debt indicators lie below their thresholds under the baseline scenario. However, the ratios of external debt service to revenue and exports are projected to rise, diminishing room to maneuver, and an export shock would cause breaches of their relevant thresholds under the worst-case stress scenarios. This underscores the substantial downside risks originating from external shocks and the need to boost domestic revenue mobilization. The overall risk of public debt distress is also moderate, with public debt to GDP ratio expected to decrease gradually. A sustained compliance with the WAEMU fiscal deficit convergence criterion and a prudent external borrowing strategy balancing the costs and economic return of new loans will be crucial to preserve debt sustainability.
format Report
author World Bank
International Monetary Fund
author_facet World Bank
International Monetary Fund
author_sort World Bank
title Cote d'Ivoire Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Analysis - 2018 Update
title_short Cote d'Ivoire Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Analysis - 2018 Update
title_full Cote d'Ivoire Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Analysis - 2018 Update
title_fullStr Cote d'Ivoire Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Analysis - 2018 Update
title_full_unstemmed Cote d'Ivoire Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Analysis - 2018 Update
title_sort cote d'ivoire joint bank-fund debt sustainability analysis - 2018 update
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2019
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/840731550769887881/Cote-dIvoire-Joint-Bank-Fund-Debt-Sustainability-Analysis-2018-Update
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31317
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