Effects of the Business Cycle on Social Indicators in Latin America and the Caribbean : When Dreams Meet Reality

After mediocre growth in 2018 of 0.7 percent. LAC is expected to perform only marginally better in 2019 (growth of 0.9 percent) followed by a much more solid growth of 2.1 percent in 2020. LAC will face both internal and external challenges during 2019. On the domestic front. the recession in Argent...

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Main Authors: Vegh, Carlos A., Vuletin, Guillermo, Riera-Crichton, Daniel, Puig, Jorge, Camarena, José Andrée, Galeano, Luciana, Morano, Luis, Venturi, Lucila
Format: Serial
Language:English
Published: Washington, DC: World Bank 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31483
id okr-10986-31483
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-314832021-04-23T14:05:04Z Effects of the Business Cycle on Social Indicators in Latin America and the Caribbean : When Dreams Meet Reality Vegh, Carlos A. Vuletin, Guillermo Riera-Crichton, Daniel Puig, Jorge Camarena, José Andrée Galeano, Luciana Morano, Luis Venturi, Lucila GROWTH HOUSEHOLD INCOME INEQUALITY LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION LABOR INCOME INEQUALITY SLOWDOWN ELASTICITY INEQUALITY TERMS OF TRADE UNEMPLOYMENT After mediocre growth in 2018 of 0.7 percent. LAC is expected to perform only marginally better in 2019 (growth of 0.9 percent) followed by a much more solid growth of 2.1 percent in 2020. LAC will face both internal and external challenges during 2019. On the domestic front. the recession in Argentina; a slower than expected recovery in Brazil from the 2014-2015 recession, anemic growth in Mexico. and the continued deterioration of Venezuela. present the biggest challenges. On the external front. the sharp drop in net capital inflows to the region since early 2018 and the monetary policy normalization in the United States stand among the greatest perils. Furthermore, the recent increase in poverty in Brazil because of the recession points to the large effects that the business cycle may have on poverty. The core of this report argues that social indicators that are very sensitive to the business cycle may yield a highly misleading picture of permanent social gains in the region. 2019-04-02T19:11:00Z 2019-04-02T19:11:00Z 2019-04-04 Serial 978-1-4648-1413-6 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31483 English LAC Semiannual Report; CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Washington, DC: World Bank Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Publication Latin America & Caribbean Caribbean Central Africa Latin America South America
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic GROWTH
HOUSEHOLD INCOME INEQUALITY
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
LABOR INCOME INEQUALITY
SLOWDOWN
ELASTICITY
INEQUALITY
TERMS OF TRADE
UNEMPLOYMENT
spellingShingle GROWTH
HOUSEHOLD INCOME INEQUALITY
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
LABOR INCOME INEQUALITY
SLOWDOWN
ELASTICITY
INEQUALITY
TERMS OF TRADE
UNEMPLOYMENT
Vegh, Carlos A.
Vuletin, Guillermo
Riera-Crichton, Daniel
Puig, Jorge
Camarena, José Andrée
Galeano, Luciana
Morano, Luis
Venturi, Lucila
Effects of the Business Cycle on Social Indicators in Latin America and the Caribbean : When Dreams Meet Reality
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Caribbean
Central Africa
Latin America
South America
relation LAC Semiannual Report;
description After mediocre growth in 2018 of 0.7 percent. LAC is expected to perform only marginally better in 2019 (growth of 0.9 percent) followed by a much more solid growth of 2.1 percent in 2020. LAC will face both internal and external challenges during 2019. On the domestic front. the recession in Argentina; a slower than expected recovery in Brazil from the 2014-2015 recession, anemic growth in Mexico. and the continued deterioration of Venezuela. present the biggest challenges. On the external front. the sharp drop in net capital inflows to the region since early 2018 and the monetary policy normalization in the United States stand among the greatest perils. Furthermore, the recent increase in poverty in Brazil because of the recession points to the large effects that the business cycle may have on poverty. The core of this report argues that social indicators that are very sensitive to the business cycle may yield a highly misleading picture of permanent social gains in the region.
format Serial
author Vegh, Carlos A.
Vuletin, Guillermo
Riera-Crichton, Daniel
Puig, Jorge
Camarena, José Andrée
Galeano, Luciana
Morano, Luis
Venturi, Lucila
author_facet Vegh, Carlos A.
Vuletin, Guillermo
Riera-Crichton, Daniel
Puig, Jorge
Camarena, José Andrée
Galeano, Luciana
Morano, Luis
Venturi, Lucila
author_sort Vegh, Carlos A.
title Effects of the Business Cycle on Social Indicators in Latin America and the Caribbean : When Dreams Meet Reality
title_short Effects of the Business Cycle on Social Indicators in Latin America and the Caribbean : When Dreams Meet Reality
title_full Effects of the Business Cycle on Social Indicators in Latin America and the Caribbean : When Dreams Meet Reality
title_fullStr Effects of the Business Cycle on Social Indicators in Latin America and the Caribbean : When Dreams Meet Reality
title_full_unstemmed Effects of the Business Cycle on Social Indicators in Latin America and the Caribbean : When Dreams Meet Reality
title_sort effects of the business cycle on social indicators in latin america and the caribbean : when dreams meet reality
publisher Washington, DC: World Bank
publishDate 2019
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31483
_version_ 1764474429380755456