Effects of the Business Cycle on Social Indicators in Latin America and the Caribbean : When Dreams Meet Reality
After mediocre growth in 2018 of 0.7 percent. LAC is expected to perform only marginally better in 2019 (growth of 0.9 percent) followed by a much more solid growth of 2.1 percent in 2020. LAC will face both internal and external challenges during 2019. On the domestic front. the recession in Argent...
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okr-10986-314832021-04-23T14:05:04Z Effects of the Business Cycle on Social Indicators in Latin America and the Caribbean : When Dreams Meet Reality Vegh, Carlos A. Vuletin, Guillermo Riera-Crichton, Daniel Puig, Jorge Camarena, José Andrée Galeano, Luciana Morano, Luis Venturi, Lucila GROWTH HOUSEHOLD INCOME INEQUALITY LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION LABOR INCOME INEQUALITY SLOWDOWN ELASTICITY INEQUALITY TERMS OF TRADE UNEMPLOYMENT After mediocre growth in 2018 of 0.7 percent. LAC is expected to perform only marginally better in 2019 (growth of 0.9 percent) followed by a much more solid growth of 2.1 percent in 2020. LAC will face both internal and external challenges during 2019. On the domestic front. the recession in Argentina; a slower than expected recovery in Brazil from the 2014-2015 recession, anemic growth in Mexico. and the continued deterioration of Venezuela. present the biggest challenges. On the external front. the sharp drop in net capital inflows to the region since early 2018 and the monetary policy normalization in the United States stand among the greatest perils. Furthermore, the recent increase in poverty in Brazil because of the recession points to the large effects that the business cycle may have on poverty. The core of this report argues that social indicators that are very sensitive to the business cycle may yield a highly misleading picture of permanent social gains in the region. 2019-04-02T19:11:00Z 2019-04-02T19:11:00Z 2019-04-04 Serial 978-1-4648-1413-6 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31483 English LAC Semiannual Report; CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Washington, DC: World Bank Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Publication Latin America & Caribbean Caribbean Central Africa Latin America South America |
repository_type |
Digital Repository |
institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
institution |
Digital Repositories |
building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
collection |
World Bank |
language |
English |
topic |
GROWTH HOUSEHOLD INCOME INEQUALITY LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION LABOR INCOME INEQUALITY SLOWDOWN ELASTICITY INEQUALITY TERMS OF TRADE UNEMPLOYMENT |
spellingShingle |
GROWTH HOUSEHOLD INCOME INEQUALITY LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION LABOR INCOME INEQUALITY SLOWDOWN ELASTICITY INEQUALITY TERMS OF TRADE UNEMPLOYMENT Vegh, Carlos A. Vuletin, Guillermo Riera-Crichton, Daniel Puig, Jorge Camarena, José Andrée Galeano, Luciana Morano, Luis Venturi, Lucila Effects of the Business Cycle on Social Indicators in Latin America and the Caribbean : When Dreams Meet Reality |
geographic_facet |
Latin America & Caribbean Caribbean Central Africa Latin America South America |
relation |
LAC Semiannual Report; |
description |
After mediocre growth in 2018 of 0.7 percent. LAC is expected to perform only marginally better in 2019 (growth of 0.9 percent) followed by a much more solid growth of 2.1 percent in 2020. LAC will face both internal and external challenges during 2019. On the domestic front. the recession in Argentina; a slower than expected recovery in Brazil from the 2014-2015 recession, anemic growth in Mexico. and the continued deterioration of Venezuela. present the biggest challenges. On the external front. the sharp drop in net capital inflows to the region since early 2018 and the monetary policy normalization in the United States stand among the greatest perils. Furthermore, the recent increase in poverty in Brazil because of the recession points to the large effects that the business cycle may have on poverty. The core of this report argues that social indicators that are very sensitive to the business cycle may yield a highly misleading picture of permanent social gains in the region. |
format |
Serial |
author |
Vegh, Carlos A. Vuletin, Guillermo Riera-Crichton, Daniel Puig, Jorge Camarena, José Andrée Galeano, Luciana Morano, Luis Venturi, Lucila |
author_facet |
Vegh, Carlos A. Vuletin, Guillermo Riera-Crichton, Daniel Puig, Jorge Camarena, José Andrée Galeano, Luciana Morano, Luis Venturi, Lucila |
author_sort |
Vegh, Carlos A. |
title |
Effects of the Business Cycle on Social Indicators in Latin America and the Caribbean : When Dreams Meet Reality |
title_short |
Effects of the Business Cycle on Social Indicators in Latin America and the Caribbean : When Dreams Meet Reality |
title_full |
Effects of the Business Cycle on Social Indicators in Latin America and the Caribbean : When Dreams Meet Reality |
title_fullStr |
Effects of the Business Cycle on Social Indicators in Latin America and the Caribbean : When Dreams Meet Reality |
title_full_unstemmed |
Effects of the Business Cycle on Social Indicators in Latin America and the Caribbean : When Dreams Meet Reality |
title_sort |
effects of the business cycle on social indicators in latin america and the caribbean : when dreams meet reality |
publisher |
Washington, DC: World Bank |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31483 |
_version_ |
1764474429380755456 |