Measuring the Unmeasured : Combining Technology and Behavioral Insights to Improve Measurement of Business Outcomes

Business survey outcomes for micro and small firms are notoriously noisy, with multiple sources of measurement and recall error. This paper introduces a new survey methodology that combines automatic consistency checks of electronic data collection...

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Main Authors: Anderson, Stephen J., Lazicky, Christy, Zia, Bilal
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/848101556644958454/Measuring-the-Unmeasured-Combining-Technology-and-Behavioral-Insights-to-Improve-Measurement-of-Business-Outcomes
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31601
id okr-10986-31601
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-316012021-07-26T06:23:10Z Measuring the Unmeasured : Combining Technology and Behavioral Insights to Improve Measurement of Business Outcomes Anderson, Stephen J. Lazicky, Christy Zia, Bilal MICROENTERPRISES SMALL AND MEDIUM ENTERPRISES SURVEY METHODS FIRM PRODUCTIVITY Business survey outcomes for micro and small firms are notoriously noisy, with multiple sources of measurement and recall error. This paper introduces a new survey methodology that combines automatic consistency checks of electronic data collection with triangulation and dynamic adjustment to arrive at more precise estimates of business performance. The methodology uses insights from behavioral science to lower the cognitive cost of initial recall and establishes salient and relevant anchors to allow for dynamic triangulation and adjustment toward a final estimate. The validity of this method is field tested against traditional performance measures as well as administrative data across three emerging markets: Ghana, Rwanda, and Uganda. The results show significant upward adjustment from traditional measures for both sales and profits, a lower coefficient of variation in the cross-section, and higher autocorrelation in panel data. Comparisons with administrative data further confirm a higher correlation and closer magnitude relative to traditional measures. This research reconciles recommendations for increased attention to survey design with a method to leverage electronic survey technology beyond consistency checks. 2019-05-02T18:45:34Z 2019-05-02T18:45:34Z 2019-04 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/848101556644958454/Measuring-the-Unmeasured-Combining-Technology-and-Behavioral-Insights-to-Improve-Measurement-of-Business-Outcomes http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31601 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8836 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Africa Ghana Rwanda Uganda
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic MICROENTERPRISES
SMALL AND MEDIUM ENTERPRISES
SURVEY METHODS
FIRM PRODUCTIVITY
spellingShingle MICROENTERPRISES
SMALL AND MEDIUM ENTERPRISES
SURVEY METHODS
FIRM PRODUCTIVITY
Anderson, Stephen J.
Lazicky, Christy
Zia, Bilal
Measuring the Unmeasured : Combining Technology and Behavioral Insights to Improve Measurement of Business Outcomes
geographic_facet Africa
Ghana
Rwanda
Uganda
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8836
description Business survey outcomes for micro and small firms are notoriously noisy, with multiple sources of measurement and recall error. This paper introduces a new survey methodology that combines automatic consistency checks of electronic data collection with triangulation and dynamic adjustment to arrive at more precise estimates of business performance. The methodology uses insights from behavioral science to lower the cognitive cost of initial recall and establishes salient and relevant anchors to allow for dynamic triangulation and adjustment toward a final estimate. The validity of this method is field tested against traditional performance measures as well as administrative data across three emerging markets: Ghana, Rwanda, and Uganda. The results show significant upward adjustment from traditional measures for both sales and profits, a lower coefficient of variation in the cross-section, and higher autocorrelation in panel data. Comparisons with administrative data further confirm a higher correlation and closer magnitude relative to traditional measures. This research reconciles recommendations for increased attention to survey design with a method to leverage electronic survey technology beyond consistency checks.
format Working Paper
author Anderson, Stephen J.
Lazicky, Christy
Zia, Bilal
author_facet Anderson, Stephen J.
Lazicky, Christy
Zia, Bilal
author_sort Anderson, Stephen J.
title Measuring the Unmeasured : Combining Technology and Behavioral Insights to Improve Measurement of Business Outcomes
title_short Measuring the Unmeasured : Combining Technology and Behavioral Insights to Improve Measurement of Business Outcomes
title_full Measuring the Unmeasured : Combining Technology and Behavioral Insights to Improve Measurement of Business Outcomes
title_fullStr Measuring the Unmeasured : Combining Technology and Behavioral Insights to Improve Measurement of Business Outcomes
title_full_unstemmed Measuring the Unmeasured : Combining Technology and Behavioral Insights to Improve Measurement of Business Outcomes
title_sort measuring the unmeasured : combining technology and behavioral insights to improve measurement of business outcomes
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2019
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/848101556644958454/Measuring-the-Unmeasured-Combining-Technology-and-Behavioral-Insights-to-Improve-Measurement-of-Business-Outcomes
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31601
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