Exploring Carbon Pricing in Developing Countries : A Macroeconomic Analysis in Ethiopia

This study uses a computable general equilibrium model to analyze various policy scenarios for a carbon tax on greenhouse gas emissions from petroleum fuels and kerosene in Ethiopia. The carbon tax starts at $5 per ton of carbon dioxide in 2018 and...

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Main Authors: Telaye, Andualem, Benitez, Pablo, Tamru, Seneshaw, Medhin, Haileselassie, Toman, Michael
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/536761558371853162/Exploring-Carbon-Pricing-in-Developing-Countries-A-Macroeconomic-Analysis-in-Ethiopia
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31738
id okr-10986-31738
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-317382022-09-20T00:14:27Z Exploring Carbon Pricing in Developing Countries : A Macroeconomic Analysis in Ethiopia Telaye, Andualem Benitez, Pablo Tamru, Seneshaw Medhin, Haileselassie Toman, Michael CARBON TAX CARBON PRICING CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACT CGE MODEL GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS This study uses a computable general equilibrium model to analyze various policy scenarios for a carbon tax on greenhouse gas emissions from petroleum fuels and kerosene in Ethiopia. The carbon tax starts at $5 per ton of carbon dioxide in 2018 and rises to $30 per ton in 2030. Different scenarios examine the impacts with revenue recycling through a uniform sales tax reduction, reduction of labor income tax, reduction of business income tax, direct transfer back to households, and use by the government to reduce debt. Because petroleum fuels and kerosene are a relatively small part of the Ethiopian economy, the carbon tax has quite small impacts on overall economic activity while having a notable proportionate impact on greenhouse gas emissions from these energy sources, depending on the recycling scenario. The carbon tax can raise significant revenue -- up to $800 million per year by 2030. The impacts on the poor through increased cost of living are not that large, since the share of the poor in total use of petroleum fuels and kerosene is small. In terms of income effects through employment changes, urban households tend to experience more impacts than rural households, but the results also depend on the household skill level and the revenue recycling scenario. 2019-05-21T17:24:48Z 2019-05-21T17:24:48Z 2019-05 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/536761558371853162/Exploring-Carbon-Pricing-in-Developing-Countries-A-Macroeconomic-Analysis-in-Ethiopia http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31738 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8860 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Africa Ethiopia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic CARBON TAX
CARBON PRICING
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION
DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACT
CGE MODEL
GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
spellingShingle CARBON TAX
CARBON PRICING
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION
DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACT
CGE MODEL
GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
Telaye, Andualem
Benitez, Pablo
Tamru, Seneshaw
Medhin, Haileselassie
Toman, Michael
Exploring Carbon Pricing in Developing Countries : A Macroeconomic Analysis in Ethiopia
geographic_facet Africa
Ethiopia
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8860
description This study uses a computable general equilibrium model to analyze various policy scenarios for a carbon tax on greenhouse gas emissions from petroleum fuels and kerosene in Ethiopia. The carbon tax starts at $5 per ton of carbon dioxide in 2018 and rises to $30 per ton in 2030. Different scenarios examine the impacts with revenue recycling through a uniform sales tax reduction, reduction of labor income tax, reduction of business income tax, direct transfer back to households, and use by the government to reduce debt. Because petroleum fuels and kerosene are a relatively small part of the Ethiopian economy, the carbon tax has quite small impacts on overall economic activity while having a notable proportionate impact on greenhouse gas emissions from these energy sources, depending on the recycling scenario. The carbon tax can raise significant revenue -- up to $800 million per year by 2030. The impacts on the poor through increased cost of living are not that large, since the share of the poor in total use of petroleum fuels and kerosene is small. In terms of income effects through employment changes, urban households tend to experience more impacts than rural households, but the results also depend on the household skill level and the revenue recycling scenario.
format Working Paper
author Telaye, Andualem
Benitez, Pablo
Tamru, Seneshaw
Medhin, Haileselassie
Toman, Michael
author_facet Telaye, Andualem
Benitez, Pablo
Tamru, Seneshaw
Medhin, Haileselassie
Toman, Michael
author_sort Telaye, Andualem
title Exploring Carbon Pricing in Developing Countries : A Macroeconomic Analysis in Ethiopia
title_short Exploring Carbon Pricing in Developing Countries : A Macroeconomic Analysis in Ethiopia
title_full Exploring Carbon Pricing in Developing Countries : A Macroeconomic Analysis in Ethiopia
title_fullStr Exploring Carbon Pricing in Developing Countries : A Macroeconomic Analysis in Ethiopia
title_full_unstemmed Exploring Carbon Pricing in Developing Countries : A Macroeconomic Analysis in Ethiopia
title_sort exploring carbon pricing in developing countries : a macroeconomic analysis in ethiopia
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2019
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/536761558371853162/Exploring-Carbon-Pricing-in-Developing-Countries-A-Macroeconomic-Analysis-in-Ethiopia
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31738
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