Transportation and Supply Chain Resilience in the United Republic of Tanzania : Assessing the Supply-Chain Impacts of Disaster-Induced Transportation Disruptions
The economy of the United Republic of Tanzania is growing fast but remains vulnerable to disasters, which are likely to worsen with climate change. Its transportation system, which mainly consist of roads, often get disrupted by floods. How could t...
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2019
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/203311560795432285/Transportation-and-Supply-Chain-Resilience-in-the-United-Republic-of-Tanzania http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31909 |
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okr-10986-319092021-05-25T09:25:00Z Transportation and Supply Chain Resilience in the United Republic of Tanzania : Assessing the Supply-Chain Impacts of Disaster-Induced Transportation Disruptions Colon, Celian Hallegatte, Stephane Rozenberg, Julie LIFELINES TRANSPORTATION SUPPLY CHAIN TRANSPORTATION NETWORK TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE NATURAL DISASTER DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE DYNAMIC MODEL INTERNATIONAL TRADE INPUT-OUTPUT TABLES RESILIENCE STRATEGY The economy of the United Republic of Tanzania is growing fast but remains vulnerable to disasters, which are likely to worsen with climate change. Its transportation system, which mainly consist of roads, often get disrupted by floods. How could the resilience of the transportation infrastructures be improved? We formulate a new type of model, called DisruptSCT, which brings together the strength of two different approaches: network criticality analyses and input–output models. Using a variety of data, we spatially disaggregate production, consumption, and input–output relationships. Plugged into a dynamic agent-based model, these downscaled data allow us to simulate the disruption of transportation infrastructures, their direct impacts on firms, and how these impacts propagate along supply chains and lead to losses to households. These indirect losses generally affect people that are not directly hit by disasters. Their intensity nonlinearly increases with the duration of the initial disruption. Supply chains generate interdependencies that amplify disruptions for nonprimary products, such as processed food and manufacturing products. We identify bottlenecks in the network. But their criticality depends on the supply chain we are looking at. For instance, some infrastructures are critical to some agents, say international buyers, but of little use to others. Investment priorities vary with policy objectives, e.g., support health services, improve food security, promote trade competitiveness. Resilience-enhancing strategies can act on the supply side of transportation, by improving the quality of targeted infrastructure, developing alternative corridors, building capacity to accelerate post-disaster recovery. On the other hand, policies could also support coping mechanisms within supply chains, such as sourcing and inventory strategies. Our results help articulate these different policies and adapt them to specific contexts. 2019-06-19T20:17:52Z 2019-06-19T20:17:52Z 2019-06 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/203311560795432285/Transportation-and-Supply-Chain-Resilience-in-the-United-Republic-of-Tanzania http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31909 English Background paper for Lifelines; CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Other Infrastructure Study Africa Tanzania |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English |
| topic |
LIFELINES TRANSPORTATION SUPPLY CHAIN TRANSPORTATION NETWORK TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE NATURAL DISASTER DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE DYNAMIC MODEL INTERNATIONAL TRADE INPUT-OUTPUT TABLES RESILIENCE STRATEGY |
| spellingShingle |
LIFELINES TRANSPORTATION SUPPLY CHAIN TRANSPORTATION NETWORK TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE NATURAL DISASTER DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE DYNAMIC MODEL INTERNATIONAL TRADE INPUT-OUTPUT TABLES RESILIENCE STRATEGY Colon, Celian Hallegatte, Stephane Rozenberg, Julie Transportation and Supply Chain Resilience in the United Republic of Tanzania : Assessing the Supply-Chain Impacts of Disaster-Induced Transportation Disruptions |
| geographic_facet |
Africa Tanzania |
| relation |
Background paper for Lifelines; |
| description |
The economy of the United Republic of
Tanzania is growing fast but remains vulnerable to
disasters, which are likely to worsen with climate change.
Its transportation system, which mainly consist of roads,
often get disrupted by floods. How could the resilience of
the transportation infrastructures be improved? We formulate
a new type of model, called DisruptSCT, which brings
together the strength of two different approaches: network
criticality analyses and input–output models. Using a
variety of data, we spatially disaggregate production,
consumption, and input–output relationships. Plugged into a
dynamic agent-based model, these downscaled data allow us to
simulate the disruption of transportation infrastructures,
their direct impacts on firms, and how these impacts
propagate along supply chains and lead to losses to
households. These indirect losses generally affect people
that are not directly hit by disasters. Their intensity
nonlinearly increases with the duration of the initial
disruption. Supply chains generate interdependencies that
amplify disruptions for nonprimary products, such as
processed food and manufacturing products. We identify
bottlenecks in the network. But their criticality depends on
the supply chain we are looking at. For instance, some
infrastructures are critical to some agents, say
international buyers, but of little use to others.
Investment priorities vary with policy objectives, e.g.,
support health services, improve food security, promote
trade competitiveness. Resilience-enhancing strategies can
act on the supply side of transportation, by improving the
quality of targeted infrastructure, developing alternative
corridors, building capacity to accelerate post-disaster
recovery. On the other hand, policies could also support
coping mechanisms within supply chains, such as sourcing and
inventory strategies. Our results help articulate these
different policies and adapt them to specific contexts. |
| format |
Report |
| author |
Colon, Celian Hallegatte, Stephane Rozenberg, Julie |
| author_facet |
Colon, Celian Hallegatte, Stephane Rozenberg, Julie |
| author_sort |
Colon, Celian |
| title |
Transportation and Supply Chain Resilience in the United Republic of Tanzania : Assessing the Supply-Chain Impacts of Disaster-Induced Transportation Disruptions |
| title_short |
Transportation and Supply Chain Resilience in the United Republic of Tanzania : Assessing the Supply-Chain Impacts of Disaster-Induced Transportation Disruptions |
| title_full |
Transportation and Supply Chain Resilience in the United Republic of Tanzania : Assessing the Supply-Chain Impacts of Disaster-Induced Transportation Disruptions |
| title_fullStr |
Transportation and Supply Chain Resilience in the United Republic of Tanzania : Assessing the Supply-Chain Impacts of Disaster-Induced Transportation Disruptions |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Transportation and Supply Chain Resilience in the United Republic of Tanzania : Assessing the Supply-Chain Impacts of Disaster-Induced Transportation Disruptions |
| title_sort |
transportation and supply chain resilience in the united republic of tanzania : assessing the supply-chain impacts of disaster-induced transportation disruptions |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2019 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/203311560795432285/Transportation-and-Supply-Chain-Resilience-in-the-United-Republic-of-Tanzania http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31909 |
| _version_ |
1764475354147192832 |