Candle in the Wind? Energy System Resilience to Natural Shocks
This study finds that natural shocks -- storms in particular -- are a significant and often leading cause for power supply disruptions. This finding is based on 20 years of high frequency (i.e. daily) data on power outages and climate variables in...
| Main Authors: | , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2019
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/951761560795137447/Candle-in-The-Wind-Energy-System-Resilience-to-Natural-Shocks http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31917 |
| id |
okr-10986-31917 |
|---|---|
| recordtype |
oai_dc |
| spelling |
okr-10986-319172022-09-19T12:16:28Z Candle in the Wind? Energy System Resilience to Natural Shocks Rentschler, Jun Obolensky, Marguerite Kornejew, Martin NATURAL DISASTER ELECTRICITY ENERGY POWER OUTAGE RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT This study finds that natural shocks -- storms in particular -- are a significant and often leading cause for power supply disruptions. This finding is based on 20 years of high frequency (i.e. daily) data on power outages and climate variables in 28 countries -- Bangladesh, the United States and 26 European countries. More specifically: (1) Natural shocks are the most important cause of power outages in developed economies. On average, they account for more than 50 of annual outage duration in both the US and Europe. In contrast, natural shocks are responsible for a small share of outages in Bangladesh, where disruptions occur on a daily basis for a variety of reasons. (2) Outages due to natural shocks are found to last significantly longer than those due to non-natural shocks in -- e.g. more than 4.5 times in Europe. Reasons include the challenge of locating wide-spread damages, and the sustained duration of storms. (3) Several factors can reinforce the adverse effect of natural shocks on power supply. In the US, forest cover is shown to significantly increase the risk of power outages when storms occur. (4) There are significant differences in network fragility. For instance, wind speeds above 35 km/h are found to be 12 times more likely to cause an outage in Bangladesh than in the US. This difference may be explained by a range of factors, including investments in infrastructure resilience and maintenance. 2019-06-20T15:12:26Z 2019-06-20T15:12:26Z 2019-06 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/951761560795137447/Candle-in-The-Wind-Energy-System-Resilience-to-Natural-Shocks http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31917 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8897 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English |
| topic |
NATURAL DISASTER ELECTRICITY ENERGY POWER OUTAGE RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT |
| spellingShingle |
NATURAL DISASTER ELECTRICITY ENERGY POWER OUTAGE RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT Rentschler, Jun Obolensky, Marguerite Kornejew, Martin Candle in the Wind? Energy System Resilience to Natural Shocks |
| relation |
Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8897 |
| description |
This study finds that natural shocks --
storms in particular -- are a significant and often leading
cause for power supply disruptions. This finding is based on
20 years of high frequency (i.e. daily) data on power
outages and climate variables in 28 countries -- Bangladesh,
the United States and 26 European countries. More
specifically: (1) Natural shocks are the most important
cause of power outages in developed economies. On average,
they account for more than 50 of annual outage duration in
both the US and Europe. In contrast, natural shocks are
responsible for a small share of outages in Bangladesh,
where disruptions occur on a daily basis for a variety of
reasons. (2) Outages due to natural shocks are found to last
significantly longer than those due to non-natural shocks in
-- e.g. more than 4.5 times in Europe. Reasons include the
challenge of locating wide-spread damages, and the sustained
duration of storms. (3) Several factors can reinforce the
adverse effect of natural shocks on power supply. In the US,
forest cover is shown to significantly increase the risk of
power outages when storms occur. (4) There are significant
differences in network fragility. For instance, wind speeds
above 35 km/h are found to be 12 times more likely to cause
an outage in Bangladesh than in the US. This difference may
be explained by a range of factors, including investments in
infrastructure resilience and maintenance. |
| format |
Working Paper |
| author |
Rentschler, Jun Obolensky, Marguerite Kornejew, Martin |
| author_facet |
Rentschler, Jun Obolensky, Marguerite Kornejew, Martin |
| author_sort |
Rentschler, Jun |
| title |
Candle in the Wind? Energy System Resilience to Natural Shocks |
| title_short |
Candle in the Wind? Energy System Resilience to Natural Shocks |
| title_full |
Candle in the Wind? Energy System Resilience to Natural Shocks |
| title_fullStr |
Candle in the Wind? Energy System Resilience to Natural Shocks |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Candle in the Wind? Energy System Resilience to Natural Shocks |
| title_sort |
candle in the wind? energy system resilience to natural shocks |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2019 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/951761560795137447/Candle-in-The-Wind-Energy-System-Resilience-to-Natural-Shocks http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31917 |
| _version_ |
1764475363181723648 |