Three Feet Under : The Impact of Floods on Urban Jobs, Connectivity, and Infrastructure

This paper analyses the degree to which infrastructure reliability and urban economic activity in several African cities is impacted by flooding. It combines firm-level micro data, flood maps, and several spatial data layers across cities through a...

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Main Authors: Rentschler, Jun, Braese, Johannes, Jones, Nick, Avner, Paolo
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/410661560796289323/Three-Feet-Under-The-Impact-of-Floods-on-Urban-Jobs-Connectivity-and-Infrastructure
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31918
id okr-10986-31918
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-319182022-09-05T00:22:28Z Three Feet Under : The Impact of Floods on Urban Jobs, Connectivity, and Infrastructure Rentschler, Jun Braese, Johannes Jones, Nick Avner, Paolo FLOOD URBAN FLOODS RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE CONNECTIVITY URBAN EMPLOYMENT CITY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY NATURAL DISASTER GEOSPATIAL NETWORK ANALYSIS URBAN TRANSPORT This paper analyses the degree to which infrastructure reliability and urban economic activity in several African cities is impacted by flooding. It combines firm-level micro data, flood maps, and several spatial data layers across cities through a harmonized geospatial network analysis. The analysis shows that a significant share of jobs in cities is directly affected by floods. It further details how transport infrastructure is subjected to significant flood risk that disproportionally affects main roads in many cities. While direct flood effects are revealed to be significant, this work further shows how knock-on implications for the entire urban economy might be even larger. Regardless of the direct flood exposure of firms, flooded transport networks mean that disruptions propagate across the city and drastically reduce the connectivity between firms. Access to hospitals is also found to be reduced significantly -- even during relatively light flooding events: From a third of locations in Kampala, floods mean that people would no longer be able to reach hospitals within the "golden hour" -- a rule of thumb referring to the window of time that maximizes the likelihood of survival after a severe medical incident. Overall, this study showcases the use of high-detail city-level analyses to better understand the localized impacts of natural hazards on urban infrastructure networks. 2019-06-20T15:24:50Z 2019-06-20T15:24:50Z 2019-06 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/410661560796289323/Three-Feet-Under-The-Impact-of-Floods-on-Urban-Jobs-Connectivity-and-Infrastructure http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31918 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8898 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic FLOOD
URBAN FLOODS
RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE
CONNECTIVITY
URBAN EMPLOYMENT
CITY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
NATURAL DISASTER
GEOSPATIAL NETWORK ANALYSIS
URBAN TRANSPORT
spellingShingle FLOOD
URBAN FLOODS
RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE
CONNECTIVITY
URBAN EMPLOYMENT
CITY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
NATURAL DISASTER
GEOSPATIAL NETWORK ANALYSIS
URBAN TRANSPORT
Rentschler, Jun
Braese, Johannes
Jones, Nick
Avner, Paolo
Three Feet Under : The Impact of Floods on Urban Jobs, Connectivity, and Infrastructure
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8898
description This paper analyses the degree to which infrastructure reliability and urban economic activity in several African cities is impacted by flooding. It combines firm-level micro data, flood maps, and several spatial data layers across cities through a harmonized geospatial network analysis. The analysis shows that a significant share of jobs in cities is directly affected by floods. It further details how transport infrastructure is subjected to significant flood risk that disproportionally affects main roads in many cities. While direct flood effects are revealed to be significant, this work further shows how knock-on implications for the entire urban economy might be even larger. Regardless of the direct flood exposure of firms, flooded transport networks mean that disruptions propagate across the city and drastically reduce the connectivity between firms. Access to hospitals is also found to be reduced significantly -- even during relatively light flooding events: From a third of locations in Kampala, floods mean that people would no longer be able to reach hospitals within the "golden hour" -- a rule of thumb referring to the window of time that maximizes the likelihood of survival after a severe medical incident. Overall, this study showcases the use of high-detail city-level analyses to better understand the localized impacts of natural hazards on urban infrastructure networks.
format Working Paper
author Rentschler, Jun
Braese, Johannes
Jones, Nick
Avner, Paolo
author_facet Rentschler, Jun
Braese, Johannes
Jones, Nick
Avner, Paolo
author_sort Rentschler, Jun
title Three Feet Under : The Impact of Floods on Urban Jobs, Connectivity, and Infrastructure
title_short Three Feet Under : The Impact of Floods on Urban Jobs, Connectivity, and Infrastructure
title_full Three Feet Under : The Impact of Floods on Urban Jobs, Connectivity, and Infrastructure
title_fullStr Three Feet Under : The Impact of Floods on Urban Jobs, Connectivity, and Infrastructure
title_full_unstemmed Three Feet Under : The Impact of Floods on Urban Jobs, Connectivity, and Infrastructure
title_sort three feet under : the impact of floods on urban jobs, connectivity, and infrastructure
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2019
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/410661560796289323/Three-Feet-Under-The-Impact-of-Floods-on-Urban-Jobs-Connectivity-and-Infrastructure
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31918
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