How Much Would China Gain from Power Sector Reforms? An Analysis Using TIMES and CGE Models

Many countries have undertaken market-oriented reforms of the power sector over the past four decades. However, the literature has not investigated whether the reforms have contributed to economic development. This study aims to assess the potentia...

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Main Authors: Timilsina, Govinda, Pang, Jun, Yang, Xi
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/864811561120531299/How-Much-Would-China-Gain-from-Power-Sector-Reforms-An-Analysis-Using-TIMES-and-CGE-Models
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31973
id okr-10986-31973
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-319732022-03-06T12:16:02Z How Much Would China Gain from Power Sector Reforms? An Analysis Using TIMES and CGE Models Timilsina, Govinda Pang, Jun Yang, Xi POWER SECTOR REFORM MACROECONOMIC IMPACT CGE MODEL ELECTRICITY ENERGY SECTOR PLANNING Many countries have undertaken market-oriented reforms of the power sector over the past four decades. However, the literature has not investigated whether the reforms have contributed to economic development. This study aims to assess the potential macroeconomic impacts of an element of the power sector reform process that China started in 2015. It uses an energy sector TIMES model and a computable general equilibrium model. The study finds that the price of electricity in China would be around 20 percent lower than the country is likely to experience in 2020, if the country follows the market principle to operate the power system. The reduction in the price of electricity would spill over throughout the economy, resulting in an increase in gross domestic product of more than 1 percent in 2020. It would also increase household income, economic welfare, and international trade. 2019-06-26T19:18:33Z 2019-06-26T19:18:33Z 2019-06 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/864811561120531299/How-Much-Would-China-Gain-from-Power-Sector-Reforms-An-Analysis-Using-TIMES-and-CGE-Models http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31973 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8908 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper East Asia and Pacific China
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic POWER SECTOR REFORM
MACROECONOMIC IMPACT
CGE MODEL
ELECTRICITY
ENERGY SECTOR PLANNING
spellingShingle POWER SECTOR REFORM
MACROECONOMIC IMPACT
CGE MODEL
ELECTRICITY
ENERGY SECTOR PLANNING
Timilsina, Govinda
Pang, Jun
Yang, Xi
How Much Would China Gain from Power Sector Reforms? An Analysis Using TIMES and CGE Models
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
China
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8908
description Many countries have undertaken market-oriented reforms of the power sector over the past four decades. However, the literature has not investigated whether the reforms have contributed to economic development. This study aims to assess the potential macroeconomic impacts of an element of the power sector reform process that China started in 2015. It uses an energy sector TIMES model and a computable general equilibrium model. The study finds that the price of electricity in China would be around 20 percent lower than the country is likely to experience in 2020, if the country follows the market principle to operate the power system. The reduction in the price of electricity would spill over throughout the economy, resulting in an increase in gross domestic product of more than 1 percent in 2020. It would also increase household income, economic welfare, and international trade.
format Working Paper
author Timilsina, Govinda
Pang, Jun
Yang, Xi
author_facet Timilsina, Govinda
Pang, Jun
Yang, Xi
author_sort Timilsina, Govinda
title How Much Would China Gain from Power Sector Reforms? An Analysis Using TIMES and CGE Models
title_short How Much Would China Gain from Power Sector Reforms? An Analysis Using TIMES and CGE Models
title_full How Much Would China Gain from Power Sector Reforms? An Analysis Using TIMES and CGE Models
title_fullStr How Much Would China Gain from Power Sector Reforms? An Analysis Using TIMES and CGE Models
title_full_unstemmed How Much Would China Gain from Power Sector Reforms? An Analysis Using TIMES and CGE Models
title_sort how much would china gain from power sector reforms? an analysis using times and cge models
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2019
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/864811561120531299/How-Much-Would-China-Gain-from-Power-Sector-Reforms-An-Analysis-Using-TIMES-and-CGE-Models
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31973
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