What Determines the Size of Public Employment? An Empirical Investigation

This paper explores the determinants of public employment across the world and finds that it is negatively associated with country size (by population) and positively associated with the income level. The findings show that a country's opennes...

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Main Authors: Herrera, Santiago, Munoz, Ercio
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/167301565099492715/What-Determines-the-Size-of-Public-Employment-An-Empirical-Investigation
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32213
id okr-10986-32213
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-322132022-09-20T00:14:31Z What Determines the Size of Public Employment? An Empirical Investigation Herrera, Santiago Munoz, Ercio PUBLIC SECTOR EMPLOYMENT GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE GOVERNMENT SIZE OPENNESS WAGNER'S LAW PUBLIC EMPLOYMENT UNIONS CROWDING OUT This paper explores the determinants of public employment across the world and finds that it is negatively associated with country size (by population) and positively associated with the income level. The findings show that a country's openness to trade is positively associated with public employment in low- and middle-income countries, but inversely related in high-income countries. The estimated models are used to predict the expected public employment for a country given its income, population, and openness to trade, and to compare the actual levels with the predicted ones. In general, public employment in Latin American countries is below the predicted levels, except for Argentina, Brazil, Ecuador, Mexico, Suriname, Trinidad and Tobago, and the República Bolivariana de Venezuela. Public employment in the Middle East and North Africa is above the predicted levels, particularly in the Arab Republic of Egypt and the Islamic Republic of Iran. East Asian and Pacific countries' public employment is significantly below the predicted levels, particularly in Hong Kong SAR, China; Japan; the Republic of Korea; and Mongolia. Countries in Europe and Central Asia show higher than predicted public employment, mostly in Romania, Denmark, Sweden, Armenia, and Belorussia. Public employment in Sub-Saharan Africa appears to be below the predicted levels, with the notable exceptions of Botswana and South Africa. The deviations from predicted levels are positively correlated with the union density rate, which is negatively associated with private employment rates. Finally, the study finds no statistical association between public and private employment, suggesting the absence of crowding-out in the employment levels. 2019-08-07T21:14:38Z 2019-08-07T21:14:38Z 2019-08 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/167301565099492715/What-Determines-the-Size-of-Public-Employment-An-Empirical-Investigation http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32213 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8961 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic PUBLIC SECTOR EMPLOYMENT
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE
GOVERNMENT SIZE
OPENNESS
WAGNER'S LAW
PUBLIC EMPLOYMENT
UNIONS
CROWDING OUT
spellingShingle PUBLIC SECTOR EMPLOYMENT
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE
GOVERNMENT SIZE
OPENNESS
WAGNER'S LAW
PUBLIC EMPLOYMENT
UNIONS
CROWDING OUT
Herrera, Santiago
Munoz, Ercio
What Determines the Size of Public Employment? An Empirical Investigation
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8961
description This paper explores the determinants of public employment across the world and finds that it is negatively associated with country size (by population) and positively associated with the income level. The findings show that a country's openness to trade is positively associated with public employment in low- and middle-income countries, but inversely related in high-income countries. The estimated models are used to predict the expected public employment for a country given its income, population, and openness to trade, and to compare the actual levels with the predicted ones. In general, public employment in Latin American countries is below the predicted levels, except for Argentina, Brazil, Ecuador, Mexico, Suriname, Trinidad and Tobago, and the República Bolivariana de Venezuela. Public employment in the Middle East and North Africa is above the predicted levels, particularly in the Arab Republic of Egypt and the Islamic Republic of Iran. East Asian and Pacific countries' public employment is significantly below the predicted levels, particularly in Hong Kong SAR, China; Japan; the Republic of Korea; and Mongolia. Countries in Europe and Central Asia show higher than predicted public employment, mostly in Romania, Denmark, Sweden, Armenia, and Belorussia. Public employment in Sub-Saharan Africa appears to be below the predicted levels, with the notable exceptions of Botswana and South Africa. The deviations from predicted levels are positively correlated with the union density rate, which is negatively associated with private employment rates. Finally, the study finds no statistical association between public and private employment, suggesting the absence of crowding-out in the employment levels.
format Working Paper
author Herrera, Santiago
Munoz, Ercio
author_facet Herrera, Santiago
Munoz, Ercio
author_sort Herrera, Santiago
title What Determines the Size of Public Employment? An Empirical Investigation
title_short What Determines the Size of Public Employment? An Empirical Investigation
title_full What Determines the Size of Public Employment? An Empirical Investigation
title_fullStr What Determines the Size of Public Employment? An Empirical Investigation
title_full_unstemmed What Determines the Size of Public Employment? An Empirical Investigation
title_sort what determines the size of public employment? an empirical investigation
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2019
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/167301565099492715/What-Determines-the-Size-of-Public-Employment-An-Empirical-Investigation
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32213
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