Poverty, Vulnerability, and Household Coping Strategies during the 2015-16 Recession in Belarus

This paper examines the impact of the recent recession in Belarus on poverty and broader measures of household welfare and compares the recent recession episode to previous economic crises in Belarus. The paper constructs a measure of vulnerability...

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Main Authors:	Bornukova, Kateryna, Cojocaru, Alexandru, Matytsin, Mikhail, Shymanovich, Gleb
Format:	Working Paper
Language:	English
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:	POVERTY VULNERABILITY CRISIS WELFARE COPING STRATEGY RECESSION
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/465121568118662575/Poverty-Vulnerability-and-Household-Coping-Strategies-during-the-2015-16-Recession-in-Belarus http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32377

id	okr-10986-32377
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-323772022-09-20T00:13:54Z Poverty, Vulnerability, and Household Coping Strategies during the 2015-16 Recession in Belarus Bornukova, Kateryna Cojocaru, Alexandru Matytsin, Mikhail Shymanovich, Gleb POVERTY VULNERABILITY CRISIS WELFARE COPING STRATEGY RECESSION This paper examines the impact of the recent recession in Belarus on poverty and broader measures of household welfare and compares the recent recession episode to previous economic crises in Belarus. The paper constructs a measure of vulnerability to poverty, based on an estimated probability of falling below the national poverty threshold not exceeding 10 percent, which is estimated for each year of the household survey data between 2014 and 2017. The analysis finds that the recession of 2014-16 was qualitatively different from earlier recent crisis episodes (2008-09 and 2010-11) in that it affected low-income households to a much greater extent, and the negative welfare effects lingered. The paper also documents that although the recession did not result in a substantial increase in absolute poverty by the official definition, it led to a considerable increase in the share of households that are vulnerable to poverty. The greater degree of vulnerability is also evident from the growing share of the population that faced a risk of poverty within a year (going in and out of poverty). Household types for which the impact of the recession was most pronounced are households with multiple children, single-parent households, residents of rural areas, as well as those who were not employed, partly employed, or low-skilled employees. Coping strategies that were employed by the population were largely related to reducing expenditures and, among vulnerable households, food expenditures in particular, as well as drawing down on their savings. 2019-09-12T16:43:19Z 2019-09-12T16:43:19Z 2019-09 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/465121568118662575/Poverty-Vulnerability-and-Household-Coping-Strategies-during-the-2015-16-Recession-in-Belarus http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32377 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9003 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Europe and Central Asia Belarus
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	English
topic	POVERTY VULNERABILITY CRISIS WELFARE COPING STRATEGY RECESSION
spellingShingle	POVERTY VULNERABILITY CRISIS WELFARE COPING STRATEGY RECESSION Bornukova, Kateryna Cojocaru, Alexandru Matytsin, Mikhail Shymanovich, Gleb Poverty, Vulnerability, and Household Coping Strategies during the 2015-16 Recession in Belarus
geographic_facet	Europe and Central Asia Belarus
relation	Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9003
description	This paper examines the impact of the recent recession in Belarus on poverty and broader measures of household welfare and compares the recent recession episode to previous economic crises in Belarus. The paper constructs a measure of vulnerability to poverty, based on an estimated probability of falling below the national poverty threshold not exceeding 10 percent, which is estimated for each year of the household survey data between 2014 and 2017. The analysis finds that the recession of 2014-16 was qualitatively different from earlier recent crisis episodes (2008-09 and 2010-11) in that it affected low-income households to a much greater extent, and the negative welfare effects lingered. The paper also documents that although the recession did not result in a substantial increase in absolute poverty by the official definition, it led to a considerable increase in the share of households that are vulnerable to poverty. The greater degree of vulnerability is also evident from the growing share of the population that faced a risk of poverty within a year (going in and out of poverty). Household types for which the impact of the recession was most pronounced are households with multiple children, single-parent households, residents of rural areas, as well as those who were not employed, partly employed, or low-skilled employees. Coping strategies that were employed by the population were largely related to reducing expenditures and, among vulnerable households, food expenditures in particular, as well as drawing down on their savings.
format	Working Paper
author	Bornukova, Kateryna Cojocaru, Alexandru Matytsin, Mikhail Shymanovich, Gleb
author_facet	Bornukova, Kateryna Cojocaru, Alexandru Matytsin, Mikhail Shymanovich, Gleb
author_sort	Bornukova, Kateryna
title	Poverty, Vulnerability, and Household Coping Strategies during the 2015-16 Recession in Belarus
title_short	Poverty, Vulnerability, and Household Coping Strategies during the 2015-16 Recession in Belarus
title_full	Poverty, Vulnerability, and Household Coping Strategies during the 2015-16 Recession in Belarus
title_fullStr	Poverty, Vulnerability, and Household Coping Strategies during the 2015-16 Recession in Belarus
title_full_unstemmed	Poverty, Vulnerability, and Household Coping Strategies during the 2015-16 Recession in Belarus
title_sort	poverty, vulnerability, and household coping strategies during the 2015-16 recession in belarus
publisher	World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate	2019
url	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/465121568118662575/Poverty-Vulnerability-and-Household-Coping-Strategies-during-the-2015-16-Recession-in-Belarus http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32377
_version_	1764476416027525120

Poverty, Vulnerability, and Household Coping Strategies during the 2015-16 Recession in Belarus

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