Tajikistan Risk and Resilience Assessment

Tajikistan was ill-equipped for independence in 1991, and slipped almost immediately into violence. The civil war ended in 1997 with a peace accord that, thanks to a power sharing agreement, was able for a few years to ensure a degree of peaceful p...

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Main Author:	World Bank
Format:	Report
Language:	English
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:	FRAGILITY CIVIL WAR CONFLICT-AFFECTED STATES VIOLENCE REGIONALISM INCLUSION RESILIENCE RISK MANAGEMENT WORLD BANK PORTFOLIO
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/191141570826500962/Tajikistan-Risk-and-resilience-assessment http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32548

id	okr-10986-32548
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-325482021-09-16T14:44:24Z Tajikistan Risk and Resilience Assessment World Bank FRAGILITY CIVIL WAR CONFLICT-AFFECTED STATES VIOLENCE REGIONALISM INCLUSION RESILIENCE RISK MANAGEMENT WORLD BANK PORTFOLIO Tajikistan was ill-equipped for independence in 1991, and slipped almost immediately into violence. The civil war ended in 1997 with a peace accord that, thanks to a power sharing agreement, was able for a few years to ensure a degree of peaceful political competition. In recent years, political instability and the potential for violence in Tajikistan has grown with pervasive governance challenges, include elite capture of political and economic power, high-level corruption, and the closing of political space. Political and security challenges exacerbate, and are exacerbated by, economic, social, and cross-border risks. Indeed, most global indices that examine fragility and conflict place Tajikistan in a category of elevated risk. This risk and resilience assessment (RRA) is intended to provide a comprehensive understanding of the fragility, conflict, and violence (FCV) stresses facing Tajikistan and the potential role of the Bank in helping to address these risks. Report is organized as follows: chapter one gives introduction. Chapter two of the provides an overview of Tajikistan’s geography, demography, and economy and discusses the historical context that has led to Tajikistan’s current challenges. Chapter three provides an overview of the priority risks - political and security, economic, inclusion and regionalism, and cross-border and global that increase Tajikistan’s vulnerability to violence and instability. Chapter four discusses the specific triggers or scenarios that can destabilize the status quo or lead to widespread unrest. Chapter five identifies sources of resilience the World Bank Group (WBG) may wish to consider and build upon. Chapter six concludes with suggested recommendations to the WB on the way forward. 2019-10-16T19:31:02Z 2019-10-16T19:31:02Z 2017-04 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/191141570826500962/Tajikistan-Risk-and-resilience-assessment http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32548 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Risk and Vulnerability Assessment Europe and Central Asia Tajikistan
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	English
topic	FRAGILITY CIVIL WAR CONFLICT-AFFECTED STATES VIOLENCE REGIONALISM INCLUSION RESILIENCE RISK MANAGEMENT WORLD BANK PORTFOLIO
spellingShingle	FRAGILITY CIVIL WAR CONFLICT-AFFECTED STATES VIOLENCE REGIONALISM INCLUSION RESILIENCE RISK MANAGEMENT WORLD BANK PORTFOLIO World Bank Tajikistan Risk and Resilience Assessment
geographic_facet	Europe and Central Asia Tajikistan
description	Tajikistan was ill-equipped for independence in 1991, and slipped almost immediately into violence. The civil war ended in 1997 with a peace accord that, thanks to a power sharing agreement, was able for a few years to ensure a degree of peaceful political competition. In recent years, political instability and the potential for violence in Tajikistan has grown with pervasive governance challenges, include elite capture of political and economic power, high-level corruption, and the closing of political space. Political and security challenges exacerbate, and are exacerbated by, economic, social, and cross-border risks. Indeed, most global indices that examine fragility and conflict place Tajikistan in a category of elevated risk. This risk and resilience assessment (RRA) is intended to provide a comprehensive understanding of the fragility, conflict, and violence (FCV) stresses facing Tajikistan and the potential role of the Bank in helping to address these risks. Report is organized as follows: chapter one gives introduction. Chapter two of the provides an overview of Tajikistan’s geography, demography, and economy and discusses the historical context that has led to Tajikistan’s current challenges. Chapter three provides an overview of the priority risks - political and security, economic, inclusion and regionalism, and cross-border and global that increase Tajikistan’s vulnerability to violence and instability. Chapter four discusses the specific triggers or scenarios that can destabilize the status quo or lead to widespread unrest. Chapter five identifies sources of resilience the World Bank Group (WBG) may wish to consider and build upon. Chapter six concludes with suggested recommendations to the WB on the way forward.
format	Report
author	World Bank
author_facet	World Bank
author_sort	World Bank
title	Tajikistan Risk and Resilience Assessment
title_short	Tajikistan Risk and Resilience Assessment
title_full	Tajikistan Risk and Resilience Assessment
title_fullStr	Tajikistan Risk and Resilience Assessment
title_full_unstemmed	Tajikistan Risk and Resilience Assessment
title_sort	tajikistan risk and resilience assessment
publisher	World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate	2019
url	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/191141570826500962/Tajikistan-Risk-and-resilience-assessment http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32548
_version_	1764476772280172544

Tajikistan Risk and Resilience Assessment

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