Niger - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis

Niger's risk of external and overall public debt distress is rated "moderate" as in the previous DSA. While all thresholds are observed in the baseline, the PV of PPG external debt-to-exports ratio breaches its threshold under stress...

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Main Authors: World Bank, International Monetary Fund
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/935471570641060517/Niger-Joint-World-Bank-IMF-Debt-Sustainability-Analysis-July-2019
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32562
id okr-10986-32562
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-325622021-05-25T09:28:31Z Niger - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis World Bank International Monetary Fund PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT DEBT SERVICE BURDEN CONTINGENT LIABILITY DEBT DISTRESS PUBLIC AND PUBLICLY GUARANTEED DEBT SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS RISK ASSESSMENT MACROECONOMIC PROJECTION EXTERNAL DEBT Niger's risk of external and overall public debt distress is rated "moderate" as in the previous DSA. While all thresholds are observed in the baseline, the PV of PPG external debt-to-exports ratio breaches its threshold under stress test scenarios. Debt-carrying capacity continues to be rated "medium." The analysis shows that Niger has limited space to accommodate negative shocks and remains vulnerable to adverse developments of its exports. The DSA is predicated on the government continuing to implement its reform program: fiscal consolidation; structural reforms, including revenue mobilization efforts; contain expenditures and improve spending quality; and timely completion of several large-scale projects, in particular the construction of a pipeline for crude oil exports. Identified weaknesses call for further strengthening of debt management, including by broadening the coverage of public debt, prioritizing concessional borrowing, and strengthening private-sector development to support economic diversification and mitigate the risks associated with commodity price fluctuations. 2019-10-17T18:16:38Z 2019-10-17T18:16:38Z 2019-07 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/935471570641060517/Niger-Joint-World-Bank-IMF-Debt-Sustainability-Analysis-July-2019 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32562 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Debt and Creditworthiness Study Africa Niger
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT
DEBT SERVICE BURDEN
CONTINGENT LIABILITY
DEBT DISTRESS
PUBLIC AND PUBLICLY GUARANTEED DEBT
SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS
RISK ASSESSMENT
MACROECONOMIC PROJECTION
EXTERNAL DEBT
spellingShingle PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT
DEBT SERVICE BURDEN
CONTINGENT LIABILITY
DEBT DISTRESS
PUBLIC AND PUBLICLY GUARANTEED DEBT
SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS
RISK ASSESSMENT
MACROECONOMIC PROJECTION
EXTERNAL DEBT
World Bank
International Monetary Fund
Niger - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis
geographic_facet Africa
Niger
description Niger's risk of external and overall public debt distress is rated "moderate" as in the previous DSA. While all thresholds are observed in the baseline, the PV of PPG external debt-to-exports ratio breaches its threshold under stress test scenarios. Debt-carrying capacity continues to be rated "medium." The analysis shows that Niger has limited space to accommodate negative shocks and remains vulnerable to adverse developments of its exports. The DSA is predicated on the government continuing to implement its reform program: fiscal consolidation; structural reforms, including revenue mobilization efforts; contain expenditures and improve spending quality; and timely completion of several large-scale projects, in particular the construction of a pipeline for crude oil exports. Identified weaknesses call for further strengthening of debt management, including by broadening the coverage of public debt, prioritizing concessional borrowing, and strengthening private-sector development to support economic diversification and mitigate the risks associated with commodity price fluctuations.
format Report
author World Bank
International Monetary Fund
author_facet World Bank
International Monetary Fund
author_sort World Bank
title Niger - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis
title_short Niger - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis
title_full Niger - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis
title_fullStr Niger - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Niger - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis
title_sort niger - joint world bank-imf debt sustainability analysis
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2019
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/935471570641060517/Niger-Joint-World-Bank-IMF-Debt-Sustainability-Analysis-July-2019
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32562
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