Benin - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis

Benin remains at moderate risk of external debt distress. The rating is unchanged from the previous November 2018 DSA. All the projected external debt burden indicators remain below their thresholds under the baseline, but the ratio of the present...

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Main Authors: World Bank, International Monetary Fund
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/850681570637260305/Benin-Joint-World-Bank-IMF-Debt-Sustainability-Analysis-July-2019
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32568
id okr-10986-32568
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-325682021-05-25T09:28:27Z Benin - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis World Bank International Monetary Fund DEBT DISTRESS DEBT SERVICE BURDEN PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT CONTINGENT LIABILITY EXTERNAL DEBT PUBLIC AND PUBLICLY GUARANTEED DEBT SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS RISK ASSESSMENT MACROECONOMIC PROJECTION Benin remains at moderate risk of external debt distress. The rating is unchanged from the previous November 2018 DSA. All the projected external debt burden indicators remain below their thresholds under the baseline, but the ratio of the present value (PV) of external debt to exports exceeds its threshold in the case of an extreme shock to exports.1 With regard to total public and publicly guaranteed (PPG) debt (external plus domestic), the overall risk of debt distress remains also moderate. The public debt-to-GDP ratio is below its prudent benchmark in the baseline scenario; however, the PV of public debt-to-GDP rises very slightly above its benchmark from 2024 until the end of the projection period under the real GDP shock scenario. Other factors motivating the overall rating include: the past evolution of domestic debt, the relatively high debt service burden, as well as the existence of contingent liabilities. Medium-term fiscal consolidation, sound public investment management, and enhanced debt management capacity are needed to reduce debt vulnerabilities. 2019-10-17T19:17:52Z 2019-10-17T19:17:52Z 2019-07 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/850681570637260305/Benin-Joint-World-Bank-IMF-Debt-Sustainability-Analysis-July-2019 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32568 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Debt and Creditworthiness Study Africa Benin
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic DEBT DISTRESS
DEBT SERVICE BURDEN
PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT
CONTINGENT LIABILITY
EXTERNAL DEBT
PUBLIC AND PUBLICLY GUARANTEED DEBT
SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS
RISK ASSESSMENT
MACROECONOMIC PROJECTION
spellingShingle DEBT DISTRESS
DEBT SERVICE BURDEN
PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT
CONTINGENT LIABILITY
EXTERNAL DEBT
PUBLIC AND PUBLICLY GUARANTEED DEBT
SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS
RISK ASSESSMENT
MACROECONOMIC PROJECTION
World Bank
International Monetary Fund
Benin - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis
geographic_facet Africa
Benin
description Benin remains at moderate risk of external debt distress. The rating is unchanged from the previous November 2018 DSA. All the projected external debt burden indicators remain below their thresholds under the baseline, but the ratio of the present value (PV) of external debt to exports exceeds its threshold in the case of an extreme shock to exports.1 With regard to total public and publicly guaranteed (PPG) debt (external plus domestic), the overall risk of debt distress remains also moderate. The public debt-to-GDP ratio is below its prudent benchmark in the baseline scenario; however, the PV of public debt-to-GDP rises very slightly above its benchmark from 2024 until the end of the projection period under the real GDP shock scenario. Other factors motivating the overall rating include: the past evolution of domestic debt, the relatively high debt service burden, as well as the existence of contingent liabilities. Medium-term fiscal consolidation, sound public investment management, and enhanced debt management capacity are needed to reduce debt vulnerabilities.
format Report
author World Bank
International Monetary Fund
author_facet World Bank
International Monetary Fund
author_sort World Bank
title Benin - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis
title_short Benin - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis
title_full Benin - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis
title_fullStr Benin - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Benin - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis
title_sort benin - joint world bank-imf debt sustainability analysis
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2019
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/850681570637260305/Benin-Joint-World-Bank-IMF-Debt-Sustainability-Analysis-July-2019
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32568
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