Republic of Uzbekistan - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis
Based on the Joint Bank-Fund Low-Income Country Debt Sustainability Analysis (LIC-DSA), Uzbekistan has a low risk of debt distress, with debt burden indicators below relevant thresholds in the baseline and all stress scenarios. Over the medium term...
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/747221570772743399/Uzbekistan-Joint-World-Bank-IMF-Debt-Sustainability-Analysis-May-2019 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32574 |
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okr-10986-325742021-05-25T09:28:41Z Republic of Uzbekistan - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis World Bank International Monetary Fund DEBT DISTRESS DEBT SERVICE BURDEN PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT PUBLIC AND PUBLICLY GUARANTEED DEBT EXTERNAL DEBT CONTINGENT LIABILITY SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS RISK ASSESSMENT MACROECONOMIC PROJECTION Based on the Joint Bank-Fund Low-Income Country Debt Sustainability Analysis (LIC-DSA), Uzbekistan has a low risk of debt distress, with debt burden indicators below relevant thresholds in the baseline and all stress scenarios. Over the medium term, the public debt-to-GDP ratio is expected to increase moderately, while the total external debt-to-GDP ratio is expected to decline somewhat. In addition, large foreign exchange reserve buffers mitigate potential distress concerns. The debt sustainability analysis suggests that the most significant risks could result from worse-than-expected external flows (mostly lower remittances) and significantly lower exports. The government should carefully manage external borrowing to maintain Uzbekistan’s strong external position. 2019-10-17T20:15:14Z 2019-10-17T20:15:14Z 2019-05 Report http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/747221570772743399/Uzbekistan-Joint-World-Bank-IMF-Debt-Sustainability-Analysis-May-2019 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32574 English CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work Economic & Sector Work :: Debt and Creditworthiness Study Europe and Central Asia Uzbekistan |
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Digital Repository |
institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
institution |
Digital Repositories |
building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
collection |
World Bank |
language |
English |
topic |
DEBT DISTRESS DEBT SERVICE BURDEN PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT PUBLIC AND PUBLICLY GUARANTEED DEBT EXTERNAL DEBT CONTINGENT LIABILITY SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS RISK ASSESSMENT MACROECONOMIC PROJECTION |
spellingShingle |
DEBT DISTRESS DEBT SERVICE BURDEN PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT PUBLIC AND PUBLICLY GUARANTEED DEBT EXTERNAL DEBT CONTINGENT LIABILITY SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS RISK ASSESSMENT MACROECONOMIC PROJECTION World Bank International Monetary Fund Republic of Uzbekistan - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis |
geographic_facet |
Europe and Central Asia Uzbekistan |
description |
Based on the Joint Bank-Fund Low-Income
Country Debt Sustainability Analysis (LIC-DSA), Uzbekistan
has a low risk of debt distress, with debt burden indicators
below relevant thresholds in the baseline and all stress
scenarios. Over the medium term, the public debt-to-GDP
ratio is expected to increase moderately, while the total
external debt-to-GDP ratio is expected to decline somewhat.
In addition, large foreign exchange reserve buffers mitigate
potential distress concerns. The debt sustainability
analysis suggests that the most significant risks could
result from worse-than-expected external flows (mostly lower
remittances) and significantly lower exports. The government
should carefully manage external borrowing to maintain
Uzbekistan’s strong external position. |
format |
Report |
author |
World Bank International Monetary Fund |
author_facet |
World Bank International Monetary Fund |
author_sort |
World Bank |
title |
Republic of Uzbekistan - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis |
title_short |
Republic of Uzbekistan - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis |
title_full |
Republic of Uzbekistan - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis |
title_fullStr |
Republic of Uzbekistan - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis |
title_full_unstemmed |
Republic of Uzbekistan - Joint World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis |
title_sort |
republic of uzbekistan - joint world bank-imf debt sustainability analysis |
publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/747221570772743399/Uzbekistan-Joint-World-Bank-IMF-Debt-Sustainability-Analysis-May-2019 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32574 |
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1764476815305342976 |