Narrow Incumbent Victories and Post-Election Conflict : Evidence from the Philippines

Post-election violence is a common form of conflict, but its underlying mechanisms are not well understood. Using data from the 2007 Philippine mayoral elections, this paper provides evidence that post-election violence is particularly intense afte...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Crost, Benjamin, Felter, Joseph H., Mansour, Hani, Rees, Daniel I.
Format:	Working Paper
Language:	English
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2020
Subjects:	CIVIL CONFLICT ELECTION FRAUD INSTITUTIONAL WEAKNESS POST-ELECTION VIOLENCE
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/633841580304389537/Narrow-Incumbent-Victories-and-Post-Election-Conflict-Evidence-from-the-Philippines http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33262

id	okr-10986-33262
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-332622022-09-20T00:13:33Z Narrow Incumbent Victories and Post-Election Conflict : Evidence from the Philippines Crost, Benjamin Felter, Joseph H. Mansour, Hani Rees, Daniel I. CIVIL CONFLICT ELECTION FRAUD INSTITUTIONAL WEAKNESS POST-ELECTION VIOLENCE Post-election violence is a common form of conflict, but its underlying mechanisms are not well understood. Using data from the 2007 Philippine mayoral elections, this paper provides evidence that post-election violence is particularly intense after narrow victories by incumbents. Using a density test, the study shows that incumbents were substantially more likely to win narrow victories than their challengers, a pattern consistent with electoral manipulation. There is no evidence that the increase in post-election violence is related to the incumbent's political platform or their performance in past elections. These results provide support for the notion that post-election violence is triggered by election fraud or by the failure of democratic ways of removing unpopular incumbents from office. 2020-01-30T20:04:41Z 2020-01-30T20:04:41Z 2020-01 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/633841580304389537/Narrow-Incumbent-Victories-and-Post-Election-Conflict-Evidence-from-the-Philippines http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33262 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9126 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper East Asia and Pacific Philippines
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	English
topic	CIVIL CONFLICT ELECTION FRAUD INSTITUTIONAL WEAKNESS POST-ELECTION VIOLENCE
spellingShingle	CIVIL CONFLICT ELECTION FRAUD INSTITUTIONAL WEAKNESS POST-ELECTION VIOLENCE Crost, Benjamin Felter, Joseph H. Mansour, Hani Rees, Daniel I. Narrow Incumbent Victories and Post-Election Conflict : Evidence from the Philippines
geographic_facet	East Asia and Pacific Philippines
relation	Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9126
description	Post-election violence is a common form of conflict, but its underlying mechanisms are not well understood. Using data from the 2007 Philippine mayoral elections, this paper provides evidence that post-election violence is particularly intense after narrow victories by incumbents. Using a density test, the study shows that incumbents were substantially more likely to win narrow victories than their challengers, a pattern consistent with electoral manipulation. There is no evidence that the increase in post-election violence is related to the incumbent's political platform or their performance in past elections. These results provide support for the notion that post-election violence is triggered by election fraud or by the failure of democratic ways of removing unpopular incumbents from office.
format	Working Paper
author	Crost, Benjamin Felter, Joseph H. Mansour, Hani Rees, Daniel I.
author_facet	Crost, Benjamin Felter, Joseph H. Mansour, Hani Rees, Daniel I.
author_sort	Crost, Benjamin
title	Narrow Incumbent Victories and Post-Election Conflict : Evidence from the Philippines
title_short	Narrow Incumbent Victories and Post-Election Conflict : Evidence from the Philippines
title_full	Narrow Incumbent Victories and Post-Election Conflict : Evidence from the Philippines
title_fullStr	Narrow Incumbent Victories and Post-Election Conflict : Evidence from the Philippines
title_full_unstemmed	Narrow Incumbent Victories and Post-Election Conflict : Evidence from the Philippines
title_sort	narrow incumbent victories and post-election conflict : evidence from the philippines
publisher	World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate	2020
url	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/633841580304389537/Narrow-Incumbent-Victories-and-Post-Election-Conflict-Evidence-from-the-Philippines http://hdl.handle.net/10986/33262
_version_	1764478346859642880

Narrow Incumbent Victories and Post-Election Conflict : Evidence from the Philippines

Similar Items