Sudden Stops : Are Global and Local Investors Alike?

The main goal of this paper is to characterize the determinants of sudden stops caused by domestic vis-a-vis foreign residents. Are the decisions of domestic investors to invest abroad or of foreign investors to cut off funds from the domestic econ...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Calderón, César, Kubota, Megumi
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
TAX
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110214154448
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3336
id okr-10986-3336
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ADVANCED COUNTRIES
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BANK ASSETS
BANK CREDIT
BANK DEPOSIT
BANK DEPOSITS
BANK POLICY
BANKING CRISES
BANKING CRISIS
BANKING SYSTEM
BOND MARKET
BOND MARKET CAPITALIZATION
BOND MARKETS
BONDS
BUDGET SURPLUS
BUSINESS CYCLES
CAPITAL ACCOUNT
CAPITAL ACCOUNT LIBERALIZATION
CAPITAL CONTROLS
CAPITAL FLIGHT
CAPITAL FLOW
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MARKET
CAPITAL MARKET REFORM
CAPITAL MARKETS
CAPITAL OUTFLOWS
CAPITAL STOCK
CENTRAL BANK
COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
CREDIT CONSTRAINTS
CREDIT GROWTH
CURRENCY
CURRENCY CRISES
CURRENCY CRISIS
CURRENCY MISMATCHES
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUSES
DATA AVAILABILITY
DEBT
DEBT BURDEN
DEBT FINANCING
DEBT FLOWS
DEPOSIT
DERIVATIVES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DOMESTIC CREDIT
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
DOMESTIC ECONOMY
DOMESTIC FINANCIAL MARKETS
DOMESTIC INVESTORS
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
EMERGING MARKET
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
EQUITY FLOWS
EQUITY MARKETS
EXCHANGE RATE REGIME
EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES
EXPORT BASE
EXPOSURE
EXTERNAL ASSETS
EXTERNAL FINANCE
EXTERNAL FINANCING
FEDERAL RESERVE
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK
FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES
FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL FLOWS
FINANCIAL INFLOWS
FINANCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE
FINANCIAL INSTITUTION
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
FINANCIAL OPENNESS
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SECTOR INDICATORS
FINANCIAL SECTORS
FINANCIAL SERVICES
FINANCIAL SHOCKS
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATE
FLOWS OF CAPITAL
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN BANK
FOREIGN CAPITAL
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN EQUITIES
FOREIGN FINANCING
FOREIGN INTEREST
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FOREIGN PORTFOLIO
FOREIGN PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT
GLOBAL CAPITAL
GLOBAL CAPITAL FLOWS
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GLOBAL INVESTORS
GLOBALIZATION
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HIGH INFLATION
INCOME
INCOME LEVELS
INDEBTED COUNTRIES
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INFORMATION ASYMMETRIES
INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL BORROWING
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL CREDIT
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIES
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INTEGRATION
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL STATISTICS
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL RESERVES
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
INVESTMENT FLOWS
LIABILITY
LIQUID ASSETS
LIQUIDITY
LOCAL CAPITAL MARKETS
LOCAL FINANCIAL MARKETS
LOCAL INVESTORS
MACROECONOMIC MISMANAGEMENT
MACROECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MACROECONOMIC VULNERABILITY
MICRO DATA
MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES
MONETARY FUND
MONETARY POLICY
MONETARY STABILITY
MONEY MARKET
MONEY MARKET RATE
NATURAL RESOURCE
NATURAL RESOURCES
NET CAPITAL
NET DEBT
NON-PERFORMING LOANS
OUTPUT
POLICY RESPONSES
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO INFLOWS
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT
PORTFOLIOS
POSITIVE COEFFICIENT
PRICE STABILITY
PRIVATE BOND
PRIVATE CAPITAL
PRIVATE CAPITAL INFLOWS
PRIVATE CREDIT
PRIVATE SECTOR FINANCE
PUSH FACTORS
RATE OF GROWTH
REAL ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATES
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATE
REGULATORY CAPITAL
REGULATORY FRAMEWORKS
RESERVE
RESERVE ACCUMULATION
RESERVES
RETURN
RETURNS
RISK AVERSION
SAVINGS
SECURITIES
SMALL COUNTRIES
STOCK MARKET
STOCK MARKET CAPITALIZATION
STOCKS
T-BILLS
TAX
TAX SYSTEMS
TRADE BALANCE
TRADING
TREASURY
TREASURY BILLS
VOLATILITY
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD INTEREST RATE
WORLD MARKET
spellingShingle ADVANCED COUNTRIES
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BANK ASSETS
BANK CREDIT
BANK DEPOSIT
BANK DEPOSITS
BANK POLICY
BANKING CRISES
BANKING CRISIS
BANKING SYSTEM
BOND MARKET
BOND MARKET CAPITALIZATION
BOND MARKETS
BONDS
BUDGET SURPLUS
BUSINESS CYCLES
CAPITAL ACCOUNT
CAPITAL ACCOUNT LIBERALIZATION
CAPITAL CONTROLS
CAPITAL FLIGHT
CAPITAL FLOW
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MARKET
CAPITAL MARKET REFORM
CAPITAL MARKETS
CAPITAL OUTFLOWS
CAPITAL STOCK
CENTRAL BANK
COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
CREDIT CONSTRAINTS
CREDIT GROWTH
CURRENCY
CURRENCY CRISES
CURRENCY CRISIS
CURRENCY MISMATCHES
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUSES
DATA AVAILABILITY
DEBT
DEBT BURDEN
DEBT FINANCING
DEBT FLOWS
DEPOSIT
DERIVATIVES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DOMESTIC CREDIT
DOMESTIC CURRENCY
DOMESTIC ECONOMY
DOMESTIC FINANCIAL MARKETS
DOMESTIC INVESTORS
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
EMERGING MARKET
EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
EMERGING MARKETS
EQUITY FLOWS
EQUITY MARKETS
EXCHANGE RATE REGIME
EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES
EXPORT BASE
EXPOSURE
EXTERNAL ASSETS
EXTERNAL FINANCE
EXTERNAL FINANCING
FEDERAL RESERVE
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK
FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES
FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL FLOWS
FINANCIAL INFLOWS
FINANCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE
FINANCIAL INSTITUTION
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
FINANCIAL OPENNESS
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SECTOR INDICATORS
FINANCIAL SECTORS
FINANCIAL SERVICES
FINANCIAL SHOCKS
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATE
FLOWS OF CAPITAL
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN BANK
FOREIGN CAPITAL
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
FOREIGN EQUITIES
FOREIGN FINANCING
FOREIGN INTEREST
FOREIGN INVESTORS
FOREIGN PORTFOLIO
FOREIGN PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT
GLOBAL CAPITAL
GLOBAL CAPITAL FLOWS
GLOBAL ECONOMY
GLOBAL INVESTORS
GLOBALIZATION
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HIGH INFLATION
INCOME
INCOME LEVELS
INDEBTED COUNTRIES
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
INFLATION
INFLATION RATE
INFORMATION ASYMMETRIES
INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS
INSURANCE
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL BORROWING
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL CREDIT
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIES
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INTEGRATION
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL STATISTICS
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL RESERVES
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
INVESTMENT FLOWS
LIABILITY
LIQUID ASSETS
LIQUIDITY
LOCAL CAPITAL MARKETS
LOCAL FINANCIAL MARKETS
LOCAL INVESTORS
MACROECONOMIC MISMANAGEMENT
MACROECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES
MACROECONOMIC POLICY
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MACROECONOMIC VULNERABILITY
MICRO DATA
MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES
MONETARY FUND
MONETARY POLICY
MONETARY STABILITY
MONEY MARKET
MONEY MARKET RATE
NATURAL RESOURCE
NATURAL RESOURCES
NET CAPITAL
NET DEBT
NON-PERFORMING LOANS
OUTPUT
POLICY RESPONSES
PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO INFLOWS
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT
PORTFOLIOS
POSITIVE COEFFICIENT
PRICE STABILITY
PRIVATE BOND
PRIVATE CAPITAL
PRIVATE CAPITAL INFLOWS
PRIVATE CREDIT
PRIVATE SECTOR FINANCE
PUSH FACTORS
RATE OF GROWTH
REAL ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATES
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATE
REGULATORY CAPITAL
REGULATORY FRAMEWORKS
RESERVE
RESERVE ACCUMULATION
RESERVES
RETURN
RETURNS
RISK AVERSION
SAVINGS
SECURITIES
SMALL COUNTRIES
STOCK MARKET
STOCK MARKET CAPITALIZATION
STOCKS
T-BILLS
TAX
TAX SYSTEMS
TRADE BALANCE
TRADING
TREASURY
TREASURY BILLS
VOLATILITY
WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
WORLD INTEREST RATE
WORLD MARKET
Calderón, César
Kubota, Megumi
Sudden Stops : Are Global and Local Investors Alike?
geographic_facet The World Region
The World Region
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5569
description The main goal of this paper is to characterize the determinants of sudden stops caused by domestic vis-a-vis foreign residents. Are the decisions of domestic investors to invest abroad or of foreign investors to cut off funds from the domestic economy governed by the same set of determinants? Given the distribution of different types of sudden stop episodes over time and its different macroeconomic consequences, the authors argue that the determinants may not be alike. Using an effective sample of 82 countries with annual information over the period 1970-2007, the analysis finds that global investors are less likely to stop bringing their capital when their economy is growing and the world interest rate is lower. Domestic agents are more willing to invest abroad if the macroeconomic performance of the domestic economy is poor (high inflation), the financial system is weak, and there are high external savings (current account surpluses). Increasing financial openness makes the domestic country more vulnerable to sudden stops caused by either local or global investors. Finally, countries with higher shares of foreign direct investment are less prone to inflow-driven sudden stops, whereas the opposite holds for outflow-driven sudden stops.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Calderón, César
Kubota, Megumi
author_facet Calderón, César
Kubota, Megumi
author_sort Calderón, César
title Sudden Stops : Are Global and Local Investors Alike?
title_short Sudden Stops : Are Global and Local Investors Alike?
title_full Sudden Stops : Are Global and Local Investors Alike?
title_fullStr Sudden Stops : Are Global and Local Investors Alike?
title_full_unstemmed Sudden Stops : Are Global and Local Investors Alike?
title_sort sudden stops : are global and local investors alike?
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110214154448
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3336
_version_ 1764386815931842560
spelling okr-10986-33362021-04-23T14:02:08Z Sudden Stops : Are Global and Local Investors Alike? Calderón, César Kubota, Megumi ADVANCED COUNTRIES BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BANK ASSETS BANK CREDIT BANK DEPOSIT BANK DEPOSITS BANK POLICY BANKING CRISES BANKING CRISIS BANKING SYSTEM BOND MARKET BOND MARKET CAPITALIZATION BOND MARKETS BONDS BUDGET SURPLUS BUSINESS CYCLES CAPITAL ACCOUNT CAPITAL ACCOUNT LIBERALIZATION CAPITAL CONTROLS CAPITAL FLIGHT CAPITAL FLOW CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL GROWTH CAPITAL INFLOWS CAPITAL MARKET CAPITAL MARKET REFORM CAPITAL MARKETS CAPITAL OUTFLOWS CAPITAL STOCK CENTRAL BANK COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CORPORATE GOVERNANCE CREDIT CONSTRAINTS CREDIT GROWTH CURRENCY CURRENCY CRISES CURRENCY CRISIS CURRENCY MISMATCHES CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUSES DATA AVAILABILITY DEBT DEBT BURDEN DEBT FINANCING DEBT FLOWS DEPOSIT DERIVATIVES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DOMESTIC CREDIT DOMESTIC CURRENCY DOMESTIC ECONOMY DOMESTIC FINANCIAL MARKETS DOMESTIC INVESTORS ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE EMERGING MARKET EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY FLOWS EQUITY MARKETS EXCHANGE RATE REGIME EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES EXPORT BASE EXPOSURE EXTERNAL ASSETS EXTERNAL FINANCE EXTERNAL FINANCING FEDERAL RESERVE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT FINANCIAL FLOWS FINANCIAL INFLOWS FINANCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCIAL INSTITUTION FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS FINANCIAL OPENNESS FINANCIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL SECTOR INDICATORS FINANCIAL SECTORS FINANCIAL SERVICES FINANCIAL SHOCKS FINANCIAL SYSTEM FISCAL DEFICITS FISCAL POLICIES FISCAL POLICY FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATE FLOWS OF CAPITAL FOREIGN ASSETS FOREIGN BANK FOREIGN CAPITAL FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN EQUITIES FOREIGN FINANCING FOREIGN INTEREST FOREIGN INVESTORS FOREIGN PORTFOLIO FOREIGN PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT GLOBAL CAPITAL GLOBAL CAPITAL FLOWS GLOBAL ECONOMY GLOBAL INVESTORS GLOBALIZATION GOVERNMENT BUDGET GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HIGH INFLATION INCOME INCOME LEVELS INDEBTED COUNTRIES INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES INFLATION INFLATION RATE INFORMATION ASYMMETRIES INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS INSURANCE INTEREST RATE INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL BORROWING INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKETS INTERNATIONAL CREDIT INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIES INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INTEGRATION INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL STATISTICS INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS INTERNATIONAL MARKETS INTERNATIONAL RESERVES INVESTMENT CLIMATE INVESTMENT FLOWS LIABILITY LIQUID ASSETS LIQUIDITY LOCAL CAPITAL MARKETS LOCAL FINANCIAL MARKETS LOCAL INVESTORS MACROECONOMIC MISMANAGEMENT MACROECONOMIC PERFORMANCE MACROECONOMIC POLICIES MACROECONOMIC POLICY MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MACROECONOMIC VULNERABILITY MICRO DATA MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES MONETARY FUND MONETARY POLICY MONETARY STABILITY MONEY MARKET MONEY MARKET RATE NATURAL RESOURCE NATURAL RESOURCES NET CAPITAL NET DEBT NON-PERFORMING LOANS OUTPUT POLICY RESPONSES PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIO INFLOWS PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT PORTFOLIOS POSITIVE COEFFICIENT PRICE STABILITY PRIVATE BOND PRIVATE CAPITAL PRIVATE CAPITAL INFLOWS PRIVATE CREDIT PRIVATE SECTOR FINANCE PUSH FACTORS RATE OF GROWTH REAL ECONOMIC ACTIVITY REAL EXCHANGE RATE REAL EXCHANGE RATES REAL INTEREST REAL INTEREST RATE REGULATORY CAPITAL REGULATORY FRAMEWORKS RESERVE RESERVE ACCUMULATION RESERVES RETURN RETURNS RISK AVERSION SAVINGS SECURITIES SMALL COUNTRIES STOCK MARKET STOCK MARKET CAPITALIZATION STOCKS T-BILLS TAX TAX SYSTEMS TRADE BALANCE TRADING TREASURY TREASURY BILLS VOLATILITY WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS WORLD INTEREST RATE WORLD MARKET The main goal of this paper is to characterize the determinants of sudden stops caused by domestic vis-a-vis foreign residents. Are the decisions of domestic investors to invest abroad or of foreign investors to cut off funds from the domestic economy governed by the same set of determinants? Given the distribution of different types of sudden stop episodes over time and its different macroeconomic consequences, the authors argue that the determinants may not be alike. Using an effective sample of 82 countries with annual information over the period 1970-2007, the analysis finds that global investors are less likely to stop bringing their capital when their economy is growing and the world interest rate is lower. Domestic agents are more willing to invest abroad if the macroeconomic performance of the domestic economy is poor (high inflation), the financial system is weak, and there are high external savings (current account surpluses). Increasing financial openness makes the domestic country more vulnerable to sudden stops caused by either local or global investors. Finally, countries with higher shares of foreign direct investment are less prone to inflow-driven sudden stops, whereas the opposite holds for outflow-driven sudden stops. 2012-03-19T18:00:33Z 2012-03-19T18:00:33Z 2011-02-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110214154448 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3336 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5569 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region The World Region