Too Little Too Late : Welfare Impacts of Rainfall Shocks in Rural Indonesia

The authors use regression analysis to assess the potential welfare impact of rainfall shocks in rural Indonesia. In particular, they consider two shocks: (i) a delay in the onset of monsoon and (ii) a significant shortfall in the amount of rain in...

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Main Authors:	Skoufias, Emmanuel, Essama-Nssah, B., Katayama, Roy S.
Format:	Policy Research Working Paper
Language:	English
Published:	2012
Subjects:	ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY ADVERSE IMPACTS AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AMOUNT OF RAINFALL ANNUAL PRECIPITATION ATMOSPHERE BIOSPHERE BLOCK GRANTS CARBON CARBON DIOXIDE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE EVENTS CLIMATE SHOCK CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATE-SENSITIVE SECTORS COMMUNITIES CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION INSURANCE CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA COUNTERFACTUAL CREDIT PROGRAM CRYOSPHERE DESCRIPTION DISTRIBUTIONAL EFFECTS ELECTRICITY EMISSION EXCESSIVE RAIN EXTREME WEATHER EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS FARM HOUSEHOLDS FARMERS FARMLAND FEMALE FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD EXPENDITURE FOOD EXPENDITURES FOOD ITEMS FOOD POLICY FOREST FOREST FIRES GENDER GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GASES HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD HEAD HOUSEHOLD HEADS HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD SIZE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HOUSEHOLDS HOUSEHOLDS WITH ELECTRICITY HOUSING HUMAN CAPITAL HYDROSPHERE ICE IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT OF RAINFALL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMAL HOUSING INSURANCE INSURANCE MARKETS INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE INTERVENTION INTERVENTIONS IPCC IRRIGATION JA LAND SURFACE LOW RAINFALL MEAN TEMPERATURE METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION OCEANS POOR POOR AREAS POOR VILLAGES POVERTY LINE POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES PRECIPITATION PRODUCTION AREA PUBLIC WORKS RAIN RAINFALL RAINFALL DATA RAINFALL VARIABILITY RAINY SEASON REGIONAL DIFFERENCES RICE PRODUCTION RICE-GROWING REGIONS RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL ECONOMY RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL LIVELIHOODS SAFETY SAFETY NET SAFETY NET PROGRAMS SAFETY NETS SEASON SOCIAL PROGRAMS SOCIAL PROTECTION SOCIAL VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE SPATIAL DIFFERENCES TARGETING THREAT OF CLIMATE CHANGE VILLAGES VULNERABILITY TO POVERTY WEATHER EXTREMES WELFARE IMPLICATIONS WELFARE INDICATOR WIND WMO
Online Access:	http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110329092900 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3382

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spelling	okr-10986-33822021-04-23T14:02:09Z Too Little Too Late : Welfare Impacts of Rainfall Shocks in Rural Indonesia Skoufias, Emmanuel Essama-Nssah, B. Katayama, Roy S. ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY ADVERSE IMPACTS AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AMOUNT OF RAINFALL ANNUAL PRECIPITATION ATMOSPHERE BIOSPHERE BLOCK GRANTS CARBON CARBON DIOXIDE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE EVENTS CLIMATE SHOCK CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATE-SENSITIVE SECTORS COMMUNITIES CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION INSURANCE CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA COUNTERFACTUAL CREDIT PROGRAM CRYOSPHERE DESCRIPTION DISTRIBUTIONAL EFFECTS ELECTRICITY EMISSION EXCESSIVE RAIN EXTREME WEATHER EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS FARM HOUSEHOLDS FARMERS FARMLAND FEMALE FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD EXPENDITURE FOOD EXPENDITURES FOOD ITEMS FOOD POLICY FOREST FOREST FIRES GENDER GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GASES HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD HEAD HOUSEHOLD HEADS HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD SIZE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HOUSEHOLDS HOUSEHOLDS WITH ELECTRICITY HOUSING HUMAN CAPITAL HYDROSPHERE ICE IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT OF RAINFALL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMAL HOUSING INSURANCE INSURANCE MARKETS INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE INTERVENTION INTERVENTIONS IPCC IRRIGATION JA LAND SURFACE LOW RAINFALL MEAN TEMPERATURE METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION OCEANS POOR POOR AREAS POOR VILLAGES POVERTY LINE POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES PRECIPITATION PRODUCTION AREA PUBLIC WORKS RAIN RAINFALL RAINFALL DATA RAINFALL VARIABILITY RAINY SEASON REGIONAL DIFFERENCES RICE PRODUCTION RICE-GROWING REGIONS RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL ECONOMY RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL LIVELIHOODS SAFETY SAFETY NET SAFETY NET PROGRAMS SAFETY NETS SEASON SOCIAL PROGRAMS SOCIAL PROTECTION SOCIAL VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE SPATIAL DIFFERENCES TARGETING THREAT OF CLIMATE CHANGE VILLAGES VULNERABILITY TO POVERTY WEATHER EXTREMES WELFARE IMPLICATIONS WELFARE INDICATOR WIND WMO The authors use regression analysis to assess the potential welfare impact of rainfall shocks in rural Indonesia. In particular, they consider two shocks: (i) a delay in the onset of monsoon and (ii) a significant shortfall in the amount of rain in the 90 day post-onset period. Focusing on households with family farm businesses, the analysis finds that a delay in the monsoon onset does not have a significant impact on the welfare of rice farmers. However, rice farm households located in areas exposed to low rainfall following the monsoon are negatively affected. Rice farm households appear to be able to protect their food expenditure in the face of weather shocks at the expense of lower nonfood expenditures per capita. The authors use propensity score matching to identify community programs that might moderate the welfare impact of this type of shock. Access to credit and public works projects in communities were among the programs with the strongest moderating effects. This is an important consideration for the design and implementation of adaptation strategies. 2012-03-19T18:01:28Z 2012-03-19T18:01:28Z 2011-03-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110329092900 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3382 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5615 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper East Asia and Pacific East Asia and Pacific Southeast Asia Asia Indonesia
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	English
topic	ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY ADVERSE IMPACTS AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AMOUNT OF RAINFALL ANNUAL PRECIPITATION ATMOSPHERE BIOSPHERE BLOCK GRANTS CARBON CARBON DIOXIDE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE EVENTS CLIMATE SHOCK CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATE-SENSITIVE SECTORS COMMUNITIES CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION INSURANCE CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA COUNTERFACTUAL CREDIT PROGRAM CRYOSPHERE DESCRIPTION DISTRIBUTIONAL EFFECTS ELECTRICITY EMISSION EXCESSIVE RAIN EXTREME WEATHER EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS FARM HOUSEHOLDS FARMERS FARMLAND FEMALE FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD EXPENDITURE FOOD EXPENDITURES FOOD ITEMS FOOD POLICY FOREST FOREST FIRES GENDER GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GASES HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD HEAD HOUSEHOLD HEADS HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD SIZE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HOUSEHOLDS HOUSEHOLDS WITH ELECTRICITY HOUSING HUMAN CAPITAL HYDROSPHERE ICE IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT OF RAINFALL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMAL HOUSING INSURANCE INSURANCE MARKETS INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE INTERVENTION INTERVENTIONS IPCC IRRIGATION JA LAND SURFACE LOW RAINFALL MEAN TEMPERATURE METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION OCEANS POOR POOR AREAS POOR VILLAGES POVERTY LINE POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES PRECIPITATION PRODUCTION AREA PUBLIC WORKS RAIN RAINFALL RAINFALL DATA RAINFALL VARIABILITY RAINY SEASON REGIONAL DIFFERENCES RICE PRODUCTION RICE-GROWING REGIONS RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL ECONOMY RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL LIVELIHOODS SAFETY SAFETY NET SAFETY NET PROGRAMS SAFETY NETS SEASON SOCIAL PROGRAMS SOCIAL PROTECTION SOCIAL VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE SPATIAL DIFFERENCES TARGETING THREAT OF CLIMATE CHANGE VILLAGES VULNERABILITY TO POVERTY WEATHER EXTREMES WELFARE IMPLICATIONS WELFARE INDICATOR WIND WMO
spellingShingle	ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY ADVERSE IMPACTS AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES AMOUNT OF RAINFALL ANNUAL PRECIPITATION ATMOSPHERE BIOSPHERE BLOCK GRANTS CARBON CARBON DIOXIDE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE EVENTS CLIMATE SHOCK CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATE-SENSITIVE SECTORS COMMUNITIES CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION INSURANCE CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA COUNTERFACTUAL CREDIT PROGRAM CRYOSPHERE DESCRIPTION DISTRIBUTIONAL EFFECTS ELECTRICITY EMISSION EXCESSIVE RAIN EXTREME WEATHER EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS FARM HOUSEHOLDS FARMERS FARMLAND FEMALE FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD EXPENDITURE FOOD EXPENDITURES FOOD ITEMS FOOD POLICY FOREST FOREST FIRES GENDER GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GASES HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD HEAD HOUSEHOLD HEADS HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD SIZE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HOUSEHOLDS HOUSEHOLDS WITH ELECTRICITY HOUSING HUMAN CAPITAL HYDROSPHERE ICE IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT OF RAINFALL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMAL HOUSING INSURANCE INSURANCE MARKETS INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE INTERVENTION INTERVENTIONS IPCC IRRIGATION JA LAND SURFACE LOW RAINFALL MEAN TEMPERATURE METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION OCEANS POOR POOR AREAS POOR VILLAGES POVERTY LINE POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES PRECIPITATION PRODUCTION AREA PUBLIC WORKS RAIN RAINFALL RAINFALL DATA RAINFALL VARIABILITY RAINY SEASON REGIONAL DIFFERENCES RICE PRODUCTION RICE-GROWING REGIONS RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL ECONOMY RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL LIVELIHOODS SAFETY SAFETY NET SAFETY NET PROGRAMS SAFETY NETS SEASON SOCIAL PROGRAMS SOCIAL PROTECTION SOCIAL VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE SPATIAL DIFFERENCES TARGETING THREAT OF CLIMATE CHANGE VILLAGES VULNERABILITY TO POVERTY WEATHER EXTREMES WELFARE IMPLICATIONS WELFARE INDICATOR WIND WMO Skoufias, Emmanuel Essama-Nssah, B. Katayama, Roy S. Too Little Too Late : Welfare Impacts of Rainfall Shocks in Rural Indonesia
geographic_facet	East Asia and Pacific East Asia and Pacific Southeast Asia Asia Indonesia
relation	Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5615
description	The authors use regression analysis to assess the potential welfare impact of rainfall shocks in rural Indonesia. In particular, they consider two shocks: (i) a delay in the onset of monsoon and (ii) a significant shortfall in the amount of rain in the 90 day post-onset period. Focusing on households with family farm businesses, the analysis finds that a delay in the monsoon onset does not have a significant impact on the welfare of rice farmers. However, rice farm households located in areas exposed to low rainfall following the monsoon are negatively affected. Rice farm households appear to be able to protect their food expenditure in the face of weather shocks at the expense of lower nonfood expenditures per capita. The authors use propensity score matching to identify community programs that might moderate the welfare impact of this type of shock. Access to credit and public works projects in communities were among the programs with the strongest moderating effects. This is an important consideration for the design and implementation of adaptation strategies.
format	Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author	Skoufias, Emmanuel Essama-Nssah, B. Katayama, Roy S.
author_facet	Skoufias, Emmanuel Essama-Nssah, B. Katayama, Roy S.
author_sort	Skoufias, Emmanuel
title	Too Little Too Late : Welfare Impacts of Rainfall Shocks in Rural Indonesia
title_short	Too Little Too Late : Welfare Impacts of Rainfall Shocks in Rural Indonesia
title_full	Too Little Too Late : Welfare Impacts of Rainfall Shocks in Rural Indonesia
title_fullStr	Too Little Too Late : Welfare Impacts of Rainfall Shocks in Rural Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed	Too Little Too Late : Welfare Impacts of Rainfall Shocks in Rural Indonesia
title_sort	too little too late : welfare impacts of rainfall shocks in rural indonesia
publishDate	2012
url	http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110329092900 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3382
_version_	1764386892376178688

Too Little Too Late : Welfare Impacts of Rainfall Shocks in Rural Indonesia

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