Long-Term Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers : Review of the Evidence

Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT) programs, started in the late 1990s in Latin America, have become the antipoverty program of choice in many developing countries in the region and beyond. This paper reviews the literature on their long-term impacts on human capital and related outcomes observed after...

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Main Authors: Molina Millán, Teresa, Barham, Tania, Macours, Karen, Maluccio, John A., Stampini, Marco
Format: Journal Article
Published: Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34347
id okr-10986-34347
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spelling okr-10986-343472021-05-25T10:54:39Z Long-Term Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers : Review of the Evidence Molina Millán, Teresa Barham, Tania Macours, Karen Maluccio, John A. Stampini, Marco CONDITIONAL CASH TRANSFER INEQUALITY WELFARE EFFECTS INCOME DISTRIBUTION DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACT Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT) programs, started in the late 1990s in Latin America, have become the antipoverty program of choice in many developing countries in the region and beyond. This paper reviews the literature on their long-term impacts on human capital and related outcomes observed after children have reached a later stage of their life cycle, focusing on two life-cycle transitions. The first includes children exposed to CCTs in utero or during early childhood who have reached school ages. The second includes children exposed to CCTs during school ages who have reached young adulthood. Most studies find positive long-term effects on schooling, but fewer find positive impacts on cognitive skills, learning, or socio-emotional skills. Impacts on employment and earnings are mixed, possibly because former beneficiaries were often still too young. A number of studies find estimates that are not statistically different from zero, but for which it is often not possible to be confident that this is due to an actual lack of impact rather than to the methodological challenges facing all long-term evaluations. Developing further opportunities for analyses with rigorous identification strategies for the measurement of long-term impacts should be high on the research agenda. As original beneficiaries age, this should also be increasingly possible, and indeed important before concluding whether or not CCTs lead to sustainable poverty reduction. 2020-08-12T19:40:53Z 2020-08-12T19:40:53Z 2019-02 Journal Article World Bank Research Observer 1564-6971 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34347 CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Journal Article Latin America & Caribbean Latin America
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
topic CONDITIONAL CASH TRANSFER
INEQUALITY
WELFARE EFFECTS
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACT
spellingShingle CONDITIONAL CASH TRANSFER
INEQUALITY
WELFARE EFFECTS
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACT
Molina Millán, Teresa
Barham, Tania
Macours, Karen
Maluccio, John A.
Stampini, Marco
Long-Term Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers : Review of the Evidence
geographic_facet Latin America & Caribbean
Latin America
description Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT) programs, started in the late 1990s in Latin America, have become the antipoverty program of choice in many developing countries in the region and beyond. This paper reviews the literature on their long-term impacts on human capital and related outcomes observed after children have reached a later stage of their life cycle, focusing on two life-cycle transitions. The first includes children exposed to CCTs in utero or during early childhood who have reached school ages. The second includes children exposed to CCTs during school ages who have reached young adulthood. Most studies find positive long-term effects on schooling, but fewer find positive impacts on cognitive skills, learning, or socio-emotional skills. Impacts on employment and earnings are mixed, possibly because former beneficiaries were often still too young. A number of studies find estimates that are not statistically different from zero, but for which it is often not possible to be confident that this is due to an actual lack of impact rather than to the methodological challenges facing all long-term evaluations. Developing further opportunities for analyses with rigorous identification strategies for the measurement of long-term impacts should be high on the research agenda. As original beneficiaries age, this should also be increasingly possible, and indeed important before concluding whether or not CCTs lead to sustainable poverty reduction.
format Journal Article
author Molina Millán, Teresa
Barham, Tania
Macours, Karen
Maluccio, John A.
Stampini, Marco
author_facet Molina Millán, Teresa
Barham, Tania
Macours, Karen
Maluccio, John A.
Stampini, Marco
author_sort Molina Millán, Teresa
title Long-Term Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers : Review of the Evidence
title_short Long-Term Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers : Review of the Evidence
title_full Long-Term Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers : Review of the Evidence
title_fullStr Long-Term Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers : Review of the Evidence
title_full_unstemmed Long-Term Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers : Review of the Evidence
title_sort long-term impacts of conditional cash transfers : review of the evidence
publisher Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank
publishDate 2020
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34347
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