Inflation Threshold Levels and Economic Growth in the Franc Zone Countries
This paper examines the growth-inflation nexus in Franc zone currency unions. It aims at estimating the inflation threshold above which additional inflationary pressures adversely affect economic expansion. It uses cointegration methods that are ap...
Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | Working Paper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2020
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/956741600700107596/Inflation-Threshold-Levels-and-Economic-Growth-in-the-Franc-Zone-Countries http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34503 |
Summary: | This paper examines the growth-inflation
nexus in Franc zone currency unions. It aims at estimating
the inflation threshold above which additional inflationary
pressures adversely affect economic expansion. It uses
cointegration methods that are applied to data from 14
African countries from the Franc zone over 1970-2018. Based
on country-level data, the results indicate that it is
possible to increase the threshold levels used by regional
central banks to 5.4-5.6 percent in the Central African
Monetary Union and 4.3-4.5 percent in the West African
Monetary Union. Homogeneous cointegration panel data
analyses confirm the need to increase the threshold in
Central African Monetary Union countries but do not in the
West African Monetary Union countries. |
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