Implications of Major Adverse Events on Productivity

Since 2000, there have been three major global slowdowns, with the latest and most pronounced episode triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. At the same time, many countries have faced major adverse events including natural disasters, wars, and financ...

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Main Authors: Dieppe, Alistair, Kilic Celik, Sinem, Okou, Cedric
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/706191600779573582/Implications-of-Major-Adverse-Events-on-Productivity
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34509
id okr-10986-34509
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-345092022-09-20T00:11:09Z Implications of Major Adverse Events on Productivity Dieppe, Alistair Kilic Celik, Sinem Okou, Cedric PRODUCTIVITY LOCAL PROJECTIONS DISASTER GLOBAL SLOWDOWN PANDEMIC IMPACT COVID-19 CORONAVIRUS CLIMATE DISASTER NATURAL DISASTER LABOR DISLOCATION TIGHT CREDIT VALUE CHAIN INNOVATION ECONOMIC SHOCK FISCAL POLICY RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE GOVERNANCE Since 2000, there have been three major global slowdowns, with the latest and most pronounced episode triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. At the same time, many countries have faced major adverse events including natural disasters, wars, and financial crises, all of which can lead to long-lasting harm to productivity. Wars inflict particularly severe damage to productivity, while financial crises also lead to substantial losses, especially accompanied by a rapid build-up of debt. The greater frequency of natural disasters, especially climate disasters, means that they have the largest aggregate impact on productivity, as natural disasters have occurred most often and their frequency has doubled since 2000. Global adverse events can have large sustained negative effects on productivity through dislocating labor, tightening of credit, disrupting value chains, and decreasing innovation. Policies to counter the negative consequences of adverse shocks include accommodative fiscal policies, such as reconstruction spending on resilient infrastructure; transparent governance; efficient use of relief funds; as well as growth-friendly structural reforms. Appropriate policies and regulations concerning finance, construction, and environmental protection can help reduce the frequency of adverse shocks. 2020-09-24T20:56:06Z 2020-09-24T20:56:06Z 2020-09 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/706191600779573582/Implications-of-Major-Adverse-Events-on-Productivity http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34509 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9411 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic PRODUCTIVITY
LOCAL PROJECTIONS
DISASTER
GLOBAL SLOWDOWN
PANDEMIC IMPACT
COVID-19
CORONAVIRUS
CLIMATE DISASTER
NATURAL DISASTER
LABOR DISLOCATION
TIGHT CREDIT
VALUE CHAIN
INNOVATION
ECONOMIC SHOCK
FISCAL POLICY
RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE
GOVERNANCE
spellingShingle PRODUCTIVITY
LOCAL PROJECTIONS
DISASTER
GLOBAL SLOWDOWN
PANDEMIC IMPACT
COVID-19
CORONAVIRUS
CLIMATE DISASTER
NATURAL DISASTER
LABOR DISLOCATION
TIGHT CREDIT
VALUE CHAIN
INNOVATION
ECONOMIC SHOCK
FISCAL POLICY
RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE
GOVERNANCE
Dieppe, Alistair
Kilic Celik, Sinem
Okou, Cedric
Implications of Major Adverse Events on Productivity
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9411
description Since 2000, there have been three major global slowdowns, with the latest and most pronounced episode triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. At the same time, many countries have faced major adverse events including natural disasters, wars, and financial crises, all of which can lead to long-lasting harm to productivity. Wars inflict particularly severe damage to productivity, while financial crises also lead to substantial losses, especially accompanied by a rapid build-up of debt. The greater frequency of natural disasters, especially climate disasters, means that they have the largest aggregate impact on productivity, as natural disasters have occurred most often and their frequency has doubled since 2000. Global adverse events can have large sustained negative effects on productivity through dislocating labor, tightening of credit, disrupting value chains, and decreasing innovation. Policies to counter the negative consequences of adverse shocks include accommodative fiscal policies, such as reconstruction spending on resilient infrastructure; transparent governance; efficient use of relief funds; as well as growth-friendly structural reforms. Appropriate policies and regulations concerning finance, construction, and environmental protection can help reduce the frequency of adverse shocks.
format Working Paper
author Dieppe, Alistair
Kilic Celik, Sinem
Okou, Cedric
author_facet Dieppe, Alistair
Kilic Celik, Sinem
Okou, Cedric
author_sort Dieppe, Alistair
title Implications of Major Adverse Events on Productivity
title_short Implications of Major Adverse Events on Productivity
title_full Implications of Major Adverse Events on Productivity
title_fullStr Implications of Major Adverse Events on Productivity
title_full_unstemmed Implications of Major Adverse Events on Productivity
title_sort implications of major adverse events on productivity
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2020
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/706191600779573582/Implications-of-Major-Adverse-Events-on-Productivity
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34509
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