Conflict and Poverty
This paper analyzes the relationship between poverty and conflict in the macro and regional data, including a detailed case study of Uganda. The paper relies on a large and growing literature that provides evidence on the devastating impact that co...
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| Format: | Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2020
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/519741603804458786/Conflict-and-Poverty http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34688 |
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okr-10986-346882022-09-20T00:09:51Z Conflict and Poverty Mueller, Hannes Techasunthornwat, Chanon CONFLICT-AFFECTED STATES POVERTY HEALTH DEBT CYCLE OF VIOLENCE This paper analyzes the relationship between poverty and conflict in the macro and regional data, including a detailed case study of Uganda. The paper relies on a large and growing literature that provides evidence on the devastating impact that conflict has on health and expectations. Based on this evidence, it develops a statistical framework to track the cumulative long-term impact that armed conflict has on poverty, which the paper calls conflict debt. The data confirm that contemporaneous conflict leads to a conflict debt which is only recovered slowly. The empirical model is not only a good description of the cross-country aggregate poverty time-series data, but also regional cross-sectional data. A new aspect in the model is that armed conflict can prevent poverty reduction and, once it is over, allow for strong catch‐up effects as they exist in the data. But in the most conflict-ridden countries, repeated cycles of violence prevent poverty from recovering. According to the most conservative estimates, these countries and regions would have 5‐10 percentage points lower poverty rates without their conflict debt. 2020-10-29T13:39:40Z 2020-10-29T13:39:40Z 2020-10 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/519741603804458786/Conflict-and-Poverty http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34688 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9455 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Africa Uganda |
| repository_type |
Digital Repository |
| institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
| institution |
Digital Repositories |
| building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
| collection |
World Bank |
| language |
English |
| topic |
CONFLICT-AFFECTED STATES POVERTY HEALTH DEBT CYCLE OF VIOLENCE |
| spellingShingle |
CONFLICT-AFFECTED STATES POVERTY HEALTH DEBT CYCLE OF VIOLENCE Mueller, Hannes Techasunthornwat, Chanon Conflict and Poverty |
| geographic_facet |
Africa Uganda |
| relation |
Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9455 |
| description |
This paper analyzes the relationship
between poverty and conflict in the macro and regional data,
including a detailed case study of Uganda. The paper relies
on a large and growing literature that provides evidence on
the devastating impact that conflict has on health and
expectations. Based on this evidence, it develops a
statistical framework to track the cumulative long-term
impact that armed conflict has on poverty, which the paper
calls conflict debt. The data confirm that contemporaneous
conflict leads to a conflict debt which is only recovered
slowly. The empirical model is not only a good description
of the cross-country aggregate poverty time-series data, but
also regional cross-sectional data. A new aspect in the
model is that armed conflict can prevent poverty reduction
and, once it is over, allow for strong catch‐up effects as
they exist in the data. But in the most conflict-ridden
countries, repeated cycles of violence prevent poverty from
recovering. According to the most conservative estimates,
these countries and regions would have 5‐10 percentage
points lower poverty rates without their conflict debt. |
| format |
Working Paper |
| author |
Mueller, Hannes Techasunthornwat, Chanon |
| author_facet |
Mueller, Hannes Techasunthornwat, Chanon |
| author_sort |
Mueller, Hannes |
| title |
Conflict and Poverty |
| title_short |
Conflict and Poverty |
| title_full |
Conflict and Poverty |
| title_fullStr |
Conflict and Poverty |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Conflict and Poverty |
| title_sort |
conflict and poverty |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2020 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/519741603804458786/Conflict-and-Poverty http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34688 |
| _version_ |
1764481439629312000 |