How Do Ex Ante Simulations Compare with Ex Post Evaluations?
Evidence from the Impact of Conditional Cash Transfer Programs

How Do Ex Ante Simulations Compare with Ex Post Evaluations? Evidence from the Impact of Conditional Cash Transfer Programs

This paper compares the ex ante simulation of the impacts of conditional cash transfer programs against the ex post estimates of impacts obtained from experimental evaluations. Using data on program-eligible households in treatment areas from the s...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Leite, Phillippe, Narayan, Ambar, Skoufias, Emmanuel
Format:	Policy Research Working Paper
Language:	English
Published:	2012
Subjects:	AGE GROUPS ARITHMETIC BASELINE SURVEYS BENEFICIARIES CARE CENTERS CHILD LABOR CONTROL GROUPS COUNTERFACTUAL DATA COLLECTION DATA REQUIREMENTS DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS DROPOUT RATES ENROLLMENT ENROLLMENT RATE ENROLLMENT RATES ENROLMENT RATE ENROLMENT RATES ESTIMATORS EVALUATION METHODS EVALUATION RESULTS EVALUATION STUDIES EX ANTE ANALYSIS EX POST EVALUATION EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN EXPERIMENTAL STUDIES EXPERIMENTS FORECASTS GIRLS HOUSEHOLD INCOME HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPACT EVALUATION INCOME LANDLESS HOUSEHOLDS METHODOLOGY MODELING NUTRITION OUTCOME INDICATORS PER CAPITA INCOME POVERTY ALLEVIATION POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY REDUCTION PRIMARY SCHOOL PRIMARY SCHOOL AGE PRIMARY SCHOOL STUDENTS PRIMARY SCHOOLING PROGRAM EFFECTS PROGRAM EVALUATION PROGRAM IMPACTS PROGRAM IMPLEMENTATION PROGRAMS QUASIEXPERIMENTAL METHODS RELIABILITY RESEARCH WORKING PAPERS RESEARCHERS RURAL AREAS SAMPLE SIZE SCENARIO SCENARIOS SCHOOL ATTENDANCE SCHOOLING SCHOOLS SELECTION BIAS SIMULATION SIMULATIONS SURVEY DATA TARGETING TECHNIQUES TRAINING PROGRAMME TRAINING PROGRAMS TRANSPARENCY TREATMENT EFFECTS TREATMENT GROUPS UNEMPLOYMENT VALIDITY WAGES WEIGHTING
Online Access:	http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110623162735 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3469

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