Nature, Socioeconomics and Adaptation to Natural Disasters : New Evidence from Floods

The authors analyze the determinants of fatalities in 2,194 large flood events in 108 countries between 1985 and 2008. Given that socioeconomic factors can affect mortality right in the aftermath of a flood, but also indirectly by influencing flood...

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Main Authors: Ferreira, Susana, Hamilton, Kirk, Vincent, Jeffrey R.
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110630170010
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3488
id okr-10986-3488
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-34882021-04-23T14:02:10Z Nature, Socioeconomics and Adaptation to Natural Disasters : New Evidence from Floods Ferreira, Susana Hamilton, Kirk Vincent, Jeffrey R. AGGREGATING GOVERNANCE INDICATORS AVALANCHES BUILDING CODES BUREAUCRACY BUREAUCRATIC QUALITY CASUALTIES CITIZENS CIVIL WAR CLIMATE CHANGE CORRUPTION COUNTRY COVERAGE DAMAGES DATA QUALITY DEATH TOLL DEATH TOLLS DECLARATION DEMOCRATIC ACCOUNTABILITY DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATIONS DISASTER DISASTER ASSISTANCE DISASTER PREPARATION DISASTER PREPAREDNESS DISASTER PREVENTION DISASTER RELIEF DISASTER REPORTING DISASTER TYPE DROUGHTS EARLY WARNING EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS EARTHQUAKE EARTHQUAKES ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE EMERGENCY HEALTH EMERGENCY MEDICAL CARE EMERGENCY SERVICES EPIDEMIOLOGY EVACUATION EVACUATIONS FATALITIES FATALITY FLOOD FLOOD CONTROL FLOOD DATA FLOOD DISASTER FLOOD DIVERSION FLOOD EVENT FLOOD FREQUENCY FLOOD LEVELS FLOOD MAGNITUDE FLOOD MANAGEMENT FLOOD MAPS FLOOD OCCURRENCE FLOOD PLAINS FLOOD RISK FLOOD STAGES FLOOD ZONES FLOOD-CONTROL FLOODED FLOODING FLOODS GEOGRAPHIC AREA GOVERNANCE INDICATORS GOVERNANCE VARIABLES HURRICANE IMPACT OF FLOOD INCOME INCOME LEVELS INEQUALITY INFORMATION SYSTEMS INSTITUTIONAL MEASURES INSTITUTIONAL REFORM INSTITUTIONAL VARIABLES INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS LANDSLIDES LARGE FLOOD LARGE FLOOD EVENTS LARGE FLOODS MAJOR FLOOD MAJOR FLOOD EVENTS MAJOR FLOODS MEASUREMENT ERROR MEASURING CORRUPTION MEDICAL ASSISTANCE NATIONAL LEVEL NATURAL DISASTER NATURAL DISASTERS NATURAL HAZARDS POLITICAL ECONOMY POLITICAL FREEDOMS PUBLIC SECTOR CORRUPTION PURCHASING POWER PURCHASING POWER PARITY RECONSTRUCTION RIVERS SOCIOECONOMIC DATA STORM STORMS TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE TRANSITION ECONOMIES TRANSPARENCY TROPICAL CYCLONES URBANIZATION VOLCANOES WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION The authors analyze the determinants of fatalities in 2,194 large flood events in 108 countries between 1985 and 2008. Given that socioeconomic factors can affect mortality right in the aftermath of a flood, but also indirectly by influencing flood frequency and magnitude, they distinguish between direct and indirect effects of development on flood mortality. The authors find that income is negatively associated with the frequency of floods and, conditional on their magnitude, the fatalities they cause in developing countries. However, for developed countries they find that increased income is associated with more fatalities, both directly (conditional on flood occurrence and magnitude) and indirectly through an increase in the frequency and magnitude of flood events. Also in contrast to the literature, they find that the effect of governance on flood frequency and fatalities in developing countries is U-shaped, with improvements in governance reducing the numbers of floods and deaths when governance is weaker but raising them when governance is stronger. 2012-03-19T18:03:21Z 2012-03-19T18:03:21Z 2011-06-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110630170010 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3488 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5725 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper The World Region The World Region
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic AGGREGATING GOVERNANCE INDICATORS
AVALANCHES
BUILDING CODES
BUREAUCRACY
BUREAUCRATIC QUALITY
CASUALTIES
CITIZENS
CIVIL WAR
CLIMATE CHANGE
CORRUPTION
COUNTRY COVERAGE
DAMAGES
DATA QUALITY
DEATH TOLL
DEATH TOLLS
DECLARATION
DEMOCRATIC ACCOUNTABILITY
DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATIONS
DISASTER
DISASTER ASSISTANCE
DISASTER PREPARATION
DISASTER PREPAREDNESS
DISASTER PREVENTION
DISASTER RELIEF
DISASTER REPORTING
DISASTER TYPE
DROUGHTS
EARLY WARNING
EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS
EARTHQUAKE
EARTHQUAKES
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
EMERGENCY HEALTH
EMERGENCY MEDICAL CARE
EMERGENCY SERVICES
EPIDEMIOLOGY
EVACUATION
EVACUATIONS
FATALITIES
FATALITY
FLOOD
FLOOD CONTROL
FLOOD DATA
FLOOD DISASTER
FLOOD DIVERSION
FLOOD EVENT
FLOOD FREQUENCY
FLOOD LEVELS
FLOOD MAGNITUDE
FLOOD MANAGEMENT
FLOOD MAPS
FLOOD OCCURRENCE
FLOOD PLAINS
FLOOD RISK
FLOOD STAGES
FLOOD ZONES
FLOOD-CONTROL
FLOODED
FLOODING
FLOODS
GEOGRAPHIC AREA
GOVERNANCE INDICATORS
GOVERNANCE VARIABLES
HURRICANE
IMPACT OF FLOOD
INCOME
INCOME LEVELS
INEQUALITY
INFORMATION SYSTEMS
INSTITUTIONAL MEASURES
INSTITUTIONAL REFORM
INSTITUTIONAL VARIABLES
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
LANDSLIDES
LARGE FLOOD
LARGE FLOOD EVENTS
LARGE FLOODS
MAJOR FLOOD
MAJOR FLOOD EVENTS
MAJOR FLOODS
MEASUREMENT ERROR
MEASURING CORRUPTION
MEDICAL ASSISTANCE
NATIONAL LEVEL
NATURAL DISASTER
NATURAL DISASTERS
NATURAL HAZARDS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL FREEDOMS
PUBLIC SECTOR CORRUPTION
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
RECONSTRUCTION
RIVERS
SOCIOECONOMIC DATA
STORM
STORMS
TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
TRANSPARENCY
TROPICAL CYCLONES
URBANIZATION
VOLCANOES
WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION
spellingShingle AGGREGATING GOVERNANCE INDICATORS
AVALANCHES
BUILDING CODES
BUREAUCRACY
BUREAUCRATIC QUALITY
CASUALTIES
CITIZENS
CIVIL WAR
CLIMATE CHANGE
CORRUPTION
COUNTRY COVERAGE
DAMAGES
DATA QUALITY
DEATH TOLL
DEATH TOLLS
DECLARATION
DEMOCRATIC ACCOUNTABILITY
DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATIONS
DISASTER
DISASTER ASSISTANCE
DISASTER PREPARATION
DISASTER PREPAREDNESS
DISASTER PREVENTION
DISASTER RELIEF
DISASTER REPORTING
DISASTER TYPE
DROUGHTS
EARLY WARNING
EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS
EARTHQUAKE
EARTHQUAKES
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
EMERGENCY HEALTH
EMERGENCY MEDICAL CARE
EMERGENCY SERVICES
EPIDEMIOLOGY
EVACUATION
EVACUATIONS
FATALITIES
FATALITY
FLOOD
FLOOD CONTROL
FLOOD DATA
FLOOD DISASTER
FLOOD DIVERSION
FLOOD EVENT
FLOOD FREQUENCY
FLOOD LEVELS
FLOOD MAGNITUDE
FLOOD MANAGEMENT
FLOOD MAPS
FLOOD OCCURRENCE
FLOOD PLAINS
FLOOD RISK
FLOOD STAGES
FLOOD ZONES
FLOOD-CONTROL
FLOODED
FLOODING
FLOODS
GEOGRAPHIC AREA
GOVERNANCE INDICATORS
GOVERNANCE VARIABLES
HURRICANE
IMPACT OF FLOOD
INCOME
INCOME LEVELS
INEQUALITY
INFORMATION SYSTEMS
INSTITUTIONAL MEASURES
INSTITUTIONAL REFORM
INSTITUTIONAL VARIABLES
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
LANDSLIDES
LARGE FLOOD
LARGE FLOOD EVENTS
LARGE FLOODS
MAJOR FLOOD
MAJOR FLOOD EVENTS
MAJOR FLOODS
MEASUREMENT ERROR
MEASURING CORRUPTION
MEDICAL ASSISTANCE
NATIONAL LEVEL
NATURAL DISASTER
NATURAL DISASTERS
NATURAL HAZARDS
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POLITICAL FREEDOMS
PUBLIC SECTOR CORRUPTION
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
RECONSTRUCTION
RIVERS
SOCIOECONOMIC DATA
STORM
STORMS
TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE
TRANSITION ECONOMIES
TRANSPARENCY
TROPICAL CYCLONES
URBANIZATION
VOLCANOES
WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION
Ferreira, Susana
Hamilton, Kirk
Vincent, Jeffrey R.
Nature, Socioeconomics and Adaptation to Natural Disasters : New Evidence from Floods
geographic_facet The World Region
The World Region
relation Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5725
description The authors analyze the determinants of fatalities in 2,194 large flood events in 108 countries between 1985 and 2008. Given that socioeconomic factors can affect mortality right in the aftermath of a flood, but also indirectly by influencing flood frequency and magnitude, they distinguish between direct and indirect effects of development on flood mortality. The authors find that income is negatively associated with the frequency of floods and, conditional on their magnitude, the fatalities they cause in developing countries. However, for developed countries they find that increased income is associated with more fatalities, both directly (conditional on flood occurrence and magnitude) and indirectly through an increase in the frequency and magnitude of flood events. Also in contrast to the literature, they find that the effect of governance on flood frequency and fatalities in developing countries is U-shaped, with improvements in governance reducing the numbers of floods and deaths when governance is weaker but raising them when governance is stronger.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Ferreira, Susana
Hamilton, Kirk
Vincent, Jeffrey R.
author_facet Ferreira, Susana
Hamilton, Kirk
Vincent, Jeffrey R.
author_sort Ferreira, Susana
title Nature, Socioeconomics and Adaptation to Natural Disasters : New Evidence from Floods
title_short Nature, Socioeconomics and Adaptation to Natural Disasters : New Evidence from Floods
title_full Nature, Socioeconomics and Adaptation to Natural Disasters : New Evidence from Floods
title_fullStr Nature, Socioeconomics and Adaptation to Natural Disasters : New Evidence from Floods
title_full_unstemmed Nature, Socioeconomics and Adaptation to Natural Disasters : New Evidence from Floods
title_sort nature, socioeconomics and adaptation to natural disasters : new evidence from floods
publishDate 2012
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110630170010
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3488
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