Impacts of COVID-19 on Household Welfare in Tunisia
COVID-19 is likely to have a large impact on the welfare of Tunisian households. First, some individuals might be more vulnerable to contracting the disease because their living conditions or jobs make them more susceptible to meeting others or pra...
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2021
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okr-10986-349802022-09-20T00:10:40Z Impacts of COVID-19 on Household Welfare in Tunisia Kokas, Deeksha Lopez-Acevedo, Gladys El Lahga, Abdel Rahman Mendiratta, Vibhuti COVID-19 CORONAVIRUS LABOR INCOME CONSUMPTION PANDEMIC IMPACT HOUSEHOLD WELFARE POVERTY COVID-19 is likely to have a large impact on the welfare of Tunisian households. First, some individuals might be more vulnerable to contracting the disease because their living conditions or jobs make them more susceptible to meeting others or practicing social distancing. Lack of adequate access to health insurance, overcrowded living conditions, and low access to water at home are reasons that make the Tunisian poor more susceptible to getting infected or not being able to seek health care in the event that they contract COVID-19. In addition, the elderly in the poorest households could be more susceptible to COVID-19 due to higher prevalence of intergenerational households among the poor. Second, many sectors of the labor market have experienced an economic slowdown, and those employed in these sectors are likely to experience disproportionate effects. Combining the labor shock and price shock simultaneously, the simulations in this paper show an increase in poverty of 7.3 percentage points under a more optimistic scenario and 11.9 percentage points under the pessimistic scenario, and individuals in sectors such as tourism and construction are expected to fall into poverty due to COVID-19. The paper estimates that the government’s compensatory measures targeted toward the hardest hit are expected to mitigate the increase in poverty. Specifically, the increase in poverty will be 6.5 percentage points under the optimistic scenario if mitigation measures are in place vis-à-vis in their absence, when the increase in poverty is 7.3 percentage points. 2021-01-07T15:46:58Z 2021-01-07T15:46:58Z 2020-12 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/529381608228318922/Impacts-of-COVID-19-on-Household-Welfare-in-Tunisia http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34980 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9503 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Middle East and North Africa Tunisia |
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Foreign Institution |
institution |
Digital Repositories |
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World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
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World Bank |
language |
English |
topic |
COVID-19 CORONAVIRUS LABOR INCOME CONSUMPTION PANDEMIC IMPACT HOUSEHOLD WELFARE POVERTY |
spellingShingle |
COVID-19 CORONAVIRUS LABOR INCOME CONSUMPTION PANDEMIC IMPACT HOUSEHOLD WELFARE POVERTY Kokas, Deeksha Lopez-Acevedo, Gladys El Lahga, Abdel Rahman Mendiratta, Vibhuti Impacts of COVID-19 on Household Welfare in Tunisia |
geographic_facet |
Middle East and North Africa Tunisia |
relation |
Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9503 |
description |
COVID-19 is likely to have a large
impact on the welfare of Tunisian households. First, some
individuals might be more vulnerable to contracting the
disease because their living conditions or jobs make them
more susceptible to meeting others or practicing social
distancing. Lack of adequate access to health insurance,
overcrowded living conditions, and low access to water at
home are reasons that make the Tunisian poor more
susceptible to getting infected or not being able to seek
health care in the event that they contract COVID-19. In
addition, the elderly in the poorest households could be
more susceptible to COVID-19 due to higher prevalence of
intergenerational households among the poor. Second, many
sectors of the labor market have experienced an economic
slowdown, and those employed in these sectors are likely to
experience disproportionate effects. Combining the labor
shock and price shock simultaneously, the simulations in
this paper show an increase in poverty of 7.3 percentage
points under a more optimistic scenario and 11.9 percentage
points under the pessimistic scenario, and individuals in
sectors such as tourism and construction are expected to
fall into poverty due to COVID-19. The paper estimates that
the government’s compensatory measures targeted toward the
hardest hit are expected to mitigate the increase in
poverty. Specifically, the increase in poverty will be 6.5
percentage points under the optimistic scenario if
mitigation measures are in place vis-à-vis in their absence,
when the increase in poverty is 7.3 percentage points. |
format |
Working Paper |
author |
Kokas, Deeksha Lopez-Acevedo, Gladys El Lahga, Abdel Rahman Mendiratta, Vibhuti |
author_facet |
Kokas, Deeksha Lopez-Acevedo, Gladys El Lahga, Abdel Rahman Mendiratta, Vibhuti |
author_sort |
Kokas, Deeksha |
title |
Impacts of COVID-19 on Household Welfare in Tunisia |
title_short |
Impacts of COVID-19 on Household Welfare in Tunisia |
title_full |
Impacts of COVID-19 on Household Welfare in Tunisia |
title_fullStr |
Impacts of COVID-19 on Household Welfare in Tunisia |
title_full_unstemmed |
Impacts of COVID-19 on Household Welfare in Tunisia |
title_sort |
impacts of covid-19 on household welfare in tunisia |
publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/529381608228318922/Impacts-of-COVID-19-on-Household-Welfare-in-Tunisia http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34980 |
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1764482079774474240 |