Impacts of COVID-19 on Household Welfare in Tunisia

COVID-19 is likely to have a large impact on the welfare of Tunisian households. First, some individuals might be more vulnerable to contracting the disease because their living conditions or jobs make them more susceptible to meeting others or pra...

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Main Authors: Kokas, Deeksha, Lopez-Acevedo, Gladys, El Lahga, Abdel Rahman, Mendiratta, Vibhuti
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/529381608228318922/Impacts-of-COVID-19-on-Household-Welfare-in-Tunisia
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34980
id okr-10986-34980
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-349802022-09-20T00:10:40Z Impacts of COVID-19 on Household Welfare in Tunisia Kokas, Deeksha Lopez-Acevedo, Gladys El Lahga, Abdel Rahman Mendiratta, Vibhuti COVID-19 CORONAVIRUS LABOR INCOME CONSUMPTION PANDEMIC IMPACT HOUSEHOLD WELFARE POVERTY COVID-19 is likely to have a large impact on the welfare of Tunisian households. First, some individuals might be more vulnerable to contracting the disease because their living conditions or jobs make them more susceptible to meeting others or practicing social distancing. Lack of adequate access to health insurance, overcrowded living conditions, and low access to water at home are reasons that make the Tunisian poor more susceptible to getting infected or not being able to seek health care in the event that they contract COVID-19. In addition, the elderly in the poorest households could be more susceptible to COVID-19 due to higher prevalence of intergenerational households among the poor. Second, many sectors of the labor market have experienced an economic slowdown, and those employed in these sectors are likely to experience disproportionate effects. Combining the labor shock and price shock simultaneously, the simulations in this paper show an increase in poverty of 7.3 percentage points under a more optimistic scenario and 11.9 percentage points under the pessimistic scenario, and individuals in sectors such as tourism and construction are expected to fall into poverty due to COVID-19. The paper estimates that the government’s compensatory measures targeted toward the hardest hit are expected to mitigate the increase in poverty. Specifically, the increase in poverty will be 6.5 percentage points under the optimistic scenario if mitigation measures are in place vis-à-vis in their absence, when the increase in poverty is 7.3 percentage points. 2021-01-07T15:46:58Z 2021-01-07T15:46:58Z 2020-12 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/529381608228318922/Impacts-of-COVID-19-on-Household-Welfare-in-Tunisia http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34980 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9503 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Middle East and North Africa Tunisia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic COVID-19
CORONAVIRUS
LABOR INCOME
CONSUMPTION
PANDEMIC IMPACT
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
POVERTY
spellingShingle COVID-19
CORONAVIRUS
LABOR INCOME
CONSUMPTION
PANDEMIC IMPACT
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
POVERTY
Kokas, Deeksha
Lopez-Acevedo, Gladys
El Lahga, Abdel Rahman
Mendiratta, Vibhuti
Impacts of COVID-19 on Household Welfare in Tunisia
geographic_facet Middle East and North Africa
Tunisia
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9503
description COVID-19 is likely to have a large impact on the welfare of Tunisian households. First, some individuals might be more vulnerable to contracting the disease because their living conditions or jobs make them more susceptible to meeting others or practicing social distancing. Lack of adequate access to health insurance, overcrowded living conditions, and low access to water at home are reasons that make the Tunisian poor more susceptible to getting infected or not being able to seek health care in the event that they contract COVID-19. In addition, the elderly in the poorest households could be more susceptible to COVID-19 due to higher prevalence of intergenerational households among the poor. Second, many sectors of the labor market have experienced an economic slowdown, and those employed in these sectors are likely to experience disproportionate effects. Combining the labor shock and price shock simultaneously, the simulations in this paper show an increase in poverty of 7.3 percentage points under a more optimistic scenario and 11.9 percentage points under the pessimistic scenario, and individuals in sectors such as tourism and construction are expected to fall into poverty due to COVID-19. The paper estimates that the government’s compensatory measures targeted toward the hardest hit are expected to mitigate the increase in poverty. Specifically, the increase in poverty will be 6.5 percentage points under the optimistic scenario if mitigation measures are in place vis-à-vis in their absence, when the increase in poverty is 7.3 percentage points.
format Working Paper
author Kokas, Deeksha
Lopez-Acevedo, Gladys
El Lahga, Abdel Rahman
Mendiratta, Vibhuti
author_facet Kokas, Deeksha
Lopez-Acevedo, Gladys
El Lahga, Abdel Rahman
Mendiratta, Vibhuti
author_sort Kokas, Deeksha
title Impacts of COVID-19 on Household Welfare in Tunisia
title_short Impacts of COVID-19 on Household Welfare in Tunisia
title_full Impacts of COVID-19 on Household Welfare in Tunisia
title_fullStr Impacts of COVID-19 on Household Welfare in Tunisia
title_full_unstemmed Impacts of COVID-19 on Household Welfare in Tunisia
title_sort impacts of covid-19 on household welfare in tunisia
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/529381608228318922/Impacts-of-COVID-19-on-Household-Welfare-in-Tunisia
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34980
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