Quantifying Vulnerability to Poverty in the Drought-Prone Lowlands of Ethiopia

A forward-looking measure of “vulnerability to poverty” is estimated and a concerted effort is made to understand the sources of vulnerability in the drought-prone lowlands of Ethiopia. Using the Household Consumption Expenditure Survey and the Wel...

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Main Authors: Skoufias, Emmanuel, Vinha, Katja, Beyene, Berhe Mekonnen
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/876701612298436975/Quantifying-Vulnerability-to-Poverty-in-the-Drought-Prone-Lowlands-of-Ethiopia
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35107
id okr-10986-35107
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-351072022-09-20T00:10:04Z Quantifying Vulnerability to Poverty in the Drought-Prone Lowlands of Ethiopia Skoufias, Emmanuel Vinha, Katja Beyene, Berhe Mekonnen VULNERABILITY POVERTY DROUGHT CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD SURVEY LOWLAND ECOSYSTEM AGRICULTURE A forward-looking measure of “vulnerability to poverty” is estimated and a concerted effort is made to understand the sources of vulnerability in the drought-prone lowlands of Ethiopia. Using the Household Consumption Expenditure Survey and the Welfare Monitoring Survey of 2016, the analysis reveals that vulnerability is remarkably higher in the drought-prone lowlands than in the other ecological zones, although differences in poverty rates are modest; the vulnerability rate is more than two times larger than the poverty rate in the lowlands, while the ratio is only 1.6 for the whole country. The analysis also reveals important distinctions in the sources of vulnerability. In the drought-prone lowlands: (i) vulnerability due to aggregate shocks such as droughts is lower than vulnerability due to idiosyncratic shocks in absolute terms, but its relative importance is higher compared with other ecological zones; and (ii) poverty-induced vulnerability is relatively more important than risk-induced vulnerability in contrast to other regions where risk-induced vulnerability is higher than poverty-induced vulnerability. These findings attest to the unique nature of the drought-prone lowlands compared with the other agroecological zones and points in favor of policies and programs tailored specifically to the areas. 2021-02-04T17:19:16Z 2021-02-04T17:19:16Z 2021-02 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/876701612298436975/Quantifying-Vulnerability-to-Poverty-in-the-Drought-Prone-Lowlands-of-Ethiopia http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35107 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9534 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Africa Africa Eastern and Southern (AFE) Ethiopia
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic VULNERABILITY
POVERTY
DROUGHT
CONSUMPTION
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
LOWLAND ECOSYSTEM
AGRICULTURE
spellingShingle VULNERABILITY
POVERTY
DROUGHT
CONSUMPTION
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
LOWLAND ECOSYSTEM
AGRICULTURE
Skoufias, Emmanuel
Vinha, Katja
Beyene, Berhe Mekonnen
Quantifying Vulnerability to Poverty in the Drought-Prone Lowlands of Ethiopia
geographic_facet Africa
Africa Eastern and Southern (AFE)
Ethiopia
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9534
description A forward-looking measure of “vulnerability to poverty” is estimated and a concerted effort is made to understand the sources of vulnerability in the drought-prone lowlands of Ethiopia. Using the Household Consumption Expenditure Survey and the Welfare Monitoring Survey of 2016, the analysis reveals that vulnerability is remarkably higher in the drought-prone lowlands than in the other ecological zones, although differences in poverty rates are modest; the vulnerability rate is more than two times larger than the poverty rate in the lowlands, while the ratio is only 1.6 for the whole country. The analysis also reveals important distinctions in the sources of vulnerability. In the drought-prone lowlands: (i) vulnerability due to aggregate shocks such as droughts is lower than vulnerability due to idiosyncratic shocks in absolute terms, but its relative importance is higher compared with other ecological zones; and (ii) poverty-induced vulnerability is relatively more important than risk-induced vulnerability in contrast to other regions where risk-induced vulnerability is higher than poverty-induced vulnerability. These findings attest to the unique nature of the drought-prone lowlands compared with the other agroecological zones and points in favor of policies and programs tailored specifically to the areas.
format Working Paper
author Skoufias, Emmanuel
Vinha, Katja
Beyene, Berhe Mekonnen
author_facet Skoufias, Emmanuel
Vinha, Katja
Beyene, Berhe Mekonnen
author_sort Skoufias, Emmanuel
title Quantifying Vulnerability to Poverty in the Drought-Prone Lowlands of Ethiopia
title_short Quantifying Vulnerability to Poverty in the Drought-Prone Lowlands of Ethiopia
title_full Quantifying Vulnerability to Poverty in the Drought-Prone Lowlands of Ethiopia
title_fullStr Quantifying Vulnerability to Poverty in the Drought-Prone Lowlands of Ethiopia
title_full_unstemmed Quantifying Vulnerability to Poverty in the Drought-Prone Lowlands of Ethiopia
title_sort quantifying vulnerability to poverty in the drought-prone lowlands of ethiopia
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2021
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/876701612298436975/Quantifying-Vulnerability-to-Poverty-in-the-Drought-Prone-Lowlands-of-Ethiopia
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/35107
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